VOLinthaNATI
Well-Known Member
- Joined
- Dec 5, 2006
- Messages
- 15,501
- Likes
- 2
Let's look at a scenario.
Say leading off the top of 1 tonight the Phillies leadoff hitter smashes a ball to short that Simmons makes an incredible play on and throws said hitter out a first, thus saving a base hit. Then the next batter smokes a bomb out of the stadium into the Lexus Lot.
Did Simmons "save" a run in this scenario?
Well if the first runner had gotten on then the home run would've scored 2 instead of 1, so yes
Depending on which portion of the Lexus lot, I do believe that'd be a foul ball. Thus, no runs are scored and we are all dumber for reading your scenario.
Alas, with the leadoff hitter on first base, the pitchers attention is diverted and he's also more likely to throw fastballs to keep the guy from stealing. Making it MORE likely the 2 hole hitter takes a dip into the fair portion of the Lexus lot.
Simmons may have just saved two runs, kemosabe.
My recollection of where the Lexus Lot might be off. No argument.
However the rest is not how it works in my opinion. Ever heard the term "bear down?" Specifically used towards a pitcher with runners on?
And you proved my point by using "may"
If players were actually robots and approached all situations the same they might have a bit more merit.
Not sure what "robots" have to do. A ton of stat guys understand that you have to let your eyes confirm. For example, I don't need stats to tell that Jason Heyward is the best defensive RF in baseball, and the same with Andrelton Simmons. I know that while Freeman (numbers wise) isn't great on defense, I watch him play every day and know that he is incredible at scooping balls from the dirt and saves a ton of runs by that (and in the links I listed, they admit to not use first base defensive stats for much influence...same with catcher).