UT Georgia computer model prediction

#2
#2
That’s wonderful considering computer models can’t predict weather accurately so I don’t give two flips about computer model predictions. I can’t tell you how many times inaccurate weather predictions have messed me up during deer season. My hope is that we beat GA by 17 or more. Watching Kirby lose it on the sideline is priceless.
 
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#6
#6
VolRage said:
That’s wonderful considering computer models can’t predict weather accurately so I don’t give two flips about computer model predictions. I can’t tell you how many times inaccurate weather predictions have messed me up during deer season. My hope is that we beat GA by 17 or more. Watching Kirby lose it on the sideline is priceless.
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The game aside, Good luck in your fight against computers. As long as they’re unplugged, my money is on you and the hammer.
 
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#11
#11
On paper, Georgia has us beat on talent and depth. Their coaches have significantly more big game experience. They are playing on their home turf and they are the defending National Champs. Georgia SHOULD be the heavy favorite.

Tennessee is where they are because of their ability to defy the odds. I believe in these players and coaches. They know they will have to elevate to have a chance in this one. I believe they can and they WILL!

GBO!!!
 
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#14
#14
TennesseeTarheel said:
It will depend on if the refs become the "12th man". You think they're reviewing plays on the sidelines when they're really checking ther Venmo accounts!
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Refs tried to keep the kentucky game close at first, then figured out it was a lost cause. Tennessee needs to do what Tennessee does.
 
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#15
#15
VolFan4Life87 said:
In the article: “For Tennessee, a loss would probably spell the end of their national title run.”

Why? If UGA does win and UT wins the remaining games on the schedule, who the F is the better one loss team than UT?
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Food for thought....

Hayes: Who’s No. 1? It’s Tennessee — and it’s obvious. Or should be, anyway

They’ll talk about strength of schedule, record vs. winning teams, good wins, bad wins, good losses and bad losses. Basically, the metrics Tennessee crushes.

You know what metric the Vols don’t? The We’ve Been Here Before metric. This is where Ohio State, despite playing 1 legitimate opponent (and nearly throwing up on itself), resides.
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#16
#16
VolRage said:
That’s wonderful considering computer models can’t predict weather accurately so I don’t give two flips about computer model predictions. I can’t tell you how many times inaccurate weather predictions have messed me up during deer season. My hope is that we beat GA by 17 or more. Watching Kirby lose it on the sideline is priceless.
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Can't predict the weather? They can predict the temperature of the entire earth to within 0.5 degrees 30 years from now.
 
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#18
#18
The point spread opened yesterday at -12.5. It is currently at -8.5. That is a 32% overnight devaluation. That means a very large majority of the money was being placed on Tennessee.

I don't know if anyone remembers, but we were nine point underdogs against Alabama. How'd that work out?
 
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#19
#19
VolRage said:
That’s wonderful considering computer models can’t predict weather accurately so I don’t give two flips about computer model predictions. I can’t tell you how many times inaccurate weather predictions have messed me up during deer season. My hope is that we beat GA by 17 or more. Watching Kirby lose it on the sideline is priceless.
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This is hilarious when people try to discredit the most accurate models. These types of models are used by Vegas. And while they aren't perfect, they are far more accurate than the alternative of humans randomly making bad guesses. The good computer models get things right more often than not and they are certainly more reliable than random internet message board posters.

That said, Tennessee's rapid improvement this season is difficult to factor into those models. The team that barely got by Pitt in overtime would've gotten clobbered by Georgia. The team that beat Bama, obliterated LSU, and destroyed Kentucky has a shot. It's rare for a team to improve this much this quickly and the models have difficulty factoring that in.

Georgia should be considered the favorite. It's in Athens and they've destroyed everyone they've played this season with the sole exception of Mizzou. But we have a better chance than the models suggest if we play like we have over the past few weeks.
 
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#21
#21
GBOplayer said:
ESPN Computer's Prediction For Georgia vs. Tennessee

A computer simulation using advanced metrics predicts that Georgia will win easily, 75% chance that Georgia will win....I guess that's why we are almost 2 touchdown underdogs
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The one has shifted. Some sports books have UGA at -7.5. It opened at -9 yesterday and moved towards the Vols less than 24 hours. I like our chances in this game.
 
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#22
#22
I wonder what the computer said about the likelihood of undefeated Tennessee playing against undefeated Georgia. I bet it was less than 25%.

This team is special in part because they have somehow defied the odds in many competitions. Claiming to predict a team who you have been unable to predict for 8 weeks... let's just say the history of predictions for this team doesn't give me confidence that the modelers have a good handle on it. This offense is a unicorn and we don't have a long history of predicting unicorn behavior.
 
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#23
#23
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#25
#25
Orangeblood75 said:
Same computers said Kensucky would slow us down 🤣 . How’d that work out for the kitties?
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This isn't true at all. The computer models had us as a big favorite over Kentucky. I only looked at a couple, but I know Sagarin had us favored by over 12 points and hasn't been "high" on Kentucky all season; in fact, the computers have never liked Kentucky as much as the media this year.
 
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