Fun coupon VOL
You don’t fight with your head Arthur.
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- Dec 23, 2018
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You're correct, edited for posterity. I suck at phone posting.
Oil is so oversold, and it's certainly due a run up from a technical perspective. But the macro is so bearish I see crude selling off violently along with the rest of the market.
GILD, CODX, INO, MRNA, NVAX, and REGN are all pure corona plays I'm monitoring and waiting entry. I was in and out of REGN in late 2019 after the completion of a bullish Gartley pattern. I think that at this point, you're right, we're all speculating to one degree or another. Ttechnical analysis is basically invalidated. Conventional TA would have told you to buy the intra-day dip yesterday on SPY as you were bouncing off a key Fibonacci node while making a higher low with bullish divergence. But all just to see futures markets dump and gap you down lower, completely invalidating a resounding bull case with lots of coinciding variables, the kind of trade that normally hits. This is not a normal market though. The market is so irrational at the moment, it's super risky whether you want to go long or short as a trader. But the right plays will literally print money. Even SPY puts from yesterday and today are going to be deep in the money. Hopefully I can sell some puts before the circuit breaker hits, buy some dirt cheap calls for the inevitable scrub rally up, to sell off once again
Haha. Funny you list GILD. Was told just a bit ago to buy as they just bought a company.
I guess you are on that as well.
USO will drop another 15% and will be an easy play.