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How Iowa Went from Trump Country to 2020 Battleground
But it’s not necessarily male voters who are putting Iowa in electoral reach for Biden. Around the country, polls are showing older voters trending toward Biden and away from Trump—a potentially tectonic development. That trend exists in Iowa, too, Selzer, the pollster, told me, but she broke things down further. “There’s a huge gender gap,” she said. “It really is a phenomenon.” Selzer’s poll found that, among men over the age of fifty-five in Iowa, Trump held a thirteen-point lead. But, among women over fifty-five, Biden led by more than twenty points.
This time around, the decision in Iowa could turn less on particular campaign tactics than on the huge external forces roiling the country.
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