East Tennessee Weather II

[rocktopper16]

Looks like Knoxville possibility of snow just keeps going down and down, as is customary. Dang, I thought we might actually get something decent from this system.

Text Products for AFD Issued by MRX

 

[rocktopper16]

This is so fun to track

 

[Burhead]

 

[headhunter15]

Knox. County has closed tomorrow.

 

[kiddiedoc]

Knox. County has closed tomorrow.

For wind. When did this become SOP?

 

[YankeeVol]

Schools are closed here tomorrow in GA where I live too

 

[davethevol]

For wind. When did this become SOP?

The school system is a fractured mess right now. The mask crap absolutely tore it apart. The morale is so bad that I’m guessing KCS is hoping that giving staff a 4 day weekend alleviates some of the negative feelings.

 

[rocktopper16]

GFS looked great again. 12Zeuro spooked NWS. Let’s see how the 0Z looks.

Seems like models are coming together besides the euro.

 

[TechnoVol]

GFS looked great again. 12Zeuro spooked NWS. Let’s see how the 0Z looks.

Seems like models are coming together besides the euro.

Great for what? Hopefully, some measurable snow!

 

[rocktopper16]

Great for what? Hopefully, some measurable snow!

Indeed, State wide! Still a few days out but probabilities of snow greater than a inch is at 60%

 

[volsarelife1]

GFS looked great again. 12Zeuro spooked NWS. Let’s see how the 0Z looks.

Seems like models are coming together besides the euro.

Was just coming to say. That's several model runs again that it's looked really good

 

[BigOrangeMojo]

For wind. When did this become SOP?

This is so stupid. It's one thing if this was a high risk area ( a.k.a., a tornado outbreak). Yeah, this isn't it...

 

[BigOrangeMojo]

I know the closer we get it gets a bit easier to forecast but when should we get a clearer picture?

Models are still all over the place. Latest 00Z models show little snow in Memphis..

 

[Burhead]

Models are still all over the place. Latest 00Z models show little snow in Memphis..

Please don’t say that ugh. What changed?

 

[volsarelife1]

Loving that 06 GFS run East Tennessee

 

[95 Vol Alum]

This is so stupid. It's one thing if this was a high risk area ( a.k.a., a tornado outbreak). Yeah, this isn't it...

Are you enjoying the tornado sirens this morning?

 

[BigOrangeMojo]

Are you enjoying the tornado sirens this morning?

I hear no sirens. All I see is a Severe Tstorm Warning. Knox County was on the borderline between Marginal Risk and No Risk yesterday. You can't cancel school for every rain storm especially when they will likely miss M-W next week....

If it's a March 31st type high Risk warned event that we had here in Shelby, sure...

 

[hUTch2002]

Loving that 06 GFS run East Tennessee
View attachment 609499

Wow, that changed for the better! So when is it best to switch to NAM? 72 hours? 48 hours?

 

[95 Vol Alum]

I hear no sirens. All I see is a Severe Tstorm Warning. Knox County was on the borderline between Marginal Risk and No Risk yesterday. You can't cancel school for every rain storm especially when they will likely miss M-W next week....

If it's a March 31st type high Risk warned event that we had here in Shelby, sure...

They were going off here starting at 7am. Lifted now of course.

 

[BigOrangeMojo]

They were going off here starting at 7am. Lifted now of course.

Yall have tornado warning up there or did the county mistakingly blow then for Severe Tstorm Warning, which they tend to do...

 

[Burhead]

Yall have tornado warning up there or did the county mistakingly blow then for Severe Tstorm Warning, which they tend to do...

I heard them in Millington on the way to work.

 

[BigOrangeMojo]

I heard them in Millington on the way to work.

The polygon for AR torwarn storm did briefly cover extreme NW (N and W of Millington) Shelby Co so they were right to blow them.

My point remains, Shelby was on border of enhanced risk. The no risk line cuts through Knox County.

 

[headhunter15]

What is everyone’s thought about the Euro being the outlier as far as totals for next week?

 

[rocktopper16]

What is everyone’s thought about the Euro being the outlier as far as totals for next week?

Euro is king as always however all models are now showing a Miller A with totals rising each run. MRX discussion will be interesting this afternoon.

 

[davethevol]

The polygon for AR torwarn storm did briefly cover extreme NW (N and W of Millington) Shelby Co so they were right to blow them.

My point remains, Shelby was on border of enhanced risk. The no risk line cuts through Knox County.

View attachment 609504

Last time we had no risk, we had an EF2 with no warning hit the Cedar Bluff area.