East Tennessee Weather II

There will be warnings, maybe even a damaging tornado, but the set up was not the same from the go. VERY strong winds with this system. As strong as 100 mph. could be a derecho type situation.
 
Some interesting weather history for Christmas across East Tennessee. Would love to know if anyone has some photos from the 1969 Christmas snow event. Before my time...

 
Meteorologist friend of mine who currently is a weatherman for in Arkansas warned me some potentially very cold weather is on its way for the new year. Says winter is coming.

Noticed that this morning looking at the GFS morning run. Fingers crossed it holds up.
 
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Meteorologist friend of mine who currently is a weatherman in Arkansas warned me some potentially very cold weather is on its way for the new year. Says winter is coming.
Definitely looks like a cool down across the Central U.S. to start the year as ridging builds across the West Coast. The trick will be whether it can push far enough east if ridging stays centered across FL. Could definitely see a situation where we in East Tennessee get stuck in deep SW flow along the boundary of the warm and cold airmasses and get stuck with a lot of precipitation around the Tennessee Valley. We'll see how it shakes out as we get closer.
 
Definitely looks like a cool down across the Central U.S. to start the year as ridging builds across the West Coast. The trick will be whether it can push far enough east if ridging stays centered across FL. Could definitely see a situation where we in East Tennessee get stuck in deep SW flow along the boundary of the warm and cold airmasses and get stuck with a lot of precipitation around the Tennessee Valley. We'll see how it shakes out as we get closer.
Keep me posted, weather here seems tricky, I'm in southern mid TN near the Alabama line.
 
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Keep me posted, weather here seems tricky, I'm in southern mid TN near the Alabama line.
It's always a challenge to forecast around here, but that can make it fun and rewarding.

Hopefully I'll be lurking around here and posting some from time to time. Got really busy this past year and hadn't been back on here too much until recently.
 
Definitely looks like a cool down across the Central U.S. to start the year as ridging builds across the West Coast. The trick will be whether it can push far enough east if ridging stays centered across FL. Could definitely see a situation where we in East Tennessee get stuck in deep SW flow along the boundary of the warm and cold airmasses and get stuck with a lot of precipitation around the Tennessee Valley. We'll see how it shakes out as we get closer.
Yesterday's morning temperature in Nashville was 27; today it's 52.
 
Yesterday's morning temperature in Nashville was 27; today it's 52.
Even on my way home last night, temperature changed 10 degrees over about a one mile area as I traveled out of a cold sheltered valley up to a ridgetop due to the inversion and warmer air moving in aloft. That kind of stuff is always neat to me.
 
I was only a year old when the Blizzard of 93 happened. How was it received among East TN when the weather began reporting on it?

Iowa State has completed archives that include the Blizzard of 1993 for East Tennessee now. You can look at a lot of the products and forecasts issued in the days leading up to the event. The NWS Morristown WFO was actually three separate NWS WSO stations located at CHA, TYS, and TRI prior to consolidation as WFO MRX in 1995, so you'll see products issued by CHA, TYS, and TRI instead of MRX for the March 1993 winter storm.
 
18Z GFS showing snow for TN but not for East TN…
Models have flip-flopped daily on wintery weather the first week of Jan., so we will see.
 
Day 3 slight risk from the SPC for much of the southeast and then a Day 6 risk area for New Years Day. The Wednesday event could be a sneaky one, but the Saturday event has the most potential for severe weather.
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Day 3 slight risk from the SPC for much of the southeast and then a Day 6 risk area for New Years Day. The Wednesday event could be a sneaky one, but the Saturday event has the most potential for severe weather.
day3otlk_0830.gif

day6prob.gif

Definitely keeping an eye on Saturday for our area. Usually, when the SPC is highlighting a severe threat 6+ days out, there's a good chance for a severe weather outbreak.
 
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