2012 vs. 2014 comparisons are apples and oranges. The talent disparity between the two is significant.
The NIT team went off the rails when their #1 player suffered a freakish, college career-ending injury. That team only had one other player that would be drafted.
2012 had one Senior who made zero contributions to the team due to injury.
2014 will have a talent pool that will arguably be one of the deepest of all time. They will also have experienced leadership.
I don't think that you can come close to comparing these teams, especially based upon what we saw in the Bahamas 2 weeks ago.
Is there a change that they implode? Sure, mathematics will allow for that probability, but I'll stand by my original number.