Cincy lost, which means at best they can finish 10-6 (They still play the Ravens again)
As long as NYJ and OAK lose 1 of there remaining 3 games and one of them finishes 10-6, and we win out we're in. We have the conference record tiebreaker in any 3 way tie and over the Jets/Raiders/Broncos.
Jets remaining schedule: 8-5
@ Philly
vs Giants
@ Miami
Raiders remaining schedule: 7-5
@ Green Bay
vs Detroit
@ KC
vs San Diego
Broncos Remaining Schedule: 7-5
vs Chicago
vs New England
@ Buffalo
vs KC
Bengals Remaining Schedule: 7-6
@ st louis
vs Arizona
vs Baltimore
I don't see the Jets going better than 10-6
Oakland is already down 31-0 against green bay and if they lose they'll have to win out just to be 10-6 which wouldn't be enough.
Broncos will drop at least one to the Pats, don't really see them being a problem.
Even if Cincy wins out, in a 3 way tie we get in, and they still have to play baltimore.
We've got 2 freebies and then Houston, I think we still get in if we win out.