Yahoo (Rivals) article "Will UT's recruiting last?"

#52
#52
Pump Guy said:
According to Rivals:

The number of 4 stars and our final "ranking"

2005 16 4th
2008 4 35th
2009 9 10th (two 5 stars)
2010 12 9th (one 5 star)
2011 12 13th
2012 10 17th
2013 5 21st

Currently nine 4 stars
Click to expand...

No need to bring a statistical analysis to the thread; we're debating this one based on what our guts tell us.
 
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#53
#53
For some reason, these sportswriters act like we (fans, players, coaches, recruits, etc) don't already know this season is going to be tough...I just get the impression these morons act like if we lose 6 games then everyone will decommit...when everyone, including the recruits, expects a 6 loss season already.
 
#56
#56
Some of these predictors might have played football - if they could have qualified to go to college.
 
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#57
#57
lawgator1 said:
1 Point =

SchruteBuck.jpg
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I prefer it in Stanley nickels.
 
#59
#59
:banghead2::banghead2::banghead2::banghead2::banghead2::banghead2::banghead2::banghead2::banghead2::banghead2::banghead2::banghead2::banghead2::banghead2:I am getting pissed ffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff them.
 
#63
#63
Ignore the ignorant. This guy seems never to have seen addition, subtraction, multiplication or division. As of now, Rivals puts us #1 with 22 recruits and a 3.41 average. Since they only count the top 20 recruits our total can't go down. With openings for 8-10 more signees any more 4-stars will push 3-stars out of the 20, raising our average. We can only go up, hopefully with some Berrys and other choice fruits. BTW, we are the only team presently with a double-digit collection of 4-stars.
 
#64
#64
"Extrapolating the data points for this class, Tennessee has nowhere to go but down as the season moves on. If no team from outside of the current configuration of the Top 25 makes a major move, the Vols should be able to finish in the No. 10 spot. The numbers say that if the program does not add any more valuable commits and closes with just the 2,095 points that is currently has that would figure for a No. 14 finish. The math also indicates that at least eight teams from outside the Top 25 will make a run as the recruiting period closes. Therefore, it would not be a shock to see Tennessee as high as No. 8 but as low as No. 14, even if it adds another four-star or two."

OB-YG275_0719ob_G_20130719141257.jpg
 
#65
#65
Unless we close on some 5* guys between now and NSD, I see us finishing top 15 at worst, but not much better than top 10. This class is shaping up to be great, but if you're counting stars, we don't have too many 5*'s and when they choose the Bamas and USC's of FBS, we will fall to #9-#10.

That being said, even finishing top 25 considering the last several seasons is an awesome feat - and as I said I expect us to finish around #10. Jones is recruiting like a madman. Additionally, he has a keen eye for talent and routinely picks up 3* players that play like elite 4* players with his coaching/guidance. I've no doubt we'll be sitting pretty here in 2-4 years.
 
#66
#66
After reading this whole thread it seems like people have forgotten that these kids don't sign until Feb. So remember just like we can get some more 4* commits, kids rankings can go up or down, and we can also lose commits. This season hasn't started yet, and we can't underestimate the importance of how it goes. 6 win season or less can be bad in keeping the class. We need 7 and some great momentum going into next season to have a chance to lock up the Top 5 finish yall are pre-ejaculating over.

Granted there are some solid commits..the legacies and the TN kids. But others can be turned by the best in the business if they want them.
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#67
#67
I think Bama, Michigan, ND, A&M, and LSU will finish in the top 5. We have some great guys coming in and they will help us tremendously... but with Hurd as the only 5* (according to 247 but not Rivals), we don't have enough stars.

What we DO have is a group of guys who have committed because they see the direction CBJ is going and they have bought in to it. On top of that, these kids have become brothers off the field without even practicing together yet.

I'd take a #10 recruiting class with that kind of commitment and chemistry over a statistical #1 class any day.
 
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#69
#69
skasper is right-on.

If you look at average star ratings in Rivals, we're ranked #9. Of the eight teams above us, five of them have better than even odds at beating us: Alabama, Notre Dame, LSU, Texas A&M, and Michigan.

Clemson is probably about 50-50. USC's star rating is only based off of 7 recruits (vs 23 for us), so their #2 average rating is misleading; we will probably beat them. We're also very close to Georgia, but I suspect they'll make a big run before it's all over, so that's another 50-50.

Of the teams ranked below us (on avr star rating), Florida, South Carolina, and Ohio State appear to be the only major threats to catch up, but for now, we appear to be in better shape. Washington is tied with us on avr rating, but very unlikely that they stay up there (and it's only based off of 7 recruits).

All in all, a good guess is that we'll end up somewhere around 6 - 10 overall. Based on everything right now, we're probably around #7 or #8. Grabbing a top 10 class is a huge victory for us!


The analysis in the article seems a bit off, because the author is looking at 'average star ratings' in previous years, but it appears that star ratings increase as the year goes on, as there were significantly more 5*'s in previous years. In 2012, there were 32-5*'s. In 2013, there were 33. For 2014, there are only 18 right now. Based on that, you would expect the 2012 and 2013 avr star ratings to be higher.

Hence, unless we have a few critical defections, it's unlikely that we'd fall to #14 even in a worst case scenario. Right now, the low is probably #12, assuming that all the teams with higher average star ratings beat us, and Ohio State, Florida, and USCe pass us.

Best case scenario is probably #4 or #5. Can't see us passing 'Bama or Notre Dame. LSU would also be tough to beat. If we were to grab a few more great recruits, we could conceivably edge out Texas A&M, Clemson, and/or Michigan.
 
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#70
#70
People do not wanna see Tennessee succeed. They never have, the BCS Champ year everyone in America was praying we lost. its just how they are, they wanna keep us down for as long as possible. Tennessee will have the number one class this year and we will be back on top very very soon. GBO and have a good day!!!
 
#72
#72
UT may not finish with the number one class come NSD but if the staff can add even more quality players and maintain what they've got they will have assembled a class that stacks up against anyone, no matter what the sites say.
 
#73
#73
how many can Miami take i wonder? but yeh i dont care if we finish number 1 bc i know this class can go toe to toe with anyone. it will prob be top five or 6 though. however, if you throw a surprise or two in there it could definitely be right there at 1,2 or 3 by NSD
 
#74
#74
RiseToTheTop said:
how many can Miami take i wonder? but yeh i dont care if we finish number 1 bc i know this class can go toe to toe with anyone. it will prob be top five or 6 though. however, if you throw a surprise or two in there it could definitely be right there at 1,2 or 3 by NSD
Click to expand...

Hurd, Bates, TK, of the three I think one gets the 5* rating.

How many spots we have left, 6 or 7? Either way, sixteen 4* commits looks REAL nice no matter what the sites rank you.
 
#75
#75
GahLee said:
Hurd, Bates, TK, of the three I think one gets the 5* rating.

How many spots we have left, 6 or 7? Either way, sixteen 4* commits looks REAL nice no matter what the sites rank you.
Click to expand...

Enough to sign the Berry boys!!! They have a reservation! GBO!!!
 
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