They’re apparently terrified of pollsters, but not afraid to attend rallies.
Apparently*, registered republicans are talking to pollsters more this year than in 2016 and the number saying they’re voting for Biden is far less than the margin. The problem with the polls is they adjust for what they think the electorate will be and we may have unprecedented turnout this year.
Based on Republican efforts in Texas, Pennsylvania, and Ohio, it seems nobody really expects high turnout to be positive for Trump, so I’m not sure that that would change the result, either. But that hardly seems conclusive.
Side note: I thought the efforts at vote suppression really bit republicans in the dick in WI this summer, and fired up everybody they were trying to suppress to go wait in line to vote for that Supreme Court race. The fact that TX has already had more than 50% of their 2016 voter turnout makes me wonder if Abbot screwed up. I’m
highly skeptical that Texas will ever go to the Dems, and it could be that turnout is just being pushed back to early voting, but the turnout is wild.
*- I wouldn’t take the time to look this up without being well paid, but I’ve seen that coming from people who are paid to look it up.