Vol #1 offense vs Wildcats #12 defense but….

#201
#201
VolArmy74 said:
I was looking at the Bassett Football Model and it gives us over an 80 percent chance of beating Kentucky. It predicts the score will be 45-24. It has predicted 206 games in the 80-89 percent win probability this season and it's 181-25 in those games.
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Need to look into that model. How is it doing against the spread?
 
#203
#203
I posted this in another thread but I think it's really important we look at red zone efficiency when looking at these 2 teams. Kentucky isn't an explosive team so they will be lining up in the red zone.

Tennessee

Red zone offense: 4th
Red zone defense: 13th

Kentucky

Red zone offense: tied at 87th with ironically Pitt and a few other teams
Red zone defense: tied at 37th with Miss St
 
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#208
#208
utfantilidie said:
The offensive line horrible!
The unit ranks 125th out of 131 FBS programs in sacks allowed, as well as 109th in tackles for loss allowed.
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Bama and UK defenses are statistically a wash. Our offense on the other hand is one of the best in the country and we have played one of the hardest schedules in the country.

Is it too early for the game day thread? Or is that start at 12:00:01 am.
 
#209
#209
CNCVol88 said:
I posted this in another thread but I think it's really important we look at red zone efficiency when looking at these 2 teams. Kentucky isn't an explosive team so they will be lining up in the red zone.

Tennessee

Red zone offense: 4th
Red zone defense: 13th

Kentucky

Red zone offense: tied at 87th with ironically Pitt and a few other teams
Red zone defense: tied at 37th with Miss St
Click to expand...
What I have loved most about the Heupel offense is red zone efficiency. We were terrible under Jones and Pruitt.
 
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#210
#210
firestorm said:
I could understand why this stat why David Pollock has the Volunteers on upset alert.
The Wildcats have a realistic chance to keep the game close if they win the turnover battle.

The game will be undramatic if the Wildcats can’t contain the big plays, and can’t get pressure on Hooker.
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If Kentucky could run the ball well, I could see this being a close game.... but they don't. Their offensive line is not very good. I just can't imagine Tennessee coming out flat for a night game on ESPN, especially with Tillman back. That seems to be what everyone agrees would have to happen.
 
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#214
#214
VolFan69420 said:
I'm a Vol fan, bud
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No you are not. You have 39 posts. 35 of them are saying Kentucky beats us, are arguing you aren't a troll. Several more say something negative about Tennessee. Your most recent gem:

VolFan69420 said:
Weird to bring up basketball. Our program might as well not exist. Also, our football program, which is our pride and joy, doesn't hold a candle to their school's success in their main sport. We wish we could have blue blood status in something.
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Editing to add: Of your 39 posts, I see 4 that aren't propping up Kentucky, claiming you are in fact a fan, or saying Tennessee is worse in some way to someone/something.
 
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#217
#217
patrick said:
Bama and UK defenses are statistically a wash. Our offense on the other hand is one of the best in the country and we have played one of the hardest schedules in the country.

Is it too early for the game day thread? Or is that start at 12:00:01 am.
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Bama has played much stiffer competition than Kentucky and their Defense practically held Mississippi State to a big ole Goose egg. Kentucky's Defense is going to be too slow to keep up with us offensively.
 
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#220
#220
Stephen Gray said:
No you are not. You have 39 posts. 35 of them are saying Kentucky beats us, are arguing you aren't a troll. Several more say something negative about Tennessee. Your most recent gem:



Editing to add: Of your 39 posts, I see 4 that aren't propping up Kentucky, claiming you are in fact a fan, or saying Tennessee is worse in some way to someone/something.
Click to expand...

Stalking an account is weird man. I've been a Vol fan all of my life. I'm just not willing to let delusion cloud my judgement.
 
#222
#222
VolArmy74 said:
I was looking at the Bassett Football Model and it gives us over an 80 percent chance of beating Kentucky. It predicts the score will be 45-24. It has predicted 206 games in the 80-89 percent win probability this season and it's 181-25 in those games.
Click to expand...

That is a great model for predicting the right results of College Football games this season.

I’m amazed the predicted score is 45-24 since my score prediction is Volunteers 45, Wildcats 27.
 
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#223
#223
I agree, of course, I am a little more sadistic about Kensucky's fate. I would like for them to be 7-5 and wind up in the Poulan Weed Eater Independence Bowl and lose by fitty to some team like Costal Carolina. Oh, and the weather conditions are unusually cold and it snows in Shreveport.
 
#224
#224
BowlBrother85 said:
If Kentucky could run the ball well, I could see this being a close game.... but they don't. Their offensive line is not very good. I just can't imagine Tennessee coming out flat for a night game on ESPN, especially with Tillman back. That seems to be what everyone agrees would have to happen.
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I have the slight fear of Kentucky winning a close game for that reason even though it’s a highly challenging task for Kentucky because of the not very good offensive line Kentucky has.

My confidence is 8 that the Volunteers score more than 31 points, and they defeat the Wildcats because the Volunteers protect the football, the thundering crowd in Rocky Top creates issues for the Wildcats, and Hooker has a great game throwing for more than 160 yards and runs for more than 40 yards because of great blocking.
10 is the highest with most confident that a stated prediction happens.
 
#225
#225
Saw an interesting stat just now that I had forgotten. People keep talking about KY “controlling” time of possession with their running game and keeping the UT offense off the field. In last year’s game, KY time of possession was 46 minutes out of 60 and we still put up 45 points in 14 minutes. Our offense and defense are both better this year. And the defense has been pretty good this year about stopping the run which is KY’s strength. Just don’t see KY being able to keep up on the scoreboard unless we have a bunch of turnovers.
 
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