2014 UT-UF analysis?

UF will get the offense running like nobodies business going into the Bama game. Most likely will get smacked down by the tide, then a week off to recoup and prepare for a trip to K-Town.

The Vols have Utah State, Arkansas State, which hopefully helps the Vols offense get in a groove. Ou is gonna break a bunch of orange hearts, Uga most likely will to. So the young Vols are gonna be desperate for a victory to keep from falling under .500, going 0-2 in SEC play, and more importantly getting that Gator off their back. It's easily our game of the year.
 
Florida will probably have the biggest edge of all edges with its defensive line vs. Tennessee's offensive line.

Despite all the high minded stuff people throw out there, Florida wins this game every year because they win the battle up front.

If the UT O-line gives the QB time to throw, and opens a few holes for the RBs, we win. I don't think anyone will be able to consistently cover our receivers if the QB has time to get the ball to them. Time will tell.
 
UF will get the offense running like nobodies business going into the Bama game. Most likely will get smacked down by the tide, then a week off to recoup and prepare for a trip to K-Town.

The Vols have Utah State, Arkansas State, which hopefully helps the Vols offense get in a groove. Ou is gonna break a bunch of orange hearts, Uga most likely will to. So the young Vols are gonna be desperate for a victory to keep from falling under .500, going 0-2 in SEC play, and more importantly getting that Gator off their back. It's easily our game of the year.

Just wish they didn't have an open date before us. Gives them time to recover from the beating Bama will give them.
 
Florida is 22-6 vs Tennessee since 1976

Which is amazing (and utterly disgusting) IMO. Why guys on here think that will have no bearing on this year's game is unbelievable to me. 22 of 28, 16 of 20, 9 of 9...... it sure as hell does matter to the psyche of both programs and will have an impact on future games until Tennessee finds a way to post 3, 4, 5 wins in a row and actually make this annual game a rivalry. As it stands today, Florida knows it will win and UT knows it's gonna lose. Both are right.
 
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Which is amazing (and utterly disgusting) IMO. Why guys on here think that will have no bearing on this year's game is unbelievable to me. 22 of 28, 16 of 20, 9 of 9...... it sure as hell does matter to the psyche of both programs and will have an impact on future games until Tennessee finds a way to post 3, 4, 5 wins in a row and actually make this annual game a rivalry. As it stands today, Florida knows it will win and UT knows it's gonna lose. Both are right.

Don't necessarily agree with the last two sentences.

Last time we played you guys in Knoxville, I think UT expected to win, but I also felt like UT expected UF to lay down and not compete.
 
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Don't necessarily agree with the last two sentences.

Last time we played you guys in Knoxville, I think UT expected to win, but I also felt like UT expected UF to lay down and not compete.

Florida's confidence and UTs ultimate lack of it came into play in the 3rd after Burton's td. As soon as Florida made a big play "late" in the game it was over and both teams looked like they knew it IMHO.
 
Just wish they didn't have an open date before us. Gives them time to recover from the beating Bama will give them.

Yeah the open date sucks. Even if they did the improbable and beat Bama they would be riding too high the next week going into UT and play really flat.

The schedule makers are not doing us any favors
 
Yeah the open date sucks. Even if they did the improbable and beat Bama they would be riding too high the next week going into UT and play really flat.

The schedule makers are not doing us any favors

At least we don't have UF up first. I like this change however.
 
Florida is 22-6 vs Tennessee since 1976


UT wins in 1990, 92, 98, 01, 03, and 04. The highlight was the 1990 win 45-3 in Neyland.

The 2001 win was incredible in the swamp, the game was postponed because of the events of 9/11 that year, so it was played in December in the swamp, and the Vols did not wilt in the heat. Spurrier took so much heat from his own fans for the loss, he left to coach the Redskins in the NFL.
 
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In my view, the game comes down to UF offense as I do not think that UT can score more than 20 pts., and 10-13 is more likely, really.

Florida's running game will be decent. Our passing game will continue to suck. I imagine that at 1-1 in the SEC at that point, and wanting to stay in the East mix, we will have realized by then that Driskel just blows and we have to accept that. With the week off after getting killed by 'bama, expect UF to run, run, and run some more.

Load up there and if you can keep us to less than 20 points you have a chance,. We score 21 + and I think we eek out another win.

FWIW, my long term sense is that UF is going to have a really tough year. Alabama, LSU, UGa, SC, FSU. Expectations amongst the fans is at a 20 year low, and that means season tix just not selling like usual, and that means $. By mid-season, Muschamp will be on the hottest seat in the country.

We've scored at least 20 points on you 2 of the last 3 years. In the last 4 years we've either scored 20 on you or fallen just 3 points short.

We haven't scored 13 or less on you since Kiffin was here. Last year's offense was terrible and we scored 17, and our offense has the potential to be the best we've put on the field in the last 5 years.

Where are you getting that we'll only score 10-13 on you?
 
With brand new lines and youth and inexperience everywhere, this probably isn't the year we beat Florida.

If the OL can somehow keep the gayter pass rush off Worley, we may have a chance but with a Freshman and a walk on possibly starting at the tackles it's gonna be tough.

The good thing about inexperience is that it can surprise you and play well from time to time. I guess that's really the best we can hope for from the younger guys adding depth.
 
We've scored at least 20 points on you 2 of the last 3 years. In the last 4 years we've either scored 20 on you or fallen just 3 points short.

We haven't scored 13 or less on you since Kiffin was here. Last year's offense was terrible and we scored 17, and our offense has the potential to be the best we've put on the field in the last 5 years.

Where are you getting that we'll only score 10-13 on you?

Our O-line. That's what it comes down too. If they hold, We scoot on by winning by 10-13 point.
 
We've scored at least 20 points on you 2 of the last 3 years. In the last 4 years we've either scored 20 on you or fallen just 3 points short.

We haven't scored 13 or less on you since Kiffin was here. Last year's offense was terrible and we scored 17, and our offense has the potential to be the best we've put on the field in the last 5 years.

Where are you getting that we'll only score 10-13 on you?

We haven't named a starting QB yet, though we all suspect it's Worley. Inexperienced OL includes true freshman RT and walkon LT at this point. True freshmen TEs 1st and 2nd team, true freshman WR in Malone, first year player in JUCO Pearson in the slot. Average RB who has a history of not being able to handle more than 10-11 carries per game in Lane and a true freshman in Hurd ... vs one of the best defenses/front 7 in the SEC/country. That's a recipe for 13 pts or less
 
Florida's confidence and UTs ultimate lack of it came into play in the 3rd after Burton's td. As soon as Florida made a big play "late" in the game it was over and both teams looked like they knew it IMHO.

I wouldn't call it UF confidence as much as we just kept grinding away.

All Burton's TD run did was tie the game, in the third quarter. UT's reaction to that play was as if Burton scored that TD to take he lead with under a minute to go.

UT is more mentally tough under Jones now, so I know they'll react differently under similar circumstances.
 
I wouldn't call it UF confidence as much as we just kept grinding away.

All Burton's TD run did was tie the game, in the third quarter. UT's reaction to that play was as if Burton scored that TD to take he lead with under a minute to go.

UT is more mentally tough under Jones now, so I know they'll react differently under similar circumstances.

You really don't think that Florida's teams, having absolutely owned Tennessee for a generation, is usually pretty confident about beating Tennessee. After that td run by Burton UT completely quit and Florida seemed to get a shot of adrenaline while they completely dominated the rest of the game.

Also, we have no idea whether or not UT is mentally tough or not under Jones. Didn't look like it last year vs So Alabama, Oregon, Bama, Auburn, Missouri and Vanderbilt.
 
You really don't think that Florida's teams, having absolutely owned Tennessee for a generation, is usually pretty confident about beating Tennessee. After that td run by Burton UT completely quit and Florida seemed to get a shot of adrenaline while they completely dominated the rest of the game.

Also, we have no idea whether or not UT is mentally tough or not under Jones. Didn't look like it last year vs So Alabama, Oregon, Bama, Auburn, Missouri and Vanderbilt.

I think our 2012 team used being picked to lose to TAMU and you guys in consecutive weeks as motivation. Our team may have been confident, but the majority of our fan base was expecting a big fat L in Neyland that night.

I also think UT's relatively easy win over NC State inflated expectations and egos...and Dooley wasn't equipped to properly manage expectations, or prepare the team on how to deal with adversity.
 
We better not be 0-4 going into that game. lol.

So would your prediction hold true if both teams came in at 2-2? 4-0?

Considering at that point, if Florida is 2-2 they most likely have lost to a combination of Bama and Kentucky, or they've lost to Eastern Michigan or Idaho somehow, I'd say they may be ready to fall apart, but I most likely see them at 3-1 at that point.
 
As for 2014, our game will be decided by which Jeff Driskel shows up...2013 Miami Driskel or 2012 FSU Driskel.

I expect UF to have an advantage up front on offense and defense. I don't see UT running up and down the field on us.

UT's receivers are crazy talented and will test our young secondary (just like 2011 and 2012).

UF's offense is unproven (just like 2012).

UF's defense won't be as dominant as it was early on last year.

I don't know much about UT's special teams, but our kicking game was very inconsistent.

Too early to call, but I like our chances based on what appears to be a decided advantage on the o-line and d-line, and barring another Driskel meltdown.
 
I think our 2012 team used being picked to lose to TAMU and you guys in consecutive weeks as motivation. Our team may have been confident, but the majority of our fan base was expecting a big fat L in Neyland that night.

I also think UT's relatively easy win over NC State inflated expectations and egos...and Dooley wasn't equipped to properly manage expectations, or prepare the team on how to deal with adversity.

Can't really speak you're first paragraph. You're 100% spot on with your second one.
 
As for 2014, our game will be decided by which Jeff Driskel shows up...2013 Miami Driskel or 2012 FSU Driskel.

I expect UF to have an advantage up front on offense and defense. I don't see UT running up and down the field on us.

UT's receivers are crazy talented and will test our young secondary (just like 2011 and 2012).

UF's offense is unproven (just like 2012).

UF's defense won't be as dominant as it was early on last year.

I don't know much about UT's special teams, but our kicking game was very inconsistent.

Too early to call, but I like our chances based on what appears to be a decided advantage on the o-line and d-line, and barring another Driskel meltdown.

I pretty much agree with this.
 
As for 2014, our game will be decided by which Jeff Driskel shows up...2013 Miami Driskel or 2012 FSU Driskel.

I expect UF to have an advantage up front on offense and defense. I don't see UT running up and down the field on us.

UT's receivers are crazy talented and will test our young secondary (just like 2011 and 2012).

UF's offense is unproven (just like 2012).

UF's defense won't be as dominant as it was early on last year.

I don't know much about UT's special teams, but our kicking game was very inconsistent.

Too early to call, but I like our chances based on what appears to be a decided advantage on the o-line and d-line, and barring another Driskel meltdown.

I understand your points on Driskell. However, we Vols fans have seen, time and time and time again, a second string QB, RB, WR, whatever, come into a game and play like a Heisman trophy candidate and win the game. Quite honestly, whether Driskell even plays or not will have little bearing on the outcome if history holds true. If he plays poorly or gets hurt and is pulled, his backup will be on all the postseason awards list by Monday morning.
 
Some info about Florida for those that don't know and somewhat care:

UF has a very experienced and healthy offensive line. That is the #1 biggest difference between 2013 and 2014 right now.

Chaz Green is back at RT after missing the whole 2013 season. He has started for 2 years before his injury and is a huge upgrade at RT from last year. DJ Humphries is back for his 3rd season at left tackle, after missing 7 games last year with injury. In short, this should make UF's pass protection way better than last year. Max Garcia, who is really an inside player who played tackle at times last year in reserve moved to center. He had a solid spring and was UF's best OL in 2013. Tyler Moore, another guy that was played out of position before he was hurt, is playing at guard, his natural position. He is a RS JR and has a lot of experience. Big Trenton Brown will be playing right guard, and he is about 6'8, 350. He played well at tackle last year and has been a HUGE run blocker at the guard position. The line is big, it is eperienced (3 srs, 2 jrs, many starts), and there are 3 decent back ups.

Jeff Driskel is the QB. YOu all know about him. He is very hard to read. He is dangerous with his feet, and has accurate intermediate pass. His deep pass is not very good, although its more about touch than arm strength, of which he has loads. He has experience, he's 12-3 as a starter, the only question is his health and his mental state.

Florida's RB position is quite good this year. Kelvin Taylor is the clear starter. He doesn't have elite speed, but he is very elusive and strong, and has a lot of quickness in space. Mack Brown is the probable back up, and the road grader. Matt Jones is healthy, and 235, and will be the big back in the offense. Adam Lane, a RsFR was impressive in the spring and my push for the 2nd string job. A strong and deep unit. They are all big. Lane is 222 and Taylor and Brown are both over 200.

The WR unit is sort of a mystery. Quinton Dunbar is solid and consistent, but nothing special or scary deep. Andre Debose is back healthy but no one knows if he will make an impact at WR or just stay at KR. The WR unit will live and die in the hands of 4 talented, but inexperienced guys: Chris Thompson, Alvin Bailey, Demarcus Robinson, and Ahamd Fulwood. Thompson is a deep threat, BAiley is a slot guy, RObinson can do it all, and Fulwood is a big body. This is easily Florida's most talented WR unit since 2009.The only question is can they produce. The unit will be helped out immensely by the TE transfer Jake McGee from Virginia. He is a big 6'5 pass catching TE and a huge addition to the offense. He had a good career at UVA before transferring and gives UF's passing game an instant upgrade.

The DL starters are all veteran guys. Orr and Cummings are SR's at DT that are very solid, if not spectacular like Easley. Fowler and Bullard could be special at the ends, but if not that, certainly very good. The depth is a question mark this year. Guys you've never heard before like Cox, McCallister, Bostwick, and Brantley are the 2nd unit and they haven't played much. Will be interesting to see how they play. Two freshmen will play, Willis and a guy named Taven Bryan. A deep, talented unit, with some questions about the experience of the 2nd unit.

The LB corp is SO different from last year. UF had 6 LB injured last year at various times. THe main rotation this year will be: Mike Taylor, Antonio Morrison, Jarrad Davis, and Neiron Ball. This is an experienced and talented group. The back ups though, Anzalone and ROlin, are coming off of injury and are inexperienced. The unit is very fast and should be solid.

The secondary is very young, but super talented. VH3 is one of the best players in the country at one corner. Brian Poole is the nickel back and has a ton of experience. Jabari Gorman is the one safety with a lot of experience, but a trio of players, Marcus Maye, Marcell Harris, and Keanu Neal are the guys everyone is excited about. They don't have much experience but they are very fast, and talented. Duke Dawson is the other starting corner as of today and he is a freshman, and the first guy off thebench, Jalen Tabor, is another freshmen. All in all, a very fast and physical secondary, but there will be some questions about experience. Still, a strong unit.

Special teams, the 1st and 2nd string punters are both very good, there are some questions about kicker but Hardin was 4-4 in the spring game. Debose is the best KR in the SEC, and the PR game will be decent again with Bailed, VH3 or Robinson returning. The coverage teams will be very strong again.

IN summary:

The offense should be better because of overall health and a better OL. They will be 100% out of the shotgun, which should also fit Driskel better. I can pretty much GUARANTEE that the offense will be better than last year.

The defense will be another solid, hard working unit.

Special teams should be, at worst, average, with the chance of being very good if kicking is OK.

A tough match up for UT if fully healthy because of all the experience on the OL and the front 7 on defense. Barring injury, it would surprise me given those advantages if UF lost to UT this year.
 
They will be strong defensively. I have no doubt about that. Driskell can be dangerous, particularly with his feet. If our OL can give Worley some time and get a respectable running threat going, we will win.

I keep hearing how awful Drskel is and I know UF fans hate him, but I just cant help but think back to how well he played in Neyland two years ago. Dude was on fire, running, throwing, scrambling, and torched UT all night long. Apparently, that was the best game of his career. Just your luck.
 
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