85SugarVol
I prefer the tumult of Liberty
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Those stats are real, and it’s a valid point. But I have come to believe that Trump truly is an anomaly (in more ways than one) with regards to polling.The polls also had Bill Clinton winning in 1992 and 1996, George W. Bush winning in 2000 and 2004 and Barack Obama winning in 2008 and 2012 right up until election day. You can disparage them all you want over 2016 but they are right much more frequently than they are wrong. We all know that Trump would be tweeting out these poll results on a daily basis, if they showed him winning. It's not the polls that you have a problem with, it's what the polls are showing that bothers you.
It was clear in the aftermath of 2016 that there were entire swaths of silent Trump voters that were going undetected by the polling methods. For multiple reasons, probably.
Could the polling science have evolved and adapted, and be accurately picking up what was invisible to the methods the last time around? Sure, that’s possible.
But the opposite could be true as well. That being there are large numbers of Trump voters that are being missed, or that simply do not wish to be identified.
We won’t know until we get to the election. If we get to the election.