This is the day we let college football know we're back...

#29
#29
If both teams play their standard game plan UGA wins. UT needs to shake it up today. If they try to force the run against this team they will not get many points. UGA's achilles heal is their pass defense. Roll him out and throw down field over and over and it gets interesting, grab the lead and then sic Sampson on them.
 
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#31
#31
The greatest predictor of future behavior . . . Is past behavior. We have been a slow starting team . . . Not great in first halves. It’s an undeniable trend. A slow start in a night road game against an angry / backs against the wall UGA team . . . Means a slow first half = loss.

Can UT change that? Yes. But there is zero evidence this year to think that’s likely.

The offense has struggled. Everyone keeps saying “we are so close.” At some point it’s not that you are close . . . It’s who you are.

Presnap penalties putting us behind the chains in road games is also an undeniable trend. This offense is not explosive enough to overcome 1st and 15 or 1st and 20.

I am hopeful for a win like everyone else. But zero of the metrics / how we have played on the road against what we now know are bad Oklahoma and Arkansas teams makes me think UT wins this game.

I will gladly be wrong.

To win . . . I think we will have to score 27 plus. That means 150 plus rushing from Sampson . . . Multiple TDs from Sampson, and Nico will have to throw for 225 plus with no turnovers.
 
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#32
#32
ATLVols said:
We are getting almost no respect for being top of the SEC right now. Would love to wake up college football by finally putting everything together. If we start doing that, we have a team that can beat any team in the country.
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Yep. Listening to the media you’d think we were a 5-6 win team at this point in the season.
 
#33
#33
ATLVols said:
We are getting almost no respect for being top of the SEC right now. Would love to wake up college football by finally putting everything together. If we start doing that, we have a team that can beat any team in the country.
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Our record says we’re pretty good but the eye test says we aren’t that great especially on offense. That starts with qb then the o-line.
 
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#40
#40
C-south said:
Lol. What in the world are you talking about? I’m saying we haven’t looked overly impressive against any sec opponents and everyone has taken notice.
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I thought we looked very impressive against Oklahoma, Alabama, and Mississippi State. That's half of our current SEC schedule.
 
#41
#41
Clad in Big Orange said:
I hope you guys are right! Georgia doesn't lose at home. Vols don't play well on the road. Kirby has proven many times that he can get his team up for a game with huge implications.
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History says we normally play well at Georgia. They don't have jinx like Florida has. It's really weird but we historically play well on the road at LSU and at Georgia.
 
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#42
#42
Dobbs 4 Heisman said:
I thought we looked very impressive against Oklahoma, Alabama, and Mississippi State. That's half of our current SEC schedule.
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Offense was non existent 2nd half of Oklahoma and honestly has been ever since. Thankfully we had one big play. Like many other sec games we trailed bama at half. Glad we played well enough to pull that out in the 2nd half. I hope you’re not bragging about beating one of the worst teams in the sec with Miss St. That said the defense actually didn’t look that great against the run but we made enough plays on offense to do what we had to do.
 
#43
#43
Over the last 35 games, we're 28-7, which is an 80% win rate. We are "back".

During Fulmer's full seasons as head coach in the 90s we went 71-13-2, which is an 82.5% win ratio, and that was with the oddity of having an elite, #1 overall prospect decide to stick around for 4 years instead of leaving for the draft, then in 1998 having one of the luckier seasons in our history(on top of playing extremely complimentary football on offense and elite defense, not knocking the team's greatness).

You give Heupel a Peyton Manning-tier QB for 4 years, we'd have won a couple more games last year and be undefeated this year more than likely. Just give another win over the last 2 seasons from having said QB, it puts us at 82.8%.

We are basically as good right now as we've been in the last 60 years.

The only way the team isn't "back" is if you have an inflated opinion of how good we actually were at our best.
 
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#44
#44
This is a massive ask to beat UGA on the road. GA can beat anybody in the country if circumstances are right and to think "we got this" is being waaaaay overly optimistic. I don't care where GA is ranked this is a huge task.
 
#45
#45
djohnnyg said:
This is a massive ask to beat UGA on the road. GA can beat anybody in the country if circumstances are right and to think "we got this" is being waaaaay overly optimistic. I don't care where GA is ranked this is a huge task.
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There is nothing special about UGA this year. If we don’t beat ourselves with stupid penalties and have just decent qb play we have a chance.
 
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#46
#46
It’s going to have to be a big turnaround. We have played fairly one dimensional all year (great feeble, a sputtering offense). And that Arkansas loss was a stinker that showed that, at least so far, we are probably still not ready to take that next step. That could change tonight. Will our guys step up? … Or will they shrink and fall apart? I’m anxious to finally see a good sign.
 
#47
#47
VOLtaism said:
If both teams play their standard game plan UGA wins. UT needs to shake it up today. If they try to force the run against this team they will not get many points. UGA's achilles heal is their pass defense. Roll him out and throw down field over and over and it gets interesting, grab the lead and then sic Sampson on them.
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I'm with ya. Statistically UT has ranked high against the run and high in rushing nationally. UGA has recently climbed against the run. UT has made a huge jump in pass defense lately while the dawgs don't have a good pass defense. Short passes to our tight ends and a couple of long deep passes is the way to go imo. Let the pass set-up the run in this instance.
 
#49
#49
This game is as must win as " must win" gets. We lose and the narrative remains the same and potentially gets worse.
We need this one folks. And I'm not worried about the playoffs. I'm talking recruiting and our nationalrespect as a top tier program. Georgia is right on the edge. We just need to give them a slight push.
 
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