Vol fans didn't want to hear it then, Gator fans don't want to hear it now.
It's funny how people tend to try to change reality to fit their perception, instead of the opposite.
You still think this is a good UF team? How? Have you look at what they're doing on the field?
If UT and UF were playing in Atlanta on Saturday would you still favor UF?
Talent evaluations show that UF has not lost a game they should have won, nor won a game they should have lost. What I see is a team that is performing very tightly within expectations. I expect (70%) that trend to continue on Saturday, with an L for them. It is immaterial to this evaluation if they lose by 1000 or 1.
So back to my question, if the 2 teams were playing this Sat. In ATL...who do you think wins?
Florida. But you knew the answer to that before you asked which is why I didn't answer it as succinctly to begin with. I thought you might have thought that Florida was under-performing in relation to talent, which is simply not true. You know how I evaluate wins and losses because we've discussed it several times. Unless UT shoe-horned a couple of top five classes into the roster during the season, a rematch wouldn't be evaluated (with this evaluation) differently than the initial match-up.
Talent evaluations show that UF has not lost a game they should have won, nor won a game they should have lost. What I see is a team that is performing very tightly within expectations. I expect (70%) that trend to continue on Saturday, with an L for them. It is immaterial to this evaluation if they lose by 1000 or 1.
Florida. But you knew the answer to that before you asked which is why I didn't answer it as succinctly to begin with. I thought you might have thought that Florida was under-performing in relation to talent, which is simply not true. You know how I evaluate wins and losses because we've discussed it several times. Unless UT shoe-horned a couple of top five classes into the roster during the season, a rematch wouldn't be evaluated (with this evaluation) differently than the initial match-up.
No, I think UF has been mis-evaluated. The rankings don't take into account "need." They're just numbers driven...and Rivals doesn't even count all the players! For instance, I would rate Trevor Daniel very highly as an impact player for UT. Where is he in the rankings? He's not.
Here's another example, if a team went out and signed all the top defensive players in the country...ALL 5 & 4 stars. Under this system that team would easily have the #1 class. But they didn't sign any offensive player, but who cares, right?
Back to UF & FSU, the main difference is the 2015 class. Otherwise UF would be the more "talented" team on paper.
So what you are saying is that the talent evaluation says you're wrong, the on the field matchup says you're wrong, but you've found a way to convince yourself that you're right?
Look, I get it. I've been in sports analytics long enough to know that data doesn't tend to move people from their firmly held beliefs.
I don't rank classes equally. I would tilt it towards upper-classmen (starters) or experience.
A 5 star that didn't pan out or was injury prone didn't provide 5 star production. It happens. Just like the Trevor Daniel's of the world...and Cam Sutton's.
So, if I understand correctly....Florida, who you had going 7-5 before the season, is not considerably better due to anything CJM or his staff have done, it's because they're vastly more talented than EVEN YOU knew. Well, they haven't looked very talented at all the last 2 games I've seen them play vs Vandy and Fla Atlantic....yet they found a way to win....with, at best, a very inexperienced, patchwork OL that had 10 career starts (all from one guy), a pedestrian soph QB, a true freshman and true soph and converted soph RB at WR. Also had some injuries to that defense at linebacker and in the secondary, yet they've continued to win under a first year coach.
You had a very talented Tennessee team (I agree with you there) going 10-2 (I was almost with you, thought 9-3 was a fair projection).....what reason(s) do you attribute to their falling short this year?