TennTradition
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... since IP hasn't responded, I'm going to assume that's right for now.
If it is wrong, please say IP... but if correct, does that not mean that some part of your livelihood is dependent on the idea that we are headed for a disaster due to what we are doing via AGW? I mean, who is going to pay someone to do temperature reconstructions and understand climate, if it doesn't mean we're headed toward the apocalypse?
I hope that comes out right as well... this has always been one of my contentions about many climatologists... that their livelihood is dependent on AGW (as a doomsday problem), so why would they admit that it doesn't really matter what we do, the climate will change anyway, and our actions either way can't change that. ???
I'm interested in your response, not looking to start another fight.
Many paleoclimatologists of my ilk get funding for projects of anthropological and natural history significance, more than anything.
For example, my recent project hasn't produced anything really interesting in regards to modern anthropogenic climate change for a variety of reasons, but it does paint an interesting picture of vegetation history and may provide interesting information about human settlement.
You can only get the sort of information that's "there," and you don't know what's "there" until you look.
I wouldn't try to say that my field or scientific academia in general doesn't receive funding for GCC type projects on a regular basis, but if that wasn't an issue or even a funded thing, there would always be other things for the discipline to do.
Of course, there are some individuals that are completely hitched to the GCC money wagon. I just don't know any personally, and they aren't as common as one might think.
My livelihood is ultimately hitched to education and a better understanding of past environments, so if GCC was somehow completely shutdown and absolutely disproven, or addressed and corrected by some new technology tomorrow, I would still have plenty of things to do that would be able to get funding.
So I see my assumption of working for funding holds water, who would have thunk it? So we now know that your lively hood does in fact depend on people believing and accepting your beliefs. If Global Warming fails or your source study, you loose funding. Then you have to move along to something else to acquire funding to support your lively hood. I hope you can see by your own words here why some of us doubt science because of its ties to funding for its support.
I'm not posting anymore in this thread after this, so here is what I believe....
1. Man-made global warming is bunk. There have been hotter periods in the Earth's history and CO2 levels were not as high.
2. We are in the midst of climate change, but it's cyclical, not man-made. If people want to look at things dying as an indicator of climate change, then I would agree to a point, but it probably has more to do with pollution than anything.
3. No matter it we throw trillions of dollars at this theory, climate change is going to happen and we can argue about it all day long and not change that fact either.
4. The polar ice caps will NEVER fully melt. In fact, the Arctic Cap has grown by 409,000 square miles since 2007. So, get that doomsday theory out of the books.
5. There is NO one person, group, governmental agency, or private company that can accurately tell us what is going to happen in 20-30 years, let alone 3-5 years. So, they need to stop funneling money into the pit of money hell.
6. Even if we do warm up and have more rain, it will help with farming for the most part. We will have longer growing seasons, which means more food and it will be cheaper. We will also be able to grow things in places that we haven't been able to before. Thus, it will create jobs.
So, these are just a few examples of what I believe, and what will happen. If people want to continue down the doomsday platform, watch for the edge because it's not too far away. If people would stop trying to figure out what they can change, and figure out what they can control, the world would be a MUCH better place.
I'm not posting anymore in this thread after this, so here is what I believe....
1. Man-made global warming is bunk. There have been hotter periods in the Earth's history and CO2 levels were not as high.
Let's say it's the summer and you are working outside and get overheated - you feel like crap, because your core body temperature has risen to 102. Let's compare that to a time when you had the flu and were laying on the couch feeling like crap with a core body temperature of 104. In the past you were hotter, yet your activity level was lower. Obviously this isn't a great analogy, but I use it to point out that more than one thing can cause warming, and the fact that we were hotter without it in the past doesn't mean it isn't causing warming now. It's the wrong way to look at this issue, IMO
2. We are in the midst of climate change, but it's cyclical, not man-made. If people want to look at things dying as an indicator of climate change, then I would agree to a point, but it probably has more to do with pollution than anything.
That's an odd statement...there is a lot more the climate scientists are looking at than what is dying - actually, that part of the IPCC assessment reports (the biological record) is a part that I am fairly wary of...particularly in forecasting future death.
3. No matter it we throw trillions of dollars at this theory, climate change is going to happen and we can argue about it all day long and not change that fact either.
This makes much more sense than argument 1. This can be debated, but I think that one can at least reasonbly defend the position.
4. The polar ice caps will NEVER fully melt. In fact, the Arctic Cap has grown by 409,000 square miles since 2007. So, get that doomsday theory out of the books.
You're cracking me up. Neither you or I know if that will NEVER happen, because as you point out in item 3, climate change will happen without our influence and in a way that we cannot control (save some new technology like space mirrors/lenses that we don't have today).
5. There is NO one person, group, governmental agency, or private company that can accurately tell us what is going to happen in 20-30 years, let alone 3-5 years. So, they need to stop funneling money into the pit of money hell.
All any group can do is make predictions and go from there. Industry, government, etc. all have to do this. Throwing money at AGW is a big deal and should be regarded as so. I won't make light of it. It is enforcing a massive technological shift that had better be necessary if you are going to do it.
6. Even if we do warm up and have more rain, it will help with farming for the most part. We will have longer growing seasons, which means more food and it will be cheaper. We will also be able to grow things in places that we haven't been able to before. Thus, it will create jobs.
There is a lot wrong with this statement, Eric. I don't think you really have any idea what you are talking about here, honestly. It's like this is the way you thought it up in your head, so it must be this way. You state something that is wrong on multiple levels as fact. Will some areas benefit from global warming? Sure. Will the scenario you describe be beneficial? Not in the way you lay it out, IMO (and what I have studied about this issue).
Snowfall is generally good (as long as it doesn't happen all year!) because it rests on the land, usually has a slow melt form the bottom, and gives a lot of moisture to the ground, without a high amount of runoff. This is great for soil moisture. It is generally believed that many areas will see increased precipitation as rain, but if this rain comes in stronger storms (which it is believed by many that it will, but this could be debated), then the soil can be drier than it was before because the rain will fall too fast and runoff. A lot of areas depend on snow melt from the mountains surrounding there area to give them irrigation waters throughout the spring and into the summer. This allows them to farm in areas they otherwise would not be able to. If that snow falls as rain, then that opportunity is lost. Growing seasons will only be longer if soil moisture will keep up - and drought/water shortage is one of the big concerns about a changing climate - whether man is helping to steer it or not.
So, these are just a few examples of what I believe, and what will happen. If people want to continue down the doomsday platform, watch for the edge because it's not too far away. If people would stop trying to figure out what they can change, and figure out what they can control, the world would be a MUCH better place.
Keeping perspective on what we are trying to affect isn't bad advice, IMO.
He was really indicating to the contrary. :hi:So I see my assumption of working for funding holds water, who would have thunk it? So we now know that your lively hood does in fact depend on people believing and accepting your beliefs. If Global Warming fails or your source study, you loose funding. Then you have to move along to something else to acquire funding to support your lively hood. I hope you can see by your own words here why some of us doubt science because of its ties to funding for its support.
See bolded above....
So I see my assumption of working for funding holds water, who would have thunk it? So we now know that your lively hood does in fact depend on people believing and accepting your beliefs. If Global Warming fails or your source study, you loose funding. Then you have to move along to something else to acquire funding to support your lively hood. I hope you can see by your own words here why some of us doubt science because of its ties to funding for its support.
So if I were to study evidence to disprove Global warming, no one would fund it? It works both ways, just look at that creation museum Creationism is laughed at by ALMOST the entire scientific community, yet millions are pored into disproving it. This museum took millions of dollars to create.
There is plenty of funding to "disprove" global warming. It's just hard to find solid evidence that runs counter to it.
EDIT: 22 bucks for admission?!