CFP Scenarios (merged)

[counterdevotee]

UT has the toughest schedule over Clemson. UT will drop to #4 after Clemson loses to Notre Dame tonight. No Worries.

This is what I’m thinking as well. Is this a viable opinion? I think with the strength of our wins and our ONLY LOSS being to the clear number one team, how could we drop more that 4-5 spots? With Clemson loss, I see us at 4… that’s with me biased as all get out but still

 

[Kingzport]

LSU beat Bama.. Clemson going down to ND. Michigan loses tonight. We don’t drop very far at all… maybe to 4th?

 

[counterdevotee]

SMH

Don’t really understand this response? Just seeking clarification. Take your negativity elsewhere.

 

[JMSqb11]

I think the 3 best teams in the nation are in the SEC.....the playoff comittee made up of BS aristocrats will pick a P5 undefeated champ over a 1 loss runner up....its not my opinion, but a fact they've committed to

Last year is proof.... if UGA is #1 and loses in Atlanta to what will also likely be a top 4 Bama team, they won't get the boot from the top 4 just because TCU is 13-0......

Rankings going into Conf title week and then rankings on selection day.

 

[Andrew8210]

Who is going to beat Georgia this season ? Ohio State ? Bama ? TCU ?

 

[york.adamray]

Only drop outside the top 4 because of the TENN haters. Ohio State struggled against Northwestern.

 

[JMSqb11]

Who is going to beat Georgia this season ? Ohio State ? Bama ? TCU ?

TCU doesn't have a chance to play UGA since UGA will be in the playoff.... OSU and Bama will have a chance to play UGA though.

 

[Volholic]

I guarantee come next week we're no better than #8. Book it. We got exposed today.

I could see this happening with how the media is.

 

[GordonC]

Who is going to beat Georgia this season ? Ohio State ? Bama ? TCU ?

we are
in a rematch

 

[WingT]

So if UGA loses in Atlanta at the #1 ranked team to an 11-1 Alabama team and they are both 12-1, you are saying that 13-0 TCU would get the nod over UGA, meaning UGA would drop 4 spots at minimum for losing to a top 4 Bama?

There is no reality where that scenario happens, but if you say yes, send me some of that substance you are using. I need that kind of high.

Yes, show me one historic example of your scenario to bring me off this "high"


In your example you'd just replay that game, ignoring the fact the NCAA is a national body driven by revenues and interest outside the SEC

The undefeated conference champ matters period

 

[livefaith]

Clemson, and Tcu lose, Georgia blasts Bama in the sec title.

That's our best shot. I always hope Bama gets blasted, but an 11-2 Bama is out w an 11-1 Vols sitting there. Need CU & TCU to lay an egg.

Now, no one is mentioning it that I've seen ... Buuut, all this assumes TN can win 3 straight SEC games to finish the year. On paper, we should. But that is not a given in any form or fashion. If we cant, we have no biz talking playoff. And, it may be needed to win with a statement in each to get the stench of todays fail cleared outta voter minds and stat sheets.

 

[Persian Vol]

LETS GO NOTRE DAME

 

[hUTch2002]

An absolute miracle. We won't remain in the top 7 after this loss. I bet we fall outside the top 10. We got dominated in every way you can imagine.

We will not fall out of the top 10. Don’t be ridiculous.

 

[GordonC]

I guarantee come next week we're no better than #8. Book it. We got exposed today.

haha you are crazy
Bama is losing at half
ND is losing at half
Michigan is up 14-10 on Rutgers
stop

 

[hUTch2002]

Win out and uga win the sec

And we need TCU or Clemson to lose. I think that’s it though and Clemson is down 2 scores right now.

 

[JMSqb11]

Yes, show me one historic example of your scenario to bring me off this "high"


In your example you'd just replay that game, ignoring the fact the NCAA is a national body driven by revenues and interest outside the SEC

The undefeated conference champ matters period

The NCAA has no bearing on the College Football Playoff Committee aka the humans making the decision.....

And once again I showed you an example last year...... UGA was 12-0, lost in Atlanta to 11-1 Bama and stayed inside the Top 4..... If you think a 13-0 TCU team with a super weak schedule would cause the committee to change this very scenario that occurred last year, you are living in fantasy world.

 

[JMSqb11]

And we need TCU or Clemson to lose. I think that’s it though and Clemson is down 2 scores right now.

TCU doesn't matter, unless you think they are going to rocket up the rankings after beating Texas Tech today by 10 points.....

 

[tnburban]

We get in above any one loss team. Period. As long as we win out.

You really think 1 loss UT gets in over 1 loss Clemson (assuming their one loss is ND - non conference)? They have a legacy, UT does not. It will come down to politics not metrics, not stats, not anything other than feelings. And Clemson has a legacy UT does not.

But to give UT the best chance, UGA must win out.

And Oregon is an X factor - PAC12 is negotiating a new deal right now. If they are still negotiating it during the selection....there may be levers pulled to get them in.

 

[WingT]

Last year is proof.... if UGA is #1 and loses in Atlanta to what will also likely be a top 4 Bama team, they won't get the boot from the top 4 just because TCU is 13-0......

Rankings going into Conf title week and then rankings on selection day.
View attachment 511168

You're missing the undefeated P5 they left out buddy, cause they wont.....

 

[livefaith]

Yes, show me one historic example of your scenario to bring me off this "high"


In your example you'd just replay that game, ignoring the fact the NCAA is a national body driven by revenues and interest outside the SEC

The undefeated conference champ matters period

Yep, I think it will be hard for the committee to reject an undefeated P5 conference champion in favor of ANY non-champ defeated team. Maybe that's not true, but if that is the criteria,

 

[JMSqb11]

You really think 1 loss UT gets in over 1 loss Clemson (assuming their one loss is ND - non conference)? They have a legacy, UT does not. It will come down to politics not metrics, not stats, not anything other than feelings. And Clemson has a legacy UT does not.

But to give UT the best chance, UGA must win out.

And Oregon is an X factor - PAC12 is negotiating a new deal right now. If they are still negotiating it during the selection....there may be levers pulled to get them in.

Oregon is not the X Factor. They could win the Pac12 and it wouldn't matter. Their lone loss was by 46 poitns to the team we just lost by 14 too.

 

[counterdevotee]

Am I crazy for thinking Texas will wreck TCU at home next week??

 

[SouthKnoxVol70]

Just winning out doesn’t do it. We got embarrassed. We need lots of teams to lose for us to have a chance. Let’s be honest.

Yes the game was ugly , NO sugar coating , but a 14 point game isn’t embarrassing to the #1 team in the country .

 

[Jdw2920]

A lot has to happen but we were never really in the game from the first turnover that we settled on a field goal it was over from then on. I think ohio state and Michigan need to both lose a game and tcu as well before we have any shot

 

[GordonC]

You really think 1 loss UT gets in over 1 loss Clemson (assuming their one loss is ND - non conference)? They have a legacy, UT does not. It will come down to politics not metrics, not stats, not anything other than feelings. And Clemson has a legacy UT does not.

But to give UT the best chance, UGA must win out.

And Oregon is an X factor - PAC12 is negotiating a new deal right now. If they are still negotiating it during the selection....there may be levers pulled to get them in.

If Clemson's loss is to a 3-loss team, yes will answer your question.
Besides, Louisville is playing better, and Clemson hasn't won the ACCG yet.
You are really putting the cart in front of the horse here.