East Tennessee Weather II

[DrRosenRosen]

What's with the high in the 60's, come on?! Suddenly it's spring?

BigDaddy gave you a heads up a couple pages back winter was done and moving out.

 

[Vol knight]

Back to winter, the model trends are showing a late winter push into March. Here's an example of the kind of setup that winter lovers want to see on the models. This is the CFS model, which is generally a good predictor of what the GFS and other American models could be showing in the future.

Edit: The red/brown colors indicate high pressure while the blue colors indicate low pressure.

 

[WallyBalls]

Back to winter, the model trends are showing a late winter push into March. Here's an example of the kind of setup that winter lovers want to see on the models. This is the CFS model, which is generally a good predictor of what the GFS and other American models could be showing in the future.

Edit: The red/brown colors indicate high pressure while the blue colors indicate low pressure.

So, what do the models look at to come up with that?

I know historical data may play a small part, but what else? Ocean temps, that sort of thing?

 

[bigdaddy]

BigDaddy gave you a heads up a couple pages back winter was done and moving out.

Do you dare put that evil on me

 

[Vol knight]

So, what do the models look at to come up with that?

I know historical data may play a small part, but what else? Ocean temps, that sort of thing?

Historical data does play a part. Ocean temperatures, wind direction and speed, and other factors play into it as well.

 

[WallyBalls]

Historical data does play a part. Ocean temperatures, wind direction and speed, and other factors play into it as well.

Where's that data fed from? Buoys, balloons, satellites, stations, what else?

Realized I had never considered where the info actually comes from.

 

[bigdaddy]

Had to turn the AC on today....in February

 

[Vol knight]

Alert!!!!! (The following is for the TN/KY border counties)

The National Weather Service in Morristown has issued a

* Flood Watch for portions of East Tennessee and Southwest
Virginia, including the following areas, in East Tennessee,
Campbell, Claiborne, Hancock, and Scott TN. In Southwest
Virginia, Lee, Russell, Scott, and Wise.

* From Saturday morning through Saturday evening

* Rain amuonts through Saturday evening between 1 inch and 1 1/2
inches are expected. With the ground being nearly saturated from
recent rainfall, excessive runoff may produce flooding of low-
lying areas, street flooding, and stream and river flooding.

* People in the watch area should be aware of the threat of
heavy rainfall. Avoid low lying areas...and be careful when
approaching highway dips and underpasses. If you come to a
closed or flooded road...Turn around! Don`t drown!

 

[Vol knight]

For Ulysees and anyone else that lives in Southeast KY:

The National Weather Service in Jackson has issued a

* Flood Watch for portions of northeast Kentucky, south central
Kentucky, and southeast Kentucky, including the following
areas, in northeast Kentucky, Martin. In south central
Kentucky, Laurel, McCreary, and Whitley. In southeast
Kentucky, Bell, Clay, Floyd, Harlan, Knott, Knox, Leslie,
Letcher, Perry, and Pike.

* From Saturday morning through Saturday evening

* Another round of moderate to heavy round of rainfall is expected
across southeast Kentucky on Saturday. With the ground already
very saturated from previous rainfall, the additional rainfall
could lead to localized flooding of low lying areas. Rainfall
amounts will range from 0.75 to around 1 inch.

* There will be a threat of flooding along area creeks, streams,
and in low lying areas. There may also be a chance for a few
mudslides.

 

[Ulysees E. McGill]

For Ulysees and anyone else that lives in Southeast KY:

Thanks VK, praying it won't get bad here. It is completely saturated here.

 

[Vol knight]

Alert!!!!! (For Southeast KY)

The National Weather Service in JACKSON KY has issued a

* Flood Advisory for...
Harlan County in southeastern Kentucky...
Letcher County in southeastern Kentucky...
Leslie County in southeastern Kentucky...
Southeastern Perry County in southeastern Kentucky...
Southern Knott County in southeastern Kentucky...
Southeastern Floyd County in southeastern Kentucky...
Pike County in southeastern Kentucky...
Southeastern Clay County in southeastern Kentucky...

* Until 645 PM EST

* At 1249 PM EST, Doppler radar indicated heavy rain that will cause
minor flooding in the advisory area. Up to one inch of rain has
already fallen.

* Some locations that will experience flooding include...
Pikeville, Hazard, Whitesburg, Harlan, Hyden, Letcher, Bath,
Cumberland, Jenkins, Loyall, Elkhorn City, Evarts, Wheelwright,
Fleming-Neon, Lynch, Pippa Passes, Benham, Vicco, Wallins Creek and
Blackey.

An additional inch is expected over the area. This additional rain
will result in minor flooding.

 

[davethevol]

If we don’t get another cold front soon, the plants are going to start blooming. We will probably get a winter blast after things start growing and it will do a lot of damage.

 

[bigdaddy]

If we don’t get another cold front soon, the plants are going to start blooming. We will probably get a winter blast after things start growing and it will do a lot of damage.

Like I said, I leave for a ski trip in Telluride on March 3. Whenever I go skiing it warms up out west and snows here. I am cursed

 

[Coug]

You people that said winter is over or wished it was over can come over here and mow my lawn in a couple weeks.

 

[37L1]

You people that said winter is over or wished it was over can come over here and mow my lawn in a couple weeks.

#

 

[gordonr24]

You people that said winter is over or wished it was over can come over here and mow my lawn in a couple weeks.

Can’t. Live on the west side of the state.

Bring on early spring!

 

[bigdaddy]

Can’t. Live on the west side of the state.

Bring on early spring!

Booooooooo

 

[Freak]

Beautiful outside today. I don’t care if it’s hot or cold but I’m over all the rain.

 

[bigdaddy]

Beautiful outside today. I don’t care if it’s hot or cold but I’m over all the rain.

Go back to your hole

 

[Freak]

Go back to your hole

Don’t make me come over there.

 

[Freak]

I had big plans today to work outside and get some things marked off my todo list, but so far my day’s accomplishments include watching Tennessee baseball, and not in person.

 

[rocktopper16]

Don’t look now but long range GFS in agreement with the weeklies on a huge cold shot.

 

[bigdaddy]

Don’t look now but long range GFS in agreement with the weeklies on a huge cold shot.

What is their long range window?

 

[rocktopper16]

What is their long range window?

384 hrs

 

[DancingOutlaw]

If we don’t get another cold front soon, the plants are going to start blooming. We will probably get a winter blast after things start growing and it will do a lot of damage.

Crocuses have already started blooming here. Daffodils are on deck. Dogwoods and hydrangeas are budding out. At this point I say no more cold. I like it but not if it's going to ruin the landscaping.