East Tennessee Weather II

#3,555
#3,555
Alert!!!!!!! (This is for West TN including Memphis)

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH
THURSDAY EVENING...

* WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation possible. Total sleet
accumulations of up two tenths of inch and ice accumulations of
one tenth to four tenths of an inch possible.

* WHERE...Portions of North Mississippi, West Tennessee and East
Arkansas.

* WHEN...From late Wednesday night through Thursday evening.

* IMPACTS...Power outages and tree damage are likely due to the
ice. Travel could be difficult. The hazardous conditions could
impact the morning or evening commute.
Click to expand...
 
#3,556
#3,556
Vol knight said:
Alert!!!!!!! (This is for West TN including Memphis)
Click to expand...

FKizpoYXsAgEt3i


...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT WEDNESDAY NIGHT
TO MIDNIGHT CST THURSDAY NIGHT...

* WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation expected. Total ice
accumulations of one quarter to one half of an inch and total
sleet and snow accumulations of less than one inch.

* WHERE...Portions of West Tennessee and East Arkansas.

* WHEN...From midnight Wednesday night to midnight CST Thursday
night.

* IMPACTS...Expect power outages and tree damage due to the ice.
Travel could be impossible. The hazardous conditions could
impact the morning or evening commute.
Click to expand...

I'm in Tipton so according to the map we're expecting .5-.75 of ice.
 
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#3,559
#3,559
Alert!!!!!!!!!!!!

...ICE STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO MIDNIGHT
CST THURSDAY NIGHT...

* WHAT...Significant icing expected. Total snow accumulations of
up to one inch and ice accumulations of three tenths to one
half of an inch. Winds gusting as high as 35 mph.

* WHERE...Portions of West Tennessee.

* WHEN...From midnight tonight to midnight CST Thursday night.

* IMPACTS...Expect power outages and tree damage due to the ice.
Travel could be impossible. The hazardous conditions could
impact the morning or evening commute.
Click to expand...
 
#3,563
#3,563
The East TN media has turned odd reporting potential winter weather. WBIR showed two models of potential snow for Sunday. One model keeping snow in the mountains and the other showing a great snow for most of East TN.

On their 7 day forecast, Sunday has a 30% chance.
 
Last edited:
#3,564
#3,564
headhunter15 said:
The East TN has turned odd reporting potential winter weather. WBIR showed two models of potential snow for Sunday. One model keeping snow in the mountains and the other showing a great snow for most of East TN.

On their 7 day forecast, Sunday has a 30% chance.
Click to expand...

It's a pick your model type of forecast. Tons of uncertainty. GFS has been more bullish on snow the past couple runs but has waffled back and forth the past few days. Kuchera ratio below probably overestimates actual accumulation.

models-2022020912-f120.snku_acc.us_ov.gif
 
#3,565
#3,565
MetVol said:
It's a pick your model type of forecast. Tons of uncertainty. GFS has been more bullish on snow the past couple runs but has waffled back and forth the past few days. Kuchera ratio below probably overestimates actual accumulation.

View attachment 433299
Click to expand...

I would take a good dusting to 1 inch right now. Want to use one of our last two snow days.
 
#3,566
#3,566
I think we have had a total of two inches at my house this year. I just give up on hoping for winter in the valley. My least two favorite seasons are around the corner.
 
#3,567
#3,567
Alert!!!!!

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST /5 PM CST/ THIS
EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR EAST TENNESSEE
INCLUDING THE CUMBERLAND PLATEAU...

The National Weather Service in Morristown has issued a Red Flag
Warning, which is in effect until 6 PM EST /5 PM CST/ this
evening.

* TIMING...This afternoon.

* WIND...Winds from the southwest at 15 to 25 mph can be expected
with gusts in excess of 35 mph at times.

* HUMIDITY...Relative humidity values of 25 to 30 percent in many
areas.

* IMPACTS...any fires that develop will likely spread rapidly.
Outdoor burning is not recommended.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now....or are expected to occur shortly. A
combination of strong winds...low relative humidity...and warm
temperatures can contribute to extreme fire behavior.
Click to expand...
 
#3,569
#3,569
Chance of some damaging wind gusts with a very small chance for a spin-up tonrado tonight with any storms that develop as the front moves through tonight.
 
#3,571
#3,571
davethevol said:
I wonder if Knoxville will go under a tornado watch later.
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The threat of tornadoes is really marginal here in East Tennessee so there probably won't be.

I could see a Severe Thunderstorm Watch being issued though because with the intensity of the LLJ, any storms that develop will bring damaging winds down to the surface. MRX says that even showers could bring very high winds.
 
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#3,573
#3,573
headhunter15 said:


Looks like we are about to get bombarded with rain with potential flooding.
Click to expand...


Yeah it looks like a pretty good signal for some heavy rain and a wet week. The axis of heaviest rain will depend on where the front stalls.

Based on the recent rainfall, conditional river forecasts show some flooding potential with this extra rain, so it'll be something to watch.

models-2022021900-f168.qpf_acc.us_ov.gif

Also, it's going to be Severe Weather Awareness Week in Tennessee this Sunday though next Saturday.
 
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