Big dance chance?

#101
#101
no. Not gonna happen. We will probably still lose 3 or 4 more games.
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#103
#103
If we beat Kentucky at Rupp, beat Vandy twice, and beat Florida at Florida then there's a chance.
 
#105
#105
volger said:
What did they hold Austin Peay, Charleston. and Oakland to? That is why I said it when I said it. Feel free to get Stokes jock out of your mouth any time now.
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Wow. Just...wow. Hate on, hater. Hate on.
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#106
#106
bleedingTNorange said:
If we lose 3 games were fine, win 1 in the sec t and id say we're in that's 19 wins.
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There's still an outside chance.
Depends on this spark carrying over to road play.
I've been keeping an eye on the rpi ,but it hasn't been updated yet.
Need a couple more big wins.
With Stokes, who knows.
 
#108
#108
If the committee looks at us with stokes as opposed to without stokes, our chances go up exponentially. No doubt at this point we are one of the top 68 teams with him. Before it, not so much.

Lets say we finish as one poster said, 9-3. For the heck of it lets say the losses are @Kentucky, @Florida and @Alabama (a game I believe we should win). Then we win 1 game in the SEC tourney.

Hypothetical Resume
19-14 (10-6)
Key Wins: @Vandy, vs. Vandy, Florida, Uconn
Bad Losses: @UGA, Austin Peay, @Oakland(debateable)
RPI:somewhere around 60
SOS:64
Bottom Line: This team is a different team with Stokes. They went 10-5 with him, including some big wins and a 3 point loss to Kentucky. With him they are a definite tournament team. Without him they are not. It's up to the committee to decide how that factors in.
 
#109
#109
tennesseefan31 said:
If the committee looks at us with stokes as opposed to without stokes, our chances go up exponentially. No doubt at this point we are one of the top 68 teams with him. Before it, not so much.

Lets say we finish as one poster said, 9-3. For the heck of it lets say the losses are @Kentucky, @Florida and @Alabama (a game I believe we should win). Then we win 1 game in the SEC tourney.

Hypothetical Resume
19-14 (10-6)
Key Wins: @Vandy, vs. Vandy, Florida, Uconn
Bad Losses: @UGA, Austin Peay, @Oakland(debateable)
RPI:somewhere around 60
SOS:64
Bottom Line: This team is a different team with Stokes. They went 10-5 with him, including some big wins and a 3 point loss to Kentucky. With him they are a definite tournament team. Without him they are not. It's up to the committee to decide how that factors in.
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Great post! This has been exactly what I've been saying there are ways it could happen that aren't really that unrealistic. It starts Tuesday though we need that big road win and starting with vandy would be nice.
 
#110
#110
im not hating on anyones opinion but in reality, it's a long LONG shot at best.

the facts.....

1) we are a horrible road team and we have 4 of the sec's top 5 left on the road (uk - which is probably the toughest road game in the whole country, uf and vandy, which will be plenty difficult, and bama, who probably plays tougher defense than us)

2) we are poor offensively and far too inconsistant. Look at the long scoring droughts the last two games. we fall back on our defense, which wins games, but we have to get production.

3) the sec is weak. I see 4 maybe 5 teams going dancing. Uk, uf, msu, and vandy are more than likely all dancing. We need teams like arkansas NOT to beat teams like michigan, especially since they hammered the same team we lost to. Basically, we need help. Also out of conference...the acc, big east, and big 12 all look really balanced. Balanced conferences steal more bids. No way anyone can argue, besides the pac 12 maybe, that the sec is close to the bottom of the power conferences.

I aint being negative but it seems like everytime we beat a decent team, we talk about dancing. I just wish we could win a couple on the road first before we talk about dancing.
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#111
#111
also, how good will the uconn win be? They've lost 4 of 6 and jc clearly has no control over that team. Getting the pg back will help and the n dame win is looking great but they've really struggled lately
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#113
#113
Andy Katz had the UT/UCONN game listed as one of his four intriguing games Saturday. In it he said Tennesse would NOT be going to the Big Dance. It didn't sound like he was deriding the Vols. Just an odds on prediction.

But it WAS coming from ESPN (lol) and it would make an awesome story if we could win our way in with some of the scenarios listed above.
 
#114
#114
Shaun1985 said:
im not hating on anyones opinion but in reality, it's a long LONG shot at best.

the facts.....

1) we are a horrible road team and we have 4 of the sec's top 5 left on the road (uk - which is probably the toughest road game in the whole country, uf and vandy, which will be plenty difficult, and bama, who probably plays tougher defense than us)

2) we are poor offensively and far too inconsistant. Look at the long scoring droughts the last two games. we fall back on our defense, which wins games, but we have to get production.

3) the sec is weak. I see 4 maybe 5 teams going dancing. Uk, uf, msu, and vandy are more than likely all dancing. We need teams like arkansas NOT to beat teams like michigan, especially since they hammered the same team we lost to. Basically, we need help. Also out of conference...the acc, big east, and big 12 all look really balanced. Balanced conferences steal more bids. No way anyone can argue, besides the pac 12 maybe, that the sec is close to the bottom of the power conferences.

I aint being negative but it seems like everytime we beat a decent team, we talk about dancing. I just wish we could win a couple on the road first before we talk about dancing.
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As you said at bet it is a long shot, but they have a fighters chance. I'm in the minority that both stokes, and the team around improve are going to improve the more they practice together. I think the offense will become more efficient and after watching this film should realize we outplayed one of the best post combos in the country by a mile.

As you say everyone gets all giddy after we win, just human nature I suppose. It starts tuesday, we pull out a win at memorial and the chances go up, lose at memorial and are chances drop significantly.
 
#115
#115
VolsNaughtyDogs said:
Andy Katz had the UT/UCONN game listed as one of his four intriguing games Saturday. In it he said Tennesse would NOT be going to the Big Dance. It didn't sound like he was deriding the Vols. Just an odds on prediction.

But it WAS coming from ESPN (lol) and it would make an awesome story if we could win our way in with some of the scenarios listed above.
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Seth davis(CBS?) has said that he think we surprise some people and sneak in says he thinks the addition of stokes will play huge on the committee, and will evaluate us post stokes.
 
#116
#116
bleedingTNorange said:
Seth davis(CBS?) has said that he think we surprise some people and sneak in says he thinks the addition of stokes will play huge on the committee, and will evaluate us post stokes.
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Here's the task:
Finish 8-8 in conference and we're 16-15
if we win all remaining home games including Miss, Ark and Vandy.
Go 8-0 in February - beat Ala, Fla and LSU on the road we finish 19-12 (reg season)
Win just 1 of those games we're 17-14 (reg season)
Can't lose a home game!!!
Lose to Aub or SC, we're done.
 
#117
#117
calban said:
Here's the task:
Finish 8-8 in conference and we're 16-15
if we win all remaining home games including Miss, Ark and Vandy.
Go 8-0 in February - beat Ala, Fla and LSU on the road we finish 19-12 (reg season)
Win just 1 of those games we're 17-14 (reg season)
Can't lose a home game!!!
Lose to Aub or SC, we're done.
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I think a win tomorrow night would be a huge start.
 
#119
#119
golfballs03 said:
we pretty much have to win out
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IMO we can only afford to lose 3 games and still be in contention for a spot that'd make us 18-13. Gotta remember the sec t too, with 18-13 record 1 win in tourny should get us in. With 17 wins probably need 2 wins atleast. Obviously who your wins and losses are to play a factor.
 
#120
#120
Does anyone want to bet money on this? Is that allowed?

It is January 23, and we have not won a single game outside TBA. Not one.

Our RPI is 159.

I cannot believe this is even being debated.
 
#121
#121
Velo Vol said:
Does anyone want to bet money on this? Is that allowed?

It is January 23, and we have not won a single game outside TBA. Not one.

Our RPI is 159.

I cannot believe this is even being debated.
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Bet money there's a chance or bet money that they do? If its bet money that they do make it what are the odds your giving? I may be interested...
 
#122
#122
Velo Vol said:
Does anyone want to bet money on this? Is that allowed?

It is January 23, and we have not won a single game outside TBA. Not one.

Our RPI is 159.

I cannot believe this is even being debated.
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Rpi is rising.
This team played M State on the road to the wire without Stokes.
If you don't think Stokes is going to make a difference going down the stretch of course you wouldn't want to discuss the possibility.
 
#123
#123
As much as I would love it, I think it's a very long shot for us to make it into the tourney this year. Next year, however, with expect we could contend for the SEC.
 
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