All things STOCKS

#12,751
#12,751
Thunder Good-Oil said:
I think the Pub is mostly about investment discussions. The deep dives into political related discussions are over there. Taxes, economics, fiscal policy, and such are gray areas. Biden is a moron, Kamala is an ignorant slut, and Hillary is a witch - over there. Just how I approach it, but feel free to post whatever you got a hankering about.
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Ok. Yeah, I used your link to go take a look over there. Scary crowd...lulz! Think I'll keep it in the Pub.
 
#12,753
#12,753
Thunder Good-Oil said:
They’re fairly civil in the stocks thread. Relative to the angst in the others. I tend to drift over there if it’s more macro-economics.
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Bet there is serious angst in politics. Looks like Arizona Senate is confirmed blue. Therefore, Red has to win Neveda and Georgia. In my opinion, it will be impossible to beat blue Atlanta with a marginal candidate like Walker.

Therefore, for the sake of Stocks, we really need to find seven more red seats in House. Going to be extremely difficult in California, Neveda, and the third western state (Arizona?).
 
#12,754
#12,754
Jax_Vol said:
Bet there is serious angst in politics. Looks like Arizona Senate is confirmed blue. Therefore, Red has to win Neveda and Georgia. In my opinion, it will be impossible to beat blue Atlanta with a marginal candidate like Walker.

Therefore, for the sake of Stocks, we really need to find seven more red seats in House. Going to be extremely difficult in California, Neveda, and the third western state (Arizona?).
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For control of the Senate, the Georgia runoff ain't gonna matter. NV will stay blue because of the candidate. That will make it 50-50 for Dems with Kamala being the tiebreaker...
 
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#12,755
#12,755
BigOrangeMojo said:
For control of the Senate, the Georgia runoff ain't gonna matter. NV will stay blue because of the candidate. That will make it 50-50 for Dems with Kamala being the tiebreaker...
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Yes, the Senate is gone.

Hope the Red can find five more seats. May have one in Colorado, a couple in California, one in NY, one other. With eight independents, the House should create a jam. Hope Red can get the chair.
 
#12,757
#12,757
mrorange211 said:
I like this thread a bit more because it's more focused on investing strategy. The other one always devolved into some kind of political BS. If we do talk politics here, can we please make sure it's focused on specific market impacts?
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That is what I am attempting to accomplish. In my opinion, if the House ends up Blue, we will see new bottoms.

But, I do understand the line of thought that the last two days of gains are sorely based on the improvement in inflation data. Therefore, the election had little impact on those gains.

We shall see...
 
#12,758
#12,758
Jax_Vol said:
That is what I am attempting to accomplish. In my opinion, if the House ends up Blue, we will see new bottoms.

But, I do understand the line of thought that the last two days of gains are sorely based on the improvement in inflation data. Therefore, the election had little impact on those gains.

We shall see...
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My interpretation is that after every pullback (and even more time passing), the odds that the bottom has been made increase and the rallies off of the higher lows are getting more and more potent. Bear markets are almost always less than 2 years. I forget the exact timing, but the pre-crash highs were hit a couple of years ago iirc. I forget exactly when the lows were registered as well. But it’s been a while since we’ve stepped off of the bull run.

I think that another pull back is coming at any time, at least on individual damaged stocks that have rebounded, with the year end tax loss selling. A lot of those using it to avoid 2022 taxes are already doing it so that they can buy back shares after 30 days AND before a possible big post 1/1/23 rally begins.
 
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#12,759
#12,759
Thunder Good-Oil said:
My interpretation is that after every pullback (and even more time passing), the odds that the bottom has been made increase and the rallies off of the higher lows are getting more and more potent. Bear markets are almost always less than 2 years. I forget the exact timing, but the pre-crash highs were hit a couple of years ago iirc. I forget exactly when the lies were registered as well. But it’s been a while since we’ve stepped off of the bull run.

I think that another pull back is coming at any time, at least on individual damaged stocks that have rebounded, with the year end tax loss selling. A lot of those using it to avoid 2022 taxes are already doing it so that they can buy back shares after 30 days AND before a possible big post 1/1/23 rally begins.
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Sounds good to me Thunder!

Even with a Blue House, there is going to be enough Red there to pull the extreme far left agenda back toward middle. There are many moderate Democrats on the blue side, plus eight Independant's.

Assuming we'll are indeed turning the economics, with China starting to ease lockdowns, we will be off and running on 1/1/23. Think it will run a bit harder with a Red house. Either way, 2023 is sure to be far far better than 2022.

Crazy how many people I talk with who are want to go safe in 2023 after the bad 2022. That is a bad move.
 
#12,760
#12,760
Jax_Vol said:
Sounds good to me Thunder!

Even with a Blue House, there is going to be enough Red there to pull the extreme far left agenda back toward middle. There are many moderate Democrats on the blue side, plus eight Independant's.

Assuming we'll are indeed turning the economics, with China starting to ease lockdowns, we will be off and running on 1/1/23. Think it will run a bit harder with a Red house. Either way, 2023 is sure to be far far better than 2022.

Crazy how many people I talk with who are want to go safe in 2023 after the bad 2022. That is a bad move.
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Many people can't help themselves. They typically buy high and sell very soon when the market doesn't go higher.
 
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#12,768
#12,768
Jax_Vol said:
Yeah! Kinda hawt?

I like her little smirk

Why do we think she is working on a Sunday night?

If she all gung-ho, she can count some votes.
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She's probably scanning the news, getting ready for the morning.

I don't get Bloomberg TV. I listen to the radio some. She's sometimes on in the morning.
 
#12,770
#12,770
I was thinking of Sara Eisen. But, I am also familiar with Lisa.

I trust Sara....her smirk is a tell.
saraeisen2.png

With that said, yes.....the Feds probably do want to keep tight reins on the market. The Feds are really serious control freaks.
 
#12,771
#12,771
Velo Vol said:
A big yellow light here.

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This shouldn’t be any of the Fed’s business. Their job is to keep inflation in check. They need to do that without crushing the wealth of the commoners and taking away their jobs. It’s low hanging fruit to use killing off investment returns in order to make ‘maters, taters, and sandwich bread cheaper for everybody.
 
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#12,775
#12,775
To the guy with the crystal ball.....which way we going today?


Has anyone heard a target date for Cal & Arizona to complete counting ballots? Upon reviewing this morning, the Red side may barely make 220. If we freeze numbers where they currently stand, it is 222. Save your shots...I do know most of mail-ins are blue.
 
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