All things STOCKS

#12,203
#12,203
Velo Vol said:
I wonder why this solar company is outperforming the energy index?

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If it has normalized (taking out any premium for new green deals and discounts for green legislation not getting traction) then fossil fuel stumbles should be reflected inversely with renewables. Nord Stream getting blown up and other fuel shortages or price hikes should enhance business for solar, wind, and even nuke.
 
#12,204
#12,204
Today is why it’s futile to attempt to time the market. It could be gone tomorrow, but I have back about 40% of my Q-3 declines in a single session. It pays to average in during pull backs if planning to get into the stock market. Nobody always picks the exact tops or the bottoms.
 
#12,206
#12,206
CNBC is mostly a pump and dump network. They do 180s every day with their stories as the markets are up or down. Bad days, they get short traders on camera warning us that it’s the end of the world coming. When markets have a good day, like today, they promote the probability of the end of a bear market and the coming year end rally.
 
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#12,207
#12,207
Thunder Good-Oil said:
If it has normalized (taking out any premium for new green deals and discounts for green legislation not getting traction) then fossil fuel stumbles should be reflected inversely with renewables. Nord Stream getting blown up and other fuel shortages or price hikes should enhance business for solar, wind, and even nuke.
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It's doing noticeably better than the sector etf.

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#12,208
#12,208
Velo Vol said:
It's doing noticeably better than the sector etf.

View attachment 496587
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First Solar is the 5th largest holding in the ETF. Perhaps they are best of class or more of a pure play for whatever is lifting the solar industry. There are several smaller solars having an even better day. FSLR has an expensive p/e multiple, but they are profitable. Many companies in newish businesses lose money.
 
#12,210
#12,210
TF is going with NCMI? It's down 85% yoy and it's cratered more than 50% in roughly 11.5 trading days with barely any news. At least not any sort of news that you would expect a 50% crash on. Looking back at news articles over the last few months, I really don't see anything all that negative, other than analysts making assumptions that they may eventually need to restructure debt and end their dividend. Crazy how much they've tanked.
 
#12,212
#12,212
Carp said:
TF is going with NCMI? It's down 85% yoy and it's cratered more than 50% in roughly 11.5 trading days with barely any news. At least not any sort of news that you would expect a 50% crash on. Looking back at news articles over the last few months, I really don't see anything all that negative, other than analysts making assumptions that they may eventually need to restructure debt and end their dividend. Crazy how much they've tanked.
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Over a billion in debt for a company with a market cap under $50 million doesn’t paint a promising picture. Plus they have a negative PE.
 
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#12,213
#12,213
Carp said:
TF is going with NCMI? It's down 85% yoy and it's cratered more than 50% in roughly 11.5 trading days with barely any news. At least not any sort of news that you would expect a 50% crash on. Looking back at news articles over the last few months, I really don't see anything all that negative, other than analysts making assumptions that they may eventually need to restructure debt and end their dividend. Crazy how much they've tanked.
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I never looked at this before, but I believe the market is saying they are close to bankruptcy. 1 billion in debt and losing money, with a market cap of 46 million. They have enough cash on hand to operate a year, part of a year. There comes a point where people just refuse to give you perfectly good money.

Were they to survive, there is a huge opportunity for it to go up by a factor of 100. But that's if.
 
#12,214
#12,214
Overall 196bln pumped into market today after accounting for Tresury spend and Reverse Repo. Put fair market value at 3750 based on formula I've been tracking from this dude on twitter.

Basically, could see a sustained rally this week.
 
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#12,215
#12,215
Today would have been a good day to have acquired one of those daily leveraged funds. I don't know how people profitably trade those, in practice. Wouldn't you have had to bought at the close Friday, to fully benefit?
 
#12,218
#12,218
Thunder Good-Oil said:
I’d be careful with office REITs. But distribution infrastructure would be pretty safe. Of course, much of those prospects are likely already priced in.

REITs/Real Estate get a double hit with higher interest rates. Higher rates cost them more to do business. Plus REITs compete with bonds as investments. Higher interest rates make bonds more attractive. I get most of my real estate closure through Home Depot.

Prologis should benefit with enhancements to domestic supply chains. They own warehouses around large cities. American Tower and Crown Castle are the big 2 in communications. CCI has a lot of miles of fiber as well as broadcast towers.

AVCT is a penny stock. Penny stocks can be very difficult to unload. Wide spreads and few buyers in sell offs. Way too many shares. Not very transparent. Not as regulated for investor protection. Often controlled by shady individuals.
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Very nice.

Also, office space is not the place to be playing right now.
 
#12,220
#12,220
mrorange211 said:
Overall 196bln pumped into market today after accounting for Tresury spend and Reverse Repo. Put fair market value at 3750 based on formula I've been tracking from this dude on twitter.

Basically, could see a sustained rally this week.
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Yessir.

Short banks is the play I’m on currently.
 
#12,222
#12,222
Thunder Good-Oil said:
By being long something like FAZ, buying puts, or actually shorting bank shares?
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Shorting shares. Banks have made money the last two years based on og fees. That isn’t going to happen over the next 1.5 years. Mortgage departments are gone. Don’t do regional to the southeast. Also, 2022 will be fine because they hit their nut the first half of the year. 2023 is where it begins, unless banks get creative. What this entails I don’t know, but they will need to get creative.

To many fixed rate loans went on the books in 2021& 2022. Customers are already complaining about deposit rates. Margins will be thin and fee income minimized.
 
#12,225
#12,225
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Lots of big money not buying this rally.
 
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