headhunter15
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Real clear politics average on this day in 2016 compared to today:This is looking more and more like a complete renunciation of Trump. Maybe as many as 7 or 8 million votes. Makes it more likely Trump will try the red mirage strategy. Those GOP officials who might side with his last ditch desperation strategy to hang onto power should be aware they subject themselves to criminal charges if they do.
Real clear politics average on this day in 2016 compared to today:
Pennsylvania-Clinton+8.6, Biden +7.1
Wisconsin-Clinton+ 6.8, Biden +5.5
Michigan-Clinton +7.7, Biden + 6.7
Ohio-Clinton+ 2.4, Biden+.6
North Carolina-Clinton+ 2.4, Biden +1.4
Re-evaluated lolRealClearPolitics - Biden vs. Trump Compared to Clinton vs. Trump (2-way)
Four years ago today it was Clinton + 6 and today its Biden + 9.8 !!! Almost 4 points higher advantage. As a percentage, its roughly a 60 percent higher advantage.
In 2016 Trump was + 0.4 in Fla, now its Biden + 2.4.
In Michigan it was Clinton + 3.6, now its Biden + 5.8.
North Carolina was Trump + 0.8, now its Biden + 1.2.
Pa. was Clinton + 2.1, now its Biden + 6.5.
I
And remember, a lot of the polling services reevaluated after 2016 and configured things to give an edge to Trump in 2020 numbers. So if anything his position is slightly inflated this time.
https://www.thestreet.com/politics/2020-election-polls-index-fly-pennsylvania-fly
Strategy is very clear now. Call filling a vacancy to an opening in the nine member court โcourt packingโ and โunconstitutional.โ Neither of which are actually true, but it will provide excellent cover when they actually unconstitutionally court pack in 2021.
He got beat iirc by 3 million votes and won the electoral college in 2016 after being down in every poll right up to the election. Color me skeptical, obviously hopeful but skeptical nonetheless
Your disappointment when Trump wins will be beautiful to behold. The good news is you wonโt be alone.RealClearPolitics - Biden vs. Trump Compared to Clinton vs. Trump (2-way)
Four years ago today it was Clinton + 6 and today its Biden + 9.8 !!! Almost 4 points higher advantage. As a percentage, its roughly a 60 percent higher advantage.
In 2016 Trump was + 0.4 in Fla, now its Biden + 2.4.
In Michigan it was Clinton + 3.6, now its Biden + 5.8.
North Carolina was Trump + 0.8, now its Biden + 1.2.
Pa. was Clinton + 2.1, now its Biden + 6.5.
And remember, a lot of the polling services reevaluated after 2016 and configured things to give an edge to Trump in 2020 numbers. So if anything his position is slightly inflated this time.
https://www.thestreet.com/politics/2020-election-polls-index-fly-pennsylvania-fly