I don't think he's a terrible game coach, and I don't think he's a bad recruiter. I do think he really struggles developing what he has. And most of that is because of the offensive system, or lack thereof, that we run.
I think some of the problem is that we have had to keep papering over the PG position (which ties into both recruiting and development and is probably Pearl's biggest "on-court" failing at this point).
I'm curious, so a quick glance at adjusted offensive efficiency as far back as kenpom.com goes:
2003 (UWM): 4th in Horizon League; 65th national
2004: 1st; 56th
2005: 1st; 61st
2006 (UT): 2nd in SEC; 8th national (5 of the top 17 were in the SEC East)
2007: 3rd; 14th
2008: 2nd; 19th
2009: 1st; 21st
2010: 8th; 64th
2011: 5th; 79th
So Pearl has generally had decent-to-good offensive teams until recently (although pace and transition arguably have had a lot to do with that).
The interesting years to me are 2009 and 2010. 2009 was the year we slowed down, averaging about 4 possessions less per game. However, we maintained good offensive efficiency even with the slower pace (also without Lofton for the first time, and with Maze in his first year).
In 2010, with largely the same group of players (before Tyler's dismissal), with an extra year of experience, and while playing at the same tempo, the offense went in the tank (though the defense improved a ton).
I don't really recall any style changes that would have made a difference there. I remember some suggesting that Tyler was clogging up the offense before his dismissal (he had a really high offensive efficiency, though), and Hopson's efficiency fell as he took a greater role, but the other individual ratings look pretty similar.
I was going to try to draw a conclusion, but I'm not sure what it would be (I'm definitely not an expert). 2009 is similar on the surface to this year's team, with a new JUCO starter at PG and no consistent outside shooting (2011 Scotty is better than any significant shooters from 2009). 2009 also showed that a Pearl-coached team can execute offensively in a slower system.
I don't think our starting lineup has as much talent this year as it did in 2009, but what changed in 2010 (last year)? Thoughts?