Well that's a convenient analysis. Talk about what Florida did well last year and say they won't do it as well this year, then conclude that therefore they won't be more productive. Leave out all the areas of improvement, including the bigger better threat for a running QB, true option plays built around that, improved receivers corps, more experienced offensive line. Yeah, if you leave all of that out, then I guess we are doomed.
Also, breaking in a new QB? The guy scored two TDs in the national championship game and ran 5-10 plays a game for the Gators. He's not exactly a newbie.