East Tennessee Weather II

#151
#151
As far as the next few weeks, I'm not liking what I'm seeing on the models. Unfortunately, February will probably be a better month for us in terms of wintry weather.
 
#152
#152
Dusting of snow on way to work this morning...always nice to see the white stuff
 
#153
#153
Some reason for concern. The hp get trapped and cold air stays around a bit longer. The slp is sliding further south.
 
#156
#156
VK. Every model run is showing cooler and cooler temps. The mild may not be so mild. Freezing rain is starting to be a concern.


And another Nor’easter next week? Fantasy run.

I refuse to trust a model until a day now.
 
#159
#159
VolnJC said:
I'm thinking that we could see 5+ hours of wintery weather Sunday night...but will eventually turn to rain on Monday...definitely worth watching
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I just don’t see a model worth trusting the RGEM is throwing out crazy freeing rain numbers.
 
#166
#166
Gem still sticking with a Freezing event. With small snow amounts. WRX saying to monitor the forecast as well.
 

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#167
#167
It truly baffles me that it can be so cold with arctic temperatures in East TN and we can’t sniff precipitation. However, as soon as it gets above freezing, we get precipitation in the form of rain.
 
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#168
#168
This sucks. I have the thermostat at 73 degrees, it says it’s 73 in the house, but this chill won’t go away. Currently about 27 degrees outside. I just can’t get warm without running a space heater next to me.
 
#169
#169
NAM still trending cooler. Waiting for the GFS which had .25-.35 of freezing rain for most of the area.

Really need to follow this storm. Has potentional to be a very serious situation.
 

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#171
#171
MRX recalling the 2015 event. Thinking northerly winds could keep the area under freezing Monday. Looks like the Precip may be light though.
 
#172
#172
I don't look at models this far out..but what the heck...nothing else going on this time of year
snku_acc.us_ov.png
 
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#174
#174
rocktopper16 said:
MRX recalling the 2015 event. Thinking northerly winds could keep the area under freezing Monday. Looks like the Precip may be light though.
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That's not exactly what they are saying. They're saying that they're keeping an eye on the potential, but they expect SW winds to build in Monday and change the mix to all rain.
 
#175
#175
Vol knight said:
That's not exactly what they are saying. They're saying that they're keeping an eye on the potential, but they expect SW winds to build in Monday and change the mix to all rain.
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One thingwe`ve been looking for is a possible stubborn northerly wind in thevalley that might keep temps in the afternoon below freezing--as wasseen with the ice event in Feb 2015. Right now, it looks like thepressure pattern “will try” to keep a SW flow up the valley on Monday,that will help with warm advection.
 
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