Some of the PPG predictions/hopes I've seen here have been questionable imo. Outside of Knecht, our top scorers have been hovering around 12-13ppg over the last few seasons, with Chandler almost eeking out 14ppg at the top of that spectrum. I personally wouldn't describe 10ppg as "modest" on the '24-25 UT roster, but I am with you on your overall sentiment.
Additionally, I personally find it difficult to predict/expect exceptional performance from any low-to-mid major transfers at this time. The skill/effectiveness gap between Knecht and the next best transfer we've had in Barnes's tenure is immense. If Lanier winds up here, I would consider 10ppg a smashing success.