Does UT make a 12 team playoff with 10 wins?

#54
#54
ABs for the five highest-ranked conference champions then seven highest-ranked teams to round out the 12-team format. I can see where the committee might select 2 or 3 teams who compete in but don't win their conference championship, leaving 4 or 5 selections. 10-3 teams probably get in before 10-2, even if they're SEC. We may see four or five 10-2 SEC teams this year. It will be interesting to see how this CPF version plays out.
 
#55
#55
DowsaTV said:
One could also consider losing 3 games, and then winning the SECCG. (unlikely scenario)
I think would be an automatic bid

Then could go 10-2 and then lose the SECCG.
That would probably knock the team out.
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The way I understand it, the two best teams will play for the SEC Championship (not sure who makes that decision - Sankey or a committee?) That's going to be two teams with the best record, SOS, ranking, etc. I don't think the loser of the SECCG will be penalized by not making the playoffs. I think the winner will get a bye, and the loser will host a first round game. That's why I believe a 10-2 SEC team that's not playing in the SECCG is definitely in the 12 team playoffs.
 
#57
#57
hatingbamaisawayoflife said:
hate to be that guy... but without some intense luck on our side and bouncing of the ball our way 9 wins is probably max.. 8 is realistic
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Then don't be that guy. Easy solution. :)

We don't need any luck to get to 9 or 10 wins this year. Getting to 11 would take some, and getting to 12 (regular season) would take a lot of balls bouncing our way. But 9 or 10? Pfft. We got this.

Go Vols!
 
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#59
#59
RDU VOL#14 said:
With better QB play we would’ve blown Bama out in the first half last year. It would’ve been a different game. We could’ve been up 28-0 or 28-7.
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I blame Bama loss on bad D, penalties and honestly play calling even though that's not the popular thing to say. We went into the half 20-7 and Milton had just thrown a TD to go into the half.
We had momentum.
2nd half Defense came out and laid a turd, the O play calling changed at that point, went conservative not counting the drops. Bama made adjustments after the half, we didn't
 
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#60
#60
TheVolsFrog said:
I blame Bama loss on bad D, penalties and honestly play calling even though that's not the popular thing to say. We went into the half 20-7 and Milton had just thrown a TD to go into the half.
We had momentum.
2nd half Defense came out and laid a turd, the O play calling changed at that point, went conservative not counting the drops. Bama made adjustments after the half, we didn't
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I agree. I also think we wasted opportunities. We played too conservatively in the second half and I think our pass rushers were “deterred” by the Bama tackles on a few plays that were game changing .
 
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#61
#61
RDU VOL#14 said:
I agree. I also think we wasted opportunities. We played too conservatively in the second half and I think our pass rushers were “deterred” by the Bama tackles on a few plays that were game changing .
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2nd half was definitely played different
I just looked at the penalty stat we were 8-55 and Bama was 1-5, got to fix those penalties. Joe was our leading Rusher, also looks like we gave Wright and Small touches that Sampson should've been getting.
This is how the 2nd half started for us when we got the ball. 3 Straight run attempts to Wright. That's worse than Jeff Fishers Run Run Pass Punt scheme

1720635825545.png
 
#62
#62
I think it depends on what other SEC teams have 10 or more wins. And were we one of their wins. I don't know if the SEC gets more than 3 teams in the playoff. I don't think we are ready to beat uga yet, but we are up there with everyone else on our schedule. Top 3 SEC teams should be a lock. We need to be one of them.
 
#63
#63
TheVolsFrog said:
2nd half was definitely played different
I just looked at the penalty stat we were 8-55 and Bama was 1-5, got to fix those penalties. Joe was our leading Rusher, also looks like we gave Wright and Small touches that Sampson should've been getting.
This is how the 2nd half started for us when we got the ball. 3 Straight run attempts to Wright. That's worse than Jeff Fishers Run Run Pass Punt scheme

View attachment 657670
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I am not one to talk about officiating very often, but that 1 penalty called on Bama the entire game was atrocious.

This is the non call on the opening drive of the second half that occurred on the TD passIMG_4988.jpeg
 
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#64
#64
RDU VOL#14 said:
I am not one to talk about officiating very often, but that 1 penalty called on Bama the entire game was atrocious.

This is the non call on the opening drive of the second half that occurred on the TD passView attachment 657677
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Yeah there was for sure home cooking in that game IMO. I think Bama up until that game had a lot of penalties in their game and then boom only 1 penalty all game. 1 penalty for a whole game is almost impossible and a 5yrd penalty at that
 
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#66
#66
pimo1 said:
Depends on who the 2 losses are to. 1 loss is likely UGA. Its about who that second one would be to. Also depends on how the teams we play do. If our opponents all have good seasons our wins against them count for more in rankings. But lets say Florida, Bama, NC State and Oklahoma take 4-5 losses each and the rest of our opponents do about what they are expected to do. It would destroy our SoS and SoR. But on the other hand if we are 10-2 and all those teams are ranked end of season its a different story. 4-6 of the teams on our schedule will likely be ranked when we face them. In fact its within the realm of possibility that we face 10 bowl-eligible teams this season. That being said its totally possible we make the playoffs with 9 wins depending on the aforementioned SoS/SoR. With the conference realignments,

I think the top25 will look a lot different than it has in the past because BIG10 and ACC teams won't have quite the cupcake in conference schedules they have in the past. teams will start seeing how it works playing 6-7 games a year against teams with a pulse instead of getting 3-4 in-conference gimmes every single year.
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Tennessee is in at 10-2. 9-3 is the question.
 
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#67
#67
NighthawkVol said:
Tennessee is in at 10-2. 9-3 is the question.
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I think there will be top12 teams that are 9-3 this year for sure because of SoS/SoR

With the Big10 and ACC beefing up their SoS goes up if you have a harder SoS you can survive some losses. It also means Big12 SoS is in the gutter meaning a 10-2 Big12 school would maybe be ranked behind a school in the power 3 with a 9-3 record depending on where those wins and losses lie. The playoff rankings take into account these things and give them significant weight. The top-heavy nature of the BIG10 BIG12 ACC and PAC12 made this weird in the past. But now the ACC and BIG10 are less top heavy and the rest are lightweights. Its arguable that the current big12 is barely stronger than Conference USA.
 
#69
#69
RDU VOL#14 said:
With better QB play we would’ve blown Bama out in the first half last year. It would’ve been a different game. We could’ve been up 28-0 or 28-7.
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ya'll act like Joe was a scrub lol our QB play was not bad..compared to Hooker before it seemed off but if you look at his stats against anyone else that's played for UT only 6 QBs in UT history have passed for more yards single season than Joe and his season is 11th all time (Peyton 3, Ainge 2 and Clausen 2 had multiple entries). He is also tied for 10th in total touchdowns in a single season only 8 players have scored more (Peyton and Hendon had double appearances). there were enough issues with the offense to pass blame around everywhere but it was not a bad season by any metric. Total offense Single season 8th only 5 guys ahead of him. The only QB in modern times to win a natty is not ahead of him in any of these stats BTW. So by what metric do you say QB play was bad? Bro won 8 games regular season. In the games we lost Joe played bad against UGA like every other QB they faced that L is squarely on him. Was he perfect no but when people run bad routes or drop balls how is that on him?

Injuries to WR and Secondary hurt us immensely last year. Thornton was out a lot of the year then Bru went down. The secondary was a MASH unit all season and once we list Hadden it was pretty much over. We had walk-ons taking meaningful snaps in the secondary at more than one point. A healthy UT wins 10 regular season games last year and this year could be looking at 11. I think this year we have built up enough depth that we can take a few injuries. We had 2 deep depth and 3 deep at a lot of places. We were playing 4th string guys last year in the secondary out of necessity not because the guys in front were bad. Last years 2nd string guys are the new 4th stringers there.
 
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#72
#72
pimo1 said:
You mean the QB that got drafted? Also, our WR's were not even close to the worst in the SEC. They were not bad at all. In fact, our passing game was exactly mid-pack in the SEC in all stats. Hyperbole is a dangerous thing when overly used.. people end up believing the crap they spout.
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Yep. That’s the guy. Thankful that he was here to bridge the gap between good QBs but he was a below average QB. The stats aren’t the only indicator of a player’s effectiveness. Our WRs were awful. I don’t have an interest in arguing so let’s just agree to disagree.
 
#74
#74
UTblood4life said:
Maybe it's bvs, but that Oklahoma game concerns me, but agree we should decimate Florida but again we've lost to the sh*tiest Florida teams before, like the 2011 game Hunter went down and all Florida did was run jet sweeps with Demps and Rainey.
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It feels so important because it will set the stage for the rest of the SEC season
 
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#75
#75
RDU VOL#14 said:
I am not one to talk about officiating very often, but that 1 penalty called on Bama the entire game was atrocious.

This is the non call on the opening drive of the second half that occurred on the TD passView attachment 657677
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This should be up there with the proof of Bammer being allowed to openly cheat like everyone has known for roughly the last 7 decades of college football. There is just absolutely no way the ref wasn't looking right at this.

He committed at least two penalties at once, simultaneously. Obviously, holding an illegal use of hands.
 
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