We should all appreciate everything that Josh Heupel has done for this program. But in my opinion, people need to temper their expectations and realize that he is currently
over achieving based on his resume as a coach. His numbers in his past coaching positions say as much.
CJH is a good, solid coach. There is no denying that. In four short years he's brought us from the cellar of the SEC, and the country for that matter, to being consistently ranked inside the top 12 and playing in our first CFP game. That hasn't been an easy task, especially with recruiting restrictions from the epic disaster that was the Philip Fulmer/Jeremy Pruitt fiasco. It takes a good coach to do that. But, there's a discernable pattern with Josh Heupel...he starts strong, peaks early, and then ultimately and quite unfortunately fades as the years progress.
At Oklahoma, he started out doing well as their QB coach and offensive coordinator...until he didn't. He was let go after an 8-5 season at the end of year 4 from the program in which he won a National Championship. His offense regressed over 4 years all while Oklahoma was pulling in top recruiting classes.
Was it a fluke? Did they give him enough time? Too many injuries? Did the recruits not understand or buy into the system? Or, did the Big 12 figure out how to stymie his "high powered" offense after being on film and defensive coordinators getting to prepare for it after a couple of years of seeing it first hand? Sounds kind of familiar.
Okay, no worries. He has a couple of stops at Utah State and Missouri and is...average. Not bad, but nothing to raise any eyebrows.
In 2017 he took over a UCF team from Scott Frost who had just went 13-0 and beat Auburn in the Peach Bowl ranked #6 in the country. He took an undefeated AAC Champion UCF team back to a 6-4 record in 3 years.
Again, fluke? Did the Covid year in 2019 play more of a factor that what we think? Maybe, but the numbers don't lie; the team regressed from when he took over.
But his winning percentage has gone up here at UT, you say. You are correct, and again, he should be commended for a job well done. Realistically, Tennessee had nowhere to go but up from an abysmal rock bottom 3 win season. We really were on life support when he got here.
I honestly thought that Tennessee would go 7-5 this year. My reasoning for that was nothing other than Heupel's own history when playing a major coaching roll in a program. I was wrong, and to Heupel's credit, we ended up 10-2 and in the CFP. I'll say it again,
I WAS WRONG. However, if you're honest with yourself, you know that we were a couple of plays away from that 7-5 record I alluded to. OU, Florida, and Alabama were all wins that could have easily went the other way. Again, to Heupel's credit, we would've been on the losing end of those games in years past. So, was winning those types of games a sign of Heupel's progress as a coach? Man, I sure wanted to believe that; then Saturday night happened.
The way this team and coaching staff were completely dominated in every facet of the game was sobering. The fact that they had 3 weeks to prepare for getting their teeth kicked in doesn't bode well for things to come if he's not willing to change the status quo. We looked lost, like we didn't belong on the same field. Truth be told, we didn't. I understand loyalty. I understand and respect rewarding people who work hard, but college football is a dog eat dog world. Just like the players who hit the portal,
loyalty be damned! You either go out and get the best support staff you can find, or continue to be content as a pretty good, but far from great program.
Heupel should be appreciated for what he's done in a few short years on the hill. He brought us out of the wilderness and has us being relevant again in college football, but temper your expectations...I think you're witnessing absolute peak Josh Heupel at Tennessee right now. Nothing about his record tells me he has the coaching acumen to reach the upper echelon of the elites in college football.
He's a really good coach...really good. But there's light years difference between really good coaches and elite championship winning coaches.