Early Vegas Lines for the Big Games

#101
#101
Rockytop10nessee said:
I think our liens are as good as theirs, and I think Nico is better than beck. I like our receivers room more, and I like their linebackers and secondary.

In years past, they had the edge at every position just about. I think that’s different this year. It’s more split.

I do think we should be favored at OU. They have concerns on the OL, it’s their biggest weakness, and we have a top 3 DL in the country. Our biggest weakness is probably our secondary, and their QB needs good protection to take of advantage of that. That’s where my opinion comes from. But I do think it’ll be a battle. I admit there’s a small part of me that believes that Heup’s grudge against OU gives us a boost and we win by more than expected, but that’s probably just wishful thinking haha
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I think OU will be favored since it’s in their house but it’ll be less than 6 at KO. I’m thinking 3-4 unless we absolutely blast NC State. Then we could be a pick or slight fav.
 
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#102
#102
Savannahbayvol said:
Depends on your definition of a mistake. As long as there is approximately an even amount of money bet on both sides the books don't give a rats patoot about how close the final score is to their line. Probably figured UGA has beaten us so badly the last few years they have to give us 20 to get Vol fans to bet.
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That "Even betting on both sides" was from days gone buy. Now, the Books don't care where the action is, TODAY; for example, MLB games, SDG got 85% of the action, NYY, 90%, Toronto, 88%, Cleveland, 65%, Wash, 80%, Boston total OVER, 88%. Those high percentages will lose more than win. Also, Vegas does care about points & scores, since the Totals are bet heavily as well. Books are not just happy with the "Juice" anymore, they want it all. Look at the Sportsbooks in Vegas, they weren't built on 10% of the take, they spend more than that on Promotions. If you think I don't know of which I speak, check for yourself. Pregame, Covers, Action, Vegas Insider, all post betting %. Hardly ONE 50-50. Anyone could win big over a season if they simply faded the highest %. Vegas isn't taking a bath, they have contingency plans. Just keep it at that.....Before rebuttal, do as I suggested....
 
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#104
#104
maryvillenative said:
Their QB came from the Sunbelt and his numbers aren't that great when you really dig. To me, there's a chance he's ACC ready but a zero chance he's SEC ready.
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McCall is very good,, but smallish and has already part of two seasons to injuries. Pierce and Co Liable to hurt him.
 
#106
#106
hUTch2002 said:
Maybe that will help some realize that OU and Bama aren’t shoe-in wins or even games we “should” win. They’re games we certainly can win though. I like that UF line. I think we beat the dog crap out of them this year. UGA being a 20-pt favorites is surprising. I bet that comes down some but I’ve seen a lot of people call that a toss up game. Not according to Vegas.
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20 with our potential offense is a lot of points.
 
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#108
#108
LakeMaryFLVol said:
20 with our potential offense is a lot of points.
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Agreed. The key word is potential. And I think the key will be whether or not we can slow them down. Their offense has pretty much done what they wanted against our D. That’s not a slam on anyone as they’re a great team. This will be the best D line they’ve seen from us under CJH though with good talent behind it. And this year UGA actually plays a tough schedule so they might have a little wear and tear. It’s almost football time!
 
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#109
#109
trj said:
No doubt that Pitt victory was a good win, but I meant away victories of more than 17 points against a P5 team with a winning record. The Pitt and Kentucky victories don't meet those conditions (the conditions that Tennessee will face against Oklahoma).
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#16 LSU 2022
40-13
 
#112
#112
We're beating Georgia this year so definitely take the easy money there +16.

Florida always plays us close so I would take them +10.

Also we'll handle NC State by more than a score so take the minus money there.

I think those are the best bets.
 
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