This is NOT a thread about Trump or any current politician or election. This is about the long term nature of the economy once the Covid situation is over.
The predictions are dire. Goldman Sachs is forecasting peak unemployment to reach 25 % very soon. I heard on CNBC this morning that some economists are forecasting that about 40 % of the jobs lost due to the virus will not come back, ever. Not to say there will not be jobs or businesses that replace them. But, a lot of people who have lost their jobs are not going to be called back to those particular jobs.
A lot of these are bottom rung jobs. Restaurants, hospitality, basic service jobs. So they can be replaced.
What do you think is the long term nature of what's going to happen with the economy in terms of structure? Maybe less restaurants and hotels, resorts? People will be reluctant to go to them, anyway. Even when we have a vaccine this is going to resonate for awhile. Are we going to have chronic unemployment to deal with for a decade-plus? Like 10 %?