Win and in

[JoAllan]

Only how Tennessee is not in if they win out is if tcu wins out and Michigan beats Ohio state in a 4 ot win. Not bc it should happen but bc it's Ohio state.

I’m with you and I do believe Tennessee gets in.

However Tuesday should tell us a lot about what the committee is thinking and what they may be up to.

Look for USC to jump LSU. “If” they are wanting to make sure some of the conference champs get in over a team like Tennessee we should see Clemson also start to move back up and UNC take a big jump……….it’s really all they got (if that’s what their looking for - USC, Clemson/UNC) USC needs to get right behind Tennessee, and Clemson/UNC will have to be right on USC’s heals……..at least after next week.

 

[Hulavol]

I guess it’s the BVS that’s so rampant around here, but there is like literally zero chance that UT isn’t in as long as they win out. And they don’t need to win by fiddy either— although they will.

Top 10 in order:
UGA
OSU
VOLS

From here some debate, but I believe :

PAC champ #4

TCU - no dice
LSU
Alabama
Michigan
ACC champ
PAC runner up

And that’s how the cookie crumbles.

 

[volsfan24017]

So, keep blowing out opponents, and we're in. When we were #1 and lost, we dropped 4 spots to #5, correct? Excluding Georgia, any of the other 3 teams lose between now and final selection (which obviously one will), we are in!

Big Orange, keep doing your thing!

 

[markus]

Tennessee needs Georgia to beat LSU. If LSU beats Georgia, both those teams are in and Tennessee is out. If Georgia beats LSU, then Tennessee is in as long as they win out.

they will never put LSU in if they win...their record does not work

 

[DrTNT]

If UCLA and USC drop one, TCU won't matter

Oregon & UCLA did their part… now the remaining USC schedule is @ UCLA & vs. ND (both ranked teams… usc lost its only game against a ranked team this year…) then if they manage to win those they’ll likely play Oregon in the PAC-12 or 10 or whatever championship game… I think they can find a loss or 2 in there somewhere…

 

[JMSqb11]

You have to be stupid to think otherwise. Loser of UM and OSU don't have the strength to pass

This is a correct statement.

 

[DrTNT]

Of course we do but over the RECENT years, who has been at the top of their game?

A one good loss tOSU?
A one ugh loss Clemson?
A one tough day loss to GA, TN?

Without orange glasses..... Ohio State and Clemson have been there recently way more often and won it all way more recently than us.

Clemson’s 1 loss is to a 3 loss ND team…

 

[Jeff Clark]

You have to be stupid to think otherwise. Loser of UM and OSU don't have the strength to pass

It may not be that simple...................................just sayin'

 

[farmdogvol]

A 1 loss Pac-12 Champ USC will be in over Vols.

 

[JMSqb11]

A 1 loss Pac-12 Champ USC will be in over Vols.

LOLOLOLOLOLOLOL

 

[LadyVolette]

Tennessee needs Georgia to beat LSU. If LSU beats Georgia, both those teams are in and Tennessee is out. If Georgia beats LSU, then Tennessee is in as long as they win out.

Georgia would beat LSU, pretty confident on that one lol

 

[LadyVolette]

Only how Tennessee is not in if they win out is if tcu wins out and Michigan beats Ohio state in a 4 ot win. Not bc it should happen but bc it's Ohio state.

So we really need Ohio state and Georgia to win out? Gag.. but I see it happening lol

 

[Orange-U-Glad]

I’m not sure TCU loses. They compete for 60 minutes. Now that Oregon and UCLA have lost , we need USC to lose and OSU to beat Michigan.

 

[cardvolfan]

You have to be stupid to think otherwise. Loser of UM and OSU don't have the strength to pass

Stupid is a harsh word for describing someone who disagrees with you. What should happen and what does happen are totally different at times. The bias people have demonstrated tells us that we never know for sure what will happen until it happens.

 

[Iam4utalways]

It seems like the playoffs has made other bowl games meaningless to people. It’s playoffs or nothing it seems

Way back when bowl games didn’t matter at all they voted on the NC before they were even played. Even now they still pick the Heisman before the bowl games. The only bowl games that have ever matter once they were part of the NC equation are the ones that involved the top teams. I’m glad college football finally got it right by trying to match up the top teams at the end.

 

[calban]

And then there is REALITY and the Human Beans that do the choosing. Nothing will surprise me.

 

[tellicoflash]

Well positive note when it’s 12 team I would say we have a shot getting in lol

and those 12 will be the bowl games!!

 

[UTK]

You have to be stupid to think otherwise. Loser of UM and OSU don't have the strength to pass

UM of OSU ain’t the team to worry about. One will eliminate the other. USC and TCU are concerning. One of them needs to lose a game to be 100% in

 

[BigALWiLson]

But they have media favor. Like it or not, outside the SEC tOSU is considered on par with UGA. If Michigan beats them then both are in. If Michigan plays them close then they might get the nod.

TCU winning and making Texas look bad didn't help. The media LOVES Texas and Ewers.

Texas and Ewers both blow huge monkey nuts.... Horrible. Tennessee skull drags either team

 

[hUTch2002]

Consider a scenario where GA, TCU, and tOSU are undefeated. They're in.

USC has one loss and wins the P12
Clemson has one loss and wins the ACC
TN has one loss to GA and no championship
MI has one loss to tOSU and no championship

So who gets in? It's not as easy as "win and we're in" because several good teams are likely to be one loss teams.

Neither Clemson nor USC have the wins we do and both have a worse loss. Their conference championships wouldn’t be enough to trump that. Michigan would have a similar loss but definitely not wins like us and with no championship that’s enough to stay in front of them. We’re I great shape and more chaos is coming. I think we will be the 3 seed and Clemson will get the 4 after the dust settles.

 

[hUTch2002]

Of course we do but over the RECENT years, who has been at the top of their game?

A one good loss tOSU?
A one ugh loss Clemson?
A one tough day loss to GA, TN?

Without orange glasses..... Ohio State and Clemson have been there recently way more often and won it all way more recently than us.

Outside of Ohio State’s 2014 run, which they only made because their QB got hurt, they’ve been pretty bad in the playoff.

 

[Vols1313]

If UCLA and USC drop one, TCU won't matter

Welp one down one to go and they play each other next week

 

[K87vol]

Yes, just win out. We're in good shape. Early yesterday it was ..."oh but what about Oregon".. Now it's what about blah blah blah.
Just win.
Go Vols!

 

[turbovol]

We should get in if we win out.

The only way we don't get in is if lsu beats georgia in the SEC title game and the committee screws us and opts to put a two-lose team in
the playoff for the first time ever--and one that got whipped on its home field by us.

The only other possibility is for the committee to pick a one-loss usc if it wins the Pac10 title. But usc has still got three tough games and
even if it wins all three I don't think the committee will choose it, as our SOS will be considerably better.

 

[VolCalls]

Everyone relax. Let’s be rational about this.

1) TCU deserves to be in right now - they’re 10-0 in a Power 5 league with wins over five ranked teams and will probably be 12-0 heading into the Big 12 title game. If they go 13-0 they’re a lock. If they lose the title game, they’re likely out. A #3 seed is their ceiling.

2) I’m not worried about the Pac 12 because USC won’t beat both UCLA and Notre Dame and Oregon, two of whom are pissed off coming off of losses, and UCLA doesn’t, and won’t, have the strength of schedule or record. Heck, they were ranked #12 and will take a tumble after last night’s bad loss at home, so even if they win out from here and finish 12-1 they aren’t going to jump 12-14 places in the next three weeks to make the top four.

3) Clemson still has a shot if they win out, depending on what else happens. A win over a red-hot UNC would help their cause, but they would still need chaos elsewhere due to the weakness of the ACC.

4) Mich/Ohio State loser would also need help due to SOS and SOR. If that game is a nail-biter, there will be a discussion - especially if OSU loses. Either way, one of those two is winning the Big Ten.

5) We all know Georgia needs to beat LSU, just so the CFP doesn’t need to have another discussion. Still, our head-to-head convincing win would be the deciding factor, IMO.

6) The only scenario where I will sweat is if TCU goes 13-0, USC and Clemson win out, Mich/OSU is a one possession game, and LSU beats Georgia. I think the odds of all of these happening are less than 5%, mainly due to the last one.

We have the #2 SOS, the #2 SOR, our only loss is at #1, and we play in the most powerful league in America, which has gotten two teams in multiple times before. No need to get worked up because our opinions don’t matter anyway!

Win these last two and we’re in. Period.