CFP Scenarios (merged)

[rocketskates]

Well Bama and Clemson are currently losing and Michigan is barely beating Rutgers…so anything could happen.

 

[ABINGDON VOL FAN]

TCU has to lose
Clemson has to lose twice
Oregon has to lose again

TN has to win out
UGA has to win out

First

Clemson only has to lose once. Oregon and TCU are likely non-factors.

 

[Volanooga2521]

Clemson losing is critical. If this score holds, ACC isn’t getting in. Then, you have to hope that TCU loses and that Pac12 doesn’t have a good team. Then, it should be 1) UGA, 2) winner of OSU/ Michigan 3) loser of OSU/ Michigan and 4) UT. Power brokers of sport probably wouldn’t mind it being 2 SEC East and 2 Big 10 East teams, in order to get the other 3 conferences so pissed off that they agree to an early expansion to 12 playoff teams in 2024.

 

[rocketskates]

Oof. Check that, Michigan is now losing.

 

[hUTch2002]

TCU doesn't matter, unless you think they are going to rocket up the rankings after beating Texas Tech today by 10 points.....

If they run the table there’s no way they’re left out over us. They actually have a better remaining schedule than we do if you include the Big 12 Championship. Ohio State shot up in 2014, it can happen.

 

[ABINGDON VOL FAN]

Tennessee's out. Ohio State/Michigan will get at least 1, UGA will get 1, Clemson will get 1 unless they lose (but they're in the ACC so they won't lose), and that leaves one slot. That final slot's gonna go to either undefeated TCU, a one-loss Alabama that wins the SECCG, or the loser of Michigan-Ohio State.

Tennessee losing in the way it did to UGA is gonna drop them into that pool but with TCU and Clemson being undefeated, it's just not going to happen.

No

 

[hUTch2002]

Am I crazy for thinking Texas will wreck TCU at home next week??

Nope. Not crazy at all. TCU will lose to someone and Texas is pretty likely.

 

[camp_steveo]

It looks like ND might take Clemson out tonight. The Irish are playing lights out so far. Same for LSU.

There is still hope for the Vols. The thing is, it won't matter if the Vols can't play defense.

 

[luthervol]

4, 5, and 6 all currently losing.

And 2 beat a 1-7 team 21-7.

 

[Matt2496]

We may still be in the top 4 with how the games trending currently.

 

[PhillyRealtor]

All this talk about the season playing out, the ones we needed to lose are currently losing. Just need to win our games handily and Georgia to win out.

 

[JMSqb11]

If they run the table there’s no way they’re left out over us. They actually have a better remaining schedule than we do if you include the Big 12 Championship. Ohio State shot up in 2014, it can happen.

I think there are a few ways they would get left. UGA losing in Atlanta for one would cause them to get left out if Clemson is 13-0 and OSU/Michigan are 13-0....

SEC will get 2 teams in this year, it is just a matter of it being UGA and TENN or UGA and BAMA/Ole Miss.

If we are talking precedent aka OSU in 2014, we can make the argument as recently as last year that a #1 ranked 12-0 team losing in Atlanta would stay in the top 4.... UGA didn't stay in the top 4 after getting blasted by Bama last year just because there wasn't another P5 13-0 team out there.

 

[Elhanan]

It’s possible. It would definitely make today a lot better.

 

[WingT]

The fact there was no other undefeated P5 is why they stayed in the top 4, lol

Call it an L

 

[OldVolMan]

The commentators after the game in their wrap up both thought we only fall to 4th. Alabama and Clemson lose tonight sure would help with that.

 

[therealitytheory]

I would love to get another shot at GA. TCU and Clemson lose, and it's 1) GA vs 4) TN .

 

[OrangeBeachVol]

Isn't that great. Yeah we lost today and everyone is bummed but look at this thread title. We could DROP to #4 in the rankings. Who would have been pissed at that preseason.

 

[Gandalf]

I think we got lucky that they put us at #1 for the first week. As long as we whup the next 3 convincingly (back to form) I think the CFP will be unlikely to vote against their earlier choice and we have a very good shot at the playoffs.

 

[Boston Vol]

Hell, they may be third. Clemson and Michigan both losing at halftime. Although I think if those results held, TCU would probably jump way up to third.

 

[90 Vol]

#4 Clemson, #5 Michigan, and #6 Alabama are currently trailing. If 2 out of 3 of those scores hold, we shouldn't drop any further than 4. We need to win out (with style points) and I think we're in. Call me a homer, but I don't think Georgia beats us again on a neutral site.

 

[LadyinOrange]

I'm already excited for NEXT year!!

 

[PhillyRealtor]

I think we got lucky that they put us at #1 for the first week. As long as we whup the next 3 convincingly (back to form) I think the CFP will be unlikely to vote against their earlier choice and we have a very good shot at the playoffs.

Completely agree with you. This team will make the playoffs

 

[WesternNCVol]

Alabama is in a dog fight. Clemson is down two scores.

With some help we could move to 4. Without, we’re top 6 for now.

 

[kxtop]

The commentators after the game in their wrap up both thought we only fall to 4th. Alabama and Clemson lose tonight sure would help with that.

Only time in my life I have ever pulled for Notre Dame!

 

[PhillyRealtor]

Hell, they may be third. Clemson and Michigan both losing at halftime. Although I think if those results held, TCU would probably jump way up to third.

TCU was undefeated and 7th. They’re not jumping to top 4