Early Vegas Lines for the Big Games

#30
#30
BigBadVol said:
I don’t understand all the love for OK. They have to replace their entire offensive line. TN’s defensive line is going to dominate.
Click to expand...

Hmmm. I don't think Tennessee is going to dominate OU's offense.

What do you think Oklahoma's offensive production will look like in the game (sacks allowed, rushing, passing, ...)?
 
#31
#31
trj said:
Hmmm. I don't think Tennessee is going to dominate OU's offense.

What do you think Oklahoma's offensive production will look like in the game (sacks allowed, rushing, passing, ...)?
Click to expand...
It’s hard to say but could you imagine TN replacing the entire line? The pundits would claim we would have no chance. I predict 4 sacks, multiple hurries, and around 100 yards rushing for OU. If our secondary has improved then around 200 yards passing. I will concede I don’t know how they did in the portal.
 
  • Like
Reactions: orangebloodgmc and chuckiepoo
#34
#34
JohnWardForever said:
NcST N -6
Okie Road---+6 ---------------Open for discussion, and not for wagering. (unless that's your thing, I have never bet UT sports)
Fla @ Home -10
AL @ Home +6
Uga Road +20
Uk @ Home -9
Click to expand...
On these I would not bet on in order from stay completely away to feel good maybe are
1. UGA, although I think this game will be around -10 by gametime Hype does not play to keep it close like Kiffin does and with strong teams on the road it can be a recipe for a blowout. (See Miz last year)
2. UF getting -10 when you look at UF roster and a very good returning QB and early in the season I'd feel better at -3
3. Alabama @ home this should be at even unless Milroe is just not comfortable in new O. DeBoer watch will be interesting.
4. Oklahoma this one like Bama should be even hoping their 5 star QB Arnold who started bowl game and played sparingly in 4 games the same as NICO hope our RS Freshman is a lot better than theirs.
5. NC State neutral I think this line is about right could be a 10+ win hopefully
6. I believe UK will be 4 & 4 when they arrive in November this will be the biggest win of these 6.
 
  • Like
Reactions: orangebloodgmc
#35
#35
trj said:
Hmmm. I don't think Tennessee is going to dominate OU's offense.

What do you think Oklahoma's offensive production will look like in the game (sacks allowed, rushing, passing, ...)?
Click to expand...
What’s your O line looking like? It sounds like that is your biggest question mark going into this season .
 
  • Like
Reactions: chuckiepoo
#36
#36
gatorhater1509 said:
I'd like to know as well. I'm seeing NC St +4.5, OU -3, bama -2.5, and Georgia -16.5.
Click to expand...

So you are getting an idea on line movement; projected early action. I was looking over Preseason publications (This came from the Gold Sheet) and saw Tennessee's full season lines (Based on power ratings) which I'd not seen before , so I thought it would be something interesting to post on VN. Lines do fluctuate based on action, and vary from book to book. I see that UT is now only 4.5 over ncst. Line value can be obtained when the line (spread) in shorter or longer than the Power Rating, which is actually how all opening Vegas lines are determined; before betting adjustments. So taking UT -4.5 gives you a 1.5 line value. If you like bama at -2. there is 4 points in line value for Ya.
 
  • Like
Reactions: gatorhater1509
#37
#37
FanDuel has us at +16.5 at UGA. That’s something to think about. I’m also not going to bet on something 3 months out either . I currently cannot imagine taking Vols ML.
 
#39
#39
RDU VOL#14 said:
What’s your O line looking like? It sounds like that is your biggest question mark going into this season .
Click to expand...

We have very high caliber players and elite OL coaching. I think we're going to be fine.

I'm trying to understand why Vols are so very confident that they will totally dominate Oklahoma. Frankly, I just don't get it. Another Vol in this thread predicted that Tennessee will win by 17. I looked up the stats to see how often that happens. Tennessee has beaten one P5 team with a winning record at the opponent's homefield by 17 in the last 10 years (LSU in 2022). Meanwhile OU has only lost by 17 points at home once in the last 10 years, and two times if you go back to the last 20 years. That's predicting a historic-level beatdown, and I think this OU team will be an above average team by even OU's very high standards.

Don't get me wrong -- I'll concede that Tennessee could get a win in Norman. I'm just saying that I'm pretty sure it's going to be a dog fight.
 
Last edited:
  • Like
Reactions: chuckiepoo and swampfoxfan
#40
#40
JohnWardForever said:
NcST N -6
Okie Road---+6 ---------------Open for discussion, and not for wagering. (unless that's your thing, I have never bet UT sports)
Fla @ Home -10
AL @ Home +6
Uga Road +20
Uk @ Home -9
Click to expand...

If we're anywhere close to as good as we think we'll be, that Georgia line is a steal and will probably be more like 10. Or less.

The only reason the Florida line isn't s joke is because of our tendency to have awful weeks against them. We should boat race them this year.
 
  • Like
Reactions: Big Al Orange
#41
#41
trj said:
We have very high caliber players and elite OL coaching. I think we're going to be fine.

I'm trying to understand why Vols are so very confident that they will totally dominate Oklahoma. Frankly, I just don't get it. Another Vol in this thread predicted that Tennessee will win by 17. I looked up the stats to see how often that happens. Tennessee has beaten one P5 team with a winning record at the opponent's homefield in the last 10 years (LSU in 2022). Meanwhile OU has only lost by 17 points at home once in the last 10 years, and two times if you go back to the last 20 years. That's predicting a historic-level beatdown, and I think this OU team will be an above average team by even OU's very high standards.

Don't get me wrong -- I'll concede that Tennessee could get a win in Norman. I'm just saying that I'm pretty sure it's going to be a dog fight.
Click to expand...

Besides one guy thinking they will win by 17 (which is definitely not dominating) can you point to a post that says we will dominate? It will absolutely be a dog fight where either team can win.
 
  • Like
Reactions: orangebloodgmc, chuckiepoo and swampfoxfan
#42
#42
trj said:
We have very high caliber players and elite OL coaching. I think we're going to be fine.

I'm trying to understand why Vols are so very confident that they will totally dominate Oklahoma. Frankly, I just don't get it. Another Vol in this thread predicted that Tennessee will win by 17. I looked up the stats to see how often that happens. Tennessee has beaten one P5 team with a winning record at the opponent's homefield in the last 10 years (LSU in 2022). Meanwhile OU has only lost by 17 points at home once in the last 10 years, and two times if you go back to the last 20 years. That's predicting a historic-level beatdown, and I think this OU team will be an above average team by even OU's very high standards.

Don't get me wrong -- I'll concede that Tennessee could get a win in Norman. I'm just saying that I'm pretty sure it's going to be a dog fight.
Click to expand...
I agree with a lot of what you’re saying, but I think your stats may be a bit off. I’m pretty certain we’ve beaten Kentucky multiple times in Lexington and they’ve had a winning record most times. We beat 9-4 Pitt at Pitt in 2022. That’s off the top of my head. With the exception of the past 3 years of Heupel, the previous 7 years and beyond have been the worst in our history, kind of like you guys prior to Stoops. We’re a very capable football team and your guy Heupel has brought us back to being relevant.
 
  • Like
Reactions: orangebloodgmc and chuckiepoo
#46
#46
trj said:
We have very high caliber players and elite OL coaching. I think we're going to be fine.

I'm trying to understand why Vols are so very confident that they will totally dominate Oklahoma. Frankly, I just don't get it. Another Vol in this thread predicted that Tennessee will win by 17. I looked up the stats to see how often that happens. Tennessee has beaten one P5 team with a winning record at the opponent's homefield by 17 in the last 10 years (LSU in 2022). Meanwhile OU has only lost by 17 points at home once in the last 10 years, and two times if you go back to the last 20 years. That's predicting a historic-level beatdown, and I think this OU team will be an above average team by even OU's very high standards.

Don't get me wrong -- I'll concede that Tennessee could get a win in Norman. I'm just saying that I'm pretty sure it's going to be a dog fight.
Click to expand...

This will be a tough game. Okla QB room is rated just a tad lower than UT's,#43-39 RB's rated higher# 21-37 , Receivers #6-15, UT takes the Oline, #8-47, UT Dline, #8-21, Okla takes the LBS #2--72, And DBS #2-- 90. So, okla has a huge edge on Defense (on paper) and probably a wash on Offense. Tough game....
 
  • Like
Reactions: marcusluvsvols, chuckiepoo and hUTch2002
#48
#48
I can't speak to the odds, and my enthusiasm is needing a new bridle, but, I think we will surprise some of these money-changers due to our defensive depth. There have been a few games where we played strong against these opponents only to fade as our defense withered. I believe we'll get sixty minutes out of our current bunch. And, with that - Go Vols!
 
  • Like
Reactions: chuckiepoo
#50
#50
trj said:
We have very high caliber players and elite OL coaching. I think we're going to be fine.

I'm trying to understand why Vols are so very confident that they will totally dominate Oklahoma. Frankly, I just don't get it. Another Vol in this thread predicted that Tennessee will win by 17. I looked up the stats to see how often that happens. Tennessee has beaten one P5 team with a winning record at the opponent's homefield by 17 in the last 10 years (LSU in 2022). Meanwhile OU has only lost by 17 points at home once in the last 10 years, and two times if you go back to the last 20 years. That's predicting a historic-level beatdown, and I think this OU team will be an above average team by even OU's very high standards.

Don't get me wrong -- I'll concede that Tennessee could get a win in Norman. I'm just saying that I'm pretty sure it's going to be a dog fight.
Click to expand...
Yah, I think it's going to be a dog fight as well. And I think most folks here would agree. Your attention is just sticking on the smaller number of exuberant Vols fans who are saying we'll whup you by double digits. They stand out, because they're the ones you disagree with most. Or are most afraid of being right. Or whatever. I'm no shrink.

Just saying, we probably most of us agree with you: this is going to be a knock-down, drag-out affair.

Go Vols!
 
  • Like
Reactions: orangebloodgmc, MemphisVol77, chuckiepoo and 1 other person
New posts
You must log in or register to reply here.

VN Store



Back
Top