CFP Rankings

#26
#26
volfan102455 said:
Georgia - Beat Missouri, lose to Ole Miss, Lose to Tennessee
Missouri - Lose to Tennessee
Tennessee - Win the rest to finish 10-2
Florida - Lose one of the remaining three games

Could it play out? Not likely as UGA has to lose a game at home. I feel good about us beating Conn and Vandy. Missouri and UGA will depend upon the team playing to their potential like they have done in the good quarters in the last 3 games - but doing that for 4 quarters.

If we do win out, we end up 10-2 and that implies UGA has a least 1 loss Missouri has at least 2 losses and we are at a minimum tied for 2nd in the east. We need help from Ole Miss and/or Missouri.

I'm not getting my hopes up but know it is possible.
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We would really want Mizzou to beat Georgia. Why? Because Mizzou beating Georgia likely vaults them into the Top 10. Beating Mizzou at their highest ranking of year helps us. Especially winning over a top 8-10 Mizzou on the road.

Georgia then beating Ole Miss, who is likely in Top 10 when they play, after a loss to Mizzou likely keeps them in the Top 8-10 when they come to Knoxville.

So in that scenario, 2 teams left on our schedule that are ranked ahead of us when we play and thus a victory over both would send us up. I’m not sure beating a 2 loss Top 20 Mizzou on the road and Top 4 UGA at home trumps a scenario of beating Top 8-10 Mizzou and Top 8-10 Georgia.

Given the bias, I don’t think the committee would drop Georgia outside Top 8-10 with a loss vs Mizzou. If they bounce back with a win over Top 10 Ole Miss, they are likely a Top 8 Team coming Knoxville.

I think if the above happens, Alabama and Tennessee are prolly both inside the top 6-8 going into Atlanta.
 
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#27
#27
VolCalls said:
Vols at #17. Ohio State #1. Not surprised since it’s based on body of work up to this point. Bama #8.
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See I think it’s ridiculous. If it’s truly based on body of work, Washington should absolutely be above Michigan, whose only worthwhile game is against OSU. I hate, HATE Georgia, but no way should OSU be above them. Makes absolutely zero sense.
 
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#28
#28
VolCalls said:
If we win out to go 10-2, regardless of what other teams do, we will be in the CFP conversation at the end.
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I think if we win out with wins over a 2 loss Mizzou and undefeated Georgia is worse than beating a 1 loss Mizzou and 1 loss Georgia….

Beating a 1 loss Mizzou, 1 loss Georgia, and 1 loss Alabama likely means getting wins over 3 Top 8-10 teams in a 4 game stretch to close the regular season.
 
#29
#29
VolCalls said:
If we win out to go 10-2, regardless of what other teams do, we will be in the CFP conversation at the end.
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Possibly - we would definitely be in the top 10. How high would depend on how other games play out. If by chance we end up somehow in the SEC title game - we are definitely in the conversation.

It is just win and let the other games play out. If the cards fall in our favor great - it not we still will have a great season.

Just need for the offense to keep clicking and the defense to show up.
 
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#31
#31
Regardless it is great to be able to see a path to something really good. Not long ago we were just hoping to break even.
 
#33
#33
UT could beat UGA, win the SEC Championship Game, and still get left out of the CFP. I hope the Vols get in, but I doubt UGA loses to either Ole Miss (although I admit I won't be surprised if Ole Miss challenges UGA) or Missouri. Losing to the Vols won't keep them out of Atlanta.

I still hope the Vols win out. That will be 10-2 with a win over UGA. That earns them a trip to a very nice Bowl.
 
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#34
#34
camp_steveo said:
UT could beat UGA, win the SEC Championship Game, and still get left out of the CFP. I hope the Vols get in, but I doubt UGA loses to either Ole Miss (although I admit I won't be surprised if Ole Miss challenges UGA) or Missouri. Losing to the Vols won't keep them out of Atlanta.

I still hope the Vols win out. That will be 10-2 with a win over UGA. That earns them a trip to a very nice Bowl.
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Georgia finishing 11-1 with a loss to use only ensures that the SEC title game is an elimination game for the loser. 12-0 Georgia vs 11-1 Bama keeps the scenario of 2 SEC teams in the playoff alive.
 
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#35
#35
camp_steveo said:
UT could beat UGA, win the SEC Championship Game, and still get left out of the CFP. I hope the Vols get in, but I doubt UGA loses to either Ole Miss (although I admit I won't be surprised if Ole Miss challenges UGA) or Missouri. Losing to the Vols won't keep them out of Atlanta.

I still hope the Vols win out. That will be 10-2 with a win over UGA. That earns them a trip to a very nice Bowl.
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Would love a January 1st Fiesta Bowl appearance. New Years in Scottsdale not terrible lol
 
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#36
#36
camp_steveo said:
UT could beat UGA, win the SEC Championship Game, and still get left out of the CFP. I hope the Vols get in, but I doubt UGA loses to either Ole Miss (although I admit I won't be surprised if Ole Miss challenges UGA) or Missouri. Losing to the Vols won't keep them out of Atlanta.

I still hope the Vols win out. That will be 10-2 with a win over UGA. That earns them a trip to a very nice Bowl.
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I think it will take a high scoring team to beat GA. Likely Ole Miss with the best opportunity. Don’t think the Vols have enough offense. Ga will score enough to beat a good defense so it will take a big score to beat them.
 
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#37
#37
TeacherVol007 said:
See I think it’s ridiculous. If it’s truly based on body of work, Washington should absolutely be above Michigan, whose only worthwhile game is against OSU. I hate, HATE Georgia, but no way should OSU be above them. Makes absolutely zero sense.
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OSU has beaten #15 ND on the road and #11 PSU at home. Who has Georgia beaten?
 
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#39
#39
TeacherVol007 said:
They’re on their way for a 3-peat and have won, what 26 straight? I think it’s pretty solid to say they deserve number 1 till they don’t. And it’s disgusting I’m defending them, but c’mon.
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Previous seasons mean nothing. This year their best wins are against UK and Florida, neither of which compare favorably to ND or Penn State.
 
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#40
#40
TeacherVol007 said:
They’re on their way for a 3-peat and have won, what 26 straight? I think it’s pretty solid to say they deserve number 1 till they don’t. And it’s disgusting I’m defending them, but c’mon.
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The committee did its job based on the criteria it set forth when the system was established. Based on your logic the Vols shouldn’t have been #1 in Week One last year because we were coming off a 7-6 season.

These are the 2023 Week One rankings based on THIS season’s body of work from August 26 through October 30 of 2023. Nothing more, nothing less. Next week’s rankings will take into account 2023 games through November 6.

It’s not a difficult system to follow.
 
#42
#42
What if Florida loses out? It’s feasible. Plug that into your scenarios.
 
#43
#43
VolCalls said:
The committee did its job based on the criteria it set forth when the system was established. Based on your logic the Vols shouldn’t have been #1 in Week One last year because we were coming off a 7-6 season.

These are the 2023 Week One rankings based on THIS season’s body of work from August 26 through October 30 of 2023. Nothing more, nothing less. Next week’s rankings will take into account 2023 games through November 6.

It’s not a difficult system to follow.
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Last year no one was coming off their second straight natty with a resume like ours. If you’re going to say OSU’s was like ours, that’s laughable. I get it’s not a “difficult system to follow”. But that doesn’t mean they always get it right. Anyways, I’m done defending UGA. Still think it’s a terrible move, but it is what it is.
 
#44
#44
Vol in Buckeye Land said:
Previous seasons mean nothing. This year their best wins are against UK and Florida, neither of which compare favorably to ND or Penn State.
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While I agree with you, Georgia probably has one of the best rosters in the country. The playoff rankings are supposed to balance most deserving and best teams…. Georgia’s season so far may not be deserving of #1 but there isn’t anyone from top to bottom who has a better roster and team in from a talent perspective. And Georgia is about to go a on 3-4 game stretch in 5 games of playing 4 likely Top 15 teams.
 
#48
#48
JMSqb11 said:
Solely from a SEC perspective, we’d likely need the following from Bama, Ole Miss, Mizzou, and Georgia plus us finishing 10-2 aka winning out:

Mizzou - Beat Georgia, Lose to Tennessee
Georgia - Lose to Mizzou, Beat Ole Miss, Lose to Tennessee
Bama - Finish 11-1, Lose to Tennessee in Atlanta
Ole Miss - Lose to Georgia

In short: the above scenario would likely result in Tennessee beating 3 Top 10 teams in CFP Rankings at time of each game in final 4 games of regular season.

Bonus SEC: Texas and OU will play de facto elimination game in Big12 title game
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No two-loss team has ever gotten into the CFP. But if we were to be the first, this is about how it would have to play out. Plus an unlikely second loss for Ohio State and/or Michigan. Nicely thought out, JMSqb. FSU and the winner of the PAC 12 are probably in.

Not at all likely, but fun to think about.

Go Vols!
 
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#49
#49
VFL-82-JP said:
No two-loss team has ever gotten into the CFP. But if we were to be the first, this is about how it would have to play out. Plus an unlikely second loss for Ohio State and/or Michigan. Nicely thought out, JMSqb. FSU and the winner of the PAC 12 are likely in.

Not at all likely, but fun to think about.

Go Vols!
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Remember last year. Going into last week of regular season, LSU was # at 9-2. Had they not flopped vs A&M, it would have been #1 Georgia vs #4LSU in Atlanta.

Not saying LsU was gonna win that game but they were clearly in a win and in position.

I don’t care about the playoff this year as I know we are 99% toast.

I do want chaos though and want us to get to Atlanta. Georgia starts their toughest stretch over the next 3 weeks. I’d prefer they lose to Mizzou and beat Ole Miss.

Atleast that way, we’d get to play two Top 8 teams (Mizzou and Georgia) for a shot to shoot up rankings + play for the East.

I think if we win out and Georgia finishes 11-1 and wins the East, we still shoot up in the top 10 as a 10-2 team
 
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