Bracketmatrix 2021-22

#255
#255
golfballs said:
ESPN BPI/ROS Bracket
View attachment 433527
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I can’t help but to be greedy. I really really want that 3 seed line to stay away from the 1 seed as long as possible (if for some reason on God’s green earth we make it that far). I know the bracket won’t look like this and a lot will change but if it were to look like this, I think Nova would have a tougher 2nd round game than we would. I wouldn’t mind playing in that Greenville region either :cool: would be nice for WF fans as well but Vols fans would travel very well. It’s all hypotheticals at this point tho
 
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#256
#256
BallerVolFan said:
I can’t help but to be greedy. I really really want that 3 seed line to stay away from the 1 seed as long as possible (if for some reason on God’s green earth we make it that far). I know the bracket won’t look like this and a lot will change but if it were to look like this, I think Nova would have a tougher 2nd round game than we would. I wouldn’t mind playing in that Greenville region either :cool: would be nice for WF fans as well but Vols fans would travel very well. It’s all hypotheticals at this point tho
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Murray St is rated pretty highly. I thought after year 4 when they smoked Marquette in a 5/12 matchup that McMahon might be in line for a better gig, but he didn’t and then had a couple disappointing seasons before this year. He’s from Oak Ridge. Was a grad assistant at UT under Buzz Peterson
 
#257
#257
Updated matrix seed list…

1. Gonzaga W
2. Auburn
3. Purdue L
4. Arizona W
———
5. Kansas
6. Kentucky
7. Baylor
8. Duke W
———
9. Houston
10. Wisconsin
11. Texas Tech
12. Villanova
———
13. UCLA
14. Illinois
15. Providence
16. Tennessee
———
17. Michigan State
18. Marquette
19. Texas
20. Ohio State
———
21. Alabama
22. LSU
23. Xavier
24. UCONN
 
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#259
#259
walkenvol said:
Highly unlikely lsu ends up higher than Arkansas and bama. Don’t understand the lsu love as I still think their pathetic OOC schedule makes them appear better to those only looking at w/l records for these brackets
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It’s purely statistical. Predictive rankings still like them. They’re 14th in BPI and have a 19th SOR. But I agree they won’t be that high
 
#262
#262
I obviously want to see us win one of the Aub/UK games. But I just mostly want to see us take care of business the rest of the way against the bottom feeders and split with Arky. I think if you do that you’re locked into a 4-seed and might have room to go as high as a 3 depending on how we do in the SECT.
 
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#264
#264
bleedingTNorange said:
13/15 teams ahead of us on your seed list @golfballs are in action tomorrow, be a great day of hoops, needs our Vols to take care of Vandy.
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Most have pretty favorable odds. Most likely losses for those around us:
Texas @ Baylor (30% to win per KP)
Ohio St @ Michigan (42%)
UCLA @ USC (59%)
Michigan St vs Indiana (65%)

Don't expect much movement up the chart, but could put some pretty good space between us and the 5 line
 
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#265
#265
CornbreadVol said:
If we go 6-1, is there any chance we could grab a 2 seed? Or is that out of our reach?
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If we go 6-1, you're finishing the regular season at 23-7 with wins over Arizona, Arkansas (twice), and one of Auburn or UK.

We'd be a lock for a 3-seed. and yes, there would be a very high chance we get a 2.
 
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#266
#266
golfballs said:
Most have pretty favorable odds. Most likely losses for those around us:
Texas @ Baylor (30% to win per KP)
Ohio St @ Michigan (42%)
UCLA @ USC (59%)
Michigan St vs Indiana (65%)

Don't expect much movement up the chart, but could put some pretty good space between us and the 5 line
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What are the KenPom odds, individually, on each of our remaining 7 games?
 
#271
#271
Thunder Good-Oil said:
I don’t get those Arkansas odds. I thought that they are playing really well of late.
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This is based on ratings calculated over the entire season. If you were to only limit those ratings to only conference play then we'd certainly be underdogs. I'm not sure how he accounts for recency if at all. I think BPI does in their game predictions, but they also really love the Vols in general (we rank 8th), and are giving us a 62% chance of winning. I think even if recent trend were incorporated into a statistical model it probably wouldn't get that much weight, as college basketball teams historically tend to be erratic game to game. Would be interesting to look at though
 
#272
#272
bleedingTNorange said:
KenPom takes whole season scope, not recency…we are 11 & Arkansas is 22. If they continue to win those odds will continue to adjust.
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He is very clear that his model is not really intended to be relied upon for game-by-game outcomes. Moreso for pecking order/final standings.
 
#275
#275
CornbreadVol said:
One team that I do not want to face if we’re a 4 seed is UTC. They have a really good squad this year.
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I don't know anything about them except what they're rated. Their stats are interesting. Teams shoot and miss a lot of 3s against them. In general that's not very sustainable. How long is De Sousa sidelined for?
 
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