Yep, I watched the K State v Missouri game, and I won't say Mizzou was lucky but fortunate hit a 61-yard FG with time expiring. The game really fell in their lap but that's home field advantage. Was a good win over #23 K State. that's their best win, I don't think we have a T 25 win so there's that, but I believe if UGA blows them out like i think they will we will be ahead of them in the polls.ext weekMizzou has played no one.
South Dakota
MTSU
K State (decent win)
Memphis
Vandy
LSU (Loss)
KY (we beat them too)
USCe (we beat them too)
they will lose big time to GA this week.
Sagarin has TN = 14 Mizzou = 31
FPI has TN = 15 Mizzou = 24
The only advantage Mizzou has for our game is that it is in Columbia. Other than that if We are healthy and Milton plays like he has the last 2 weeks we beat Mizzou by double digits.
Is there a chance if we win out and the sec championship game to maybe sneak in if there is some chaos ?
If we won out including the sec championship we would be in the playoffs. But yes it won’t happen.
Solely from a SEC perspective, we’d likely need the following from Bama, Ole Miss, Mizzou, and Georgia plus us finishing 10-2 aka winning out:
Mizzou - Beat Georgia, Lose to Tennessee
Georgia - Lose to Mizzou, Beat Ole Miss, Lose to Tennessee
Bama - Finish 11-1, Lose to Tennessee in Atlanta
Ole Miss - Lose to Georgia
In short: the above scenario would likely result in Tennessee beating 3 Top 10 teams in CFP Rankings at time of each game in final 4 games of regular season.
Bonus SEC: Texas and OU will play de facto elimination game in Big12 title game
If we win out to go 10-2, regardless of what other teams do, we will be in the CFP conversation at the end.Georgia - Beat Missouri, lose to Ole Miss, Lose to Tennessee
Missouri - Lose to Tennessee
Tennessee - Win the rest to finish 10-2
Florida - Lose one of the remaining three games
Could it play out? Not likely as UGA has to lose a game at home. I feel good about us beating Conn and Vandy. Missouri and UGA will depend upon the team playing to their potential like they have done in the good quarters in the last 3 games - but doing that for 4 quarters.
If we do win out, we end up 10-2 and that implies UGA has a least 1 loss Missouri has at least 2 losses and we are at a minimum tied for 2nd in the east. We need help from Ole Miss and/or Missouri.
I'm not getting my hopes up but know it is possible.