Bracketmatrix 2021-22

#276
#276
golfballs said:
I don't know anything about them except what they're rated. Their stats are interesting. Teams shoot and miss a lot of 3s against them. In general that's not very sustainable. How long is De Sousa sidelined for?
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I’m actually unsure, I just know that they have a couple of power 5 transfers headlined by De Sousa from Kansas. I feel like they will be a very popular pick to upset someone.
 
#279
#279
cncchris33 said:
Thanks. I figured it would likely be similar. People can argue with the numbers and I wouldn't blame them, but they are based on some sort of logic.
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Still over a week out from the Arkansas game but if that were today no way we’d be favored. Also, this rating doesn’t take into account injuries. Which I think is probably worth a few percentage points
 
#280
#280
TheMookieMonster said:
I’m about the same. I’m honestly not entirely sure what it is about LSU that is even so impressive to these bracketologists, too. If anything, I feel like LSU should be closer to the bubble than to a 5-seed. Their non-conference schedule was non-existent, and they’ve been very mediocre in conference play. It defies logic that they’re above anything more than a 9-seed. Feels like a team that should be closer to Last Four In if anything.
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LSU’s noncon isn’t great and it’s ranked 188 for a reason but they found some good decent teams, similar to what Bama did, that they should beat but that didn’t look bad on paper. Bama found more than LSU did though.
Wake is 20-5 and 33 NET (neutral site)
Belmont is 20-5 and 46 NET
TCU is 16-5 and 55 NET (@TCU)
Ohio is 19-4 and 86 NET (home game)
Penn St, LA Tech, and Liberty are top 100 as well so they played 7 top 100 teams out of conference. Strangely enough, we’ve only played 6 top 100 out of conference. On the surface someone could argue LSU’s OOC scheduled is tougher than UT’s, at least until the context gets added showing that 4 of our 6 were against top 15 teams and only 1 of the 6 was a home game.
Anyway, LSU has played a super tough conference schedule to push their overall SOS to 6th and they’re 5-4 in quad 1 games. They’ve already played @Auburn, beat UK, split with us, won @ UF, and played Ark and Bama. The SEC is super strong this year and they haven’t hit Mizzou, UGA, and SC yet. I’m not crazy about NET though as too much emphasis gets placed on the quads when winning at home against UK like they did is still more impressive than winning at Texas A&M which they also did. Both are quad 1 wins as of right now though. No system is perfect of course and it’s just meant to be a tool. I agree with you in general. LSU doesn’t look great but I can see why they look decent on paper. The eye test says they aren’t near 16th but their data is pretty solid.
 
#282
#282
docholiday said:
Here is the list of Ken Pom teams currently top 40 offense and top 25 defense. Since 1997, every National champion has finished the reg season inside those numbers. Except UConn with Napier.

Arizona
Tennessee
Gonzaga
Texas
Auburn
Kentucky
Baylor
Houston
Duke
UCLA
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So you’re telling me there’s a chance
 
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#283
#283
docholiday said:
Here is the list of Ken Pom teams currently top 40 offense and top 25 defense. Since 1997, every National champion has finished the reg season inside those numbers. Except UConn with Napier.

Arizona
Tennessee
Gonzaga
Texas
Auburn
Kentucky
Baylor
Houston
Duke
UCLA
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If we finish 3-2 in our regular season games against that group, then heck yes there is a chance. Should be 2-1 already.
 
#284
#284
Vols -11.5 point favorites vs Vandy. Dores have been playing pretty good the last 4 games, knocking down a lot more shots. Can’t come out flat and need to keep Pippen in check and hopefully the refs don’t gift him 50 free throws like they normally do. If offense stays on track, the defense should allow us to win somewhat comfortably.
 
#287
#287
]Updated matrix seed list…

1. Gonzaga W
2. Auburn
3. Purdue L
4. Arizona W
———
5. Kansas
6. Kentucky
7. Baylor
8. Duke W
———
9. Houston
10. Wisconsin
11. Texas Tech
12. Villanova
———
13. UCLA
14. Illinois
15. Providence
16. Tennessee
———
17. Michigan State
18. Marquette
19. Texas
20. Ohio State
———
21. Alabama
22. LSU
23. Xavier W
24. UCONN L
 
#288
#288
docholiday said:
Here is the list of Ken Pom teams currently top 40 offense and top 25 defense. Since 1997, every National champion has finished the reg season inside those numbers. Except UConn with Napier.

Arizona
Tennessee
Gonzaga
Texas
Auburn
Kentucky
Baylor
Houston
Duke
UCLA
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I think UCONN was the only team to not be Top 25 offensively, they were #39. Every other team has been Top 25 on offense and defense. Would eliminate Tennessee & Texas off that last, but you forgot to include Villanova & Illinois.
 
#289
#289
I think Michigan was a Quad 1 loss for Purdue since it was on the road and they dropped 5 spots. Leads me to believe there must not be a lot of separation between the teams in the top 10 in the NET’s calculations.
 
#290
#290
Updated matrix seed list, so far with todays games…

1. Gonzaga W
2. Auburn W
3. Purdue L
4. Arizona
———
5. Kansas W
6. Kentucky W
7. Baylor W
8. Duke W
———
9. Houston L
10. Wisconsin L
11. Texas TechW
12. Villanova W
———
13. UCLA
14. Illinois
15. Providence
16. Tennessee
———
17. Michigan State W
18. Marquette L
19. Texas L
20. Ohio State
———
21. Alabama L
22. LSU
23. Xavier W
24. UCONN L
 
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#292
#292
BallerVolFan said:
?? Our closest SEC wins are by 6, 7, 8, and 9 points. We’ve had wins by 10, 14, 20, and 24. Half of our SEC wins are by double digits.
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Well we won by 9 today but that far far from comfortable to me with less than 5 minutes to go. My idea of a comfortable game is to be up 8-10 at half and consistently build on the lead in the second half. Maybe I’m asking too much?
 
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#293
#293
walkenvol said:
Well we won by 9 today but that far far from comfortable to me with less than 5 minutes to go. My idea of a comfortable game is to be up 8-10 at half and consistently build on the lead in the second half. Maybe I’m asking too much?
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That’s called a blow out
 
#294
#294
walkenvol said:
Well we won by 9 today but that far far from comfortable to me with less than 5 minutes to go. My idea of a comfortable game is to be up 8-10 at half and consistently build on the lead in the second half. Maybe I’m asking too much?
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I think we’re all just spoiled but yeah I get your point. Game shouldn’t have been that close. Now on Tuesday... I don’t care how much we win by as long as we just win :cool:
 
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#296
#296
Prepare yourselves for the “ball game” “it’s over” “this team will lose 1st round” “Fire Barnes” posts every 5 mins of the entire game on Tuesday…we’ll be down 6 points with 10 to play in the 1st half and to some, we’ll be the worst team in the conference.
 
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#297
#297
TennVols12 said:
Prepare yourselves for the “ball game” “it’s over” “this team will lose 1st round” “Fire Barnes” posts every 5 mins of the entire game on Tuesday…we’ll be down 6 points with 10 to play in the 1st half and to some, we’ll be the worst team in the conference.
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As sure as the sun rises in the east. That's why I do my best to stay out of the game threads.
 
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#298
#298
bleedingTNorange said:
I think UCONN was the only team to not be Top 25 offensively, they were #39. Every other team has been Top 25 on offense and defense. Would eliminate Tennessee & Texas off that last, but you forgot to include Villanova & Illinois.
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Looks like we're up to 29 on O now, so we're not too far off from the land of promise
 
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#299
#299
Updated matrix seed list, with yesterdays games…

1. Gonzaga W
2. Auburn W
3. Purdue L
4. Arizona W
———
5. Kansas W
6. Kentucky W
7. Baylor W
8. Duke W
———
9. Houston L
10. Wisconsin L
11. Texas Tech W
12. Villanova W
———
13. UCLA L
14. Illinois W
15. Providence W
16. Tennessee W
———
17. Michigan State W
18. Marquette L
19. Texas L
20. Ohio State W
———
21. Alabama L
22. LSU W
23. Xavier W
24. UCONN L
 
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