East Tennessee Weather

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#8,951
#8,951
You know, I think most of us aren't too upset if they overestimate the storm and we get less snow than predicted. It's when they underestimate the system is when people get pissed.
 
#8,952
#8,952
Messy morning..surprised we didn't cancel classes..but I had a grand total of 1 student show up :)
snow should be out of the area by 12 and roads should improve then as it is supposed to be in the 40s later today
 
#8,953
#8,953
Vol knight said:
You know, I think most of us aren't too upset if they overestimate the storm and we get less snow than predicted. It's when they underestimate the system is when people get pissed.
Click to expand...

You got that right, im in my two wheel drive truck because I thought it would be nothing!
 
#8,954
#8,954
We got an inch in North Knoxville. I'm not going to be leaving my house for awhile. Would anyone like to go to the local news stations and burn some mattresses with me?
 
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#8,957
#8,957
I'll say this: The GGEM has been the most consistent model out of all of them. It has not waivered in dumping a lot of snow here.

I'd also like to mention that the RGEM, the Canadian short range model, called the storm that is happening right now correctly. It was thrown out by the local news guys.
 
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#8,958
#8,958
Vol knight said:
I'll say this: The GGEM has been the most consistent model out of all of them. It has not waivered in dumping a lot of snow here.

I'd also like to mention that the RGEM, the Canadian short range model, called the storm that happening right now correctly. It was thrown out by the local news guys.
Click to expand...

I agree with RockyTop411... If the temps are right, oh boy! Weather Channel shows a high of 49° on Monday.
 
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#8,963
#8,963
Orange_Vol1321 said:
Not seen that, everything I see is a high of 38.
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TWC has 44 as a high for me on Monday..with ice in the morning and changing to rain during the day...tomorrow will be the day when all the forecasts start coming together..I'm leaning now toward seeing snow Sunday night and changing to rain on Monday and maybe back to snow Monday night..with limited accumulation..hopefully that will change with new models
 
#8,964
#8,964
Vol knight said:
I got a question. If this storm is still in the Pacific Ocean, then how does TWC know for sure what is going to happen?
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:good!:

Vol knight... I'm with you. I don't put much stock in what they are saying about this storm. Oh wait, they have adjusted Monday's high to 48°, they're getting there lol.
 
#8,967
#8,967
Just a question...

When everyone says "TWC says".... I was always under the assumption the vast majority of their forecasts were automated. Is that not the case?

I imagine that accounts for the wide variances.
 
#8,968
#8,968
VolnJC said:
TWC has 44 as a high for me on Monday..with ice in the morning and changing to rain during the day...tomorrow will be the day when all the forecasts start coming together..I'm leaning now toward seeing snow Sunday night and changing to rain on Monday and maybe back to snow Monday night..with limited accumulation..hopefully that will change with new models
Click to expand...

JC and RT, there's a weather message board that I recently found that I think you would like to check out. It's called Americanwx. It has meteorologists and weather enthusiasts that are very knowledgeable about the weather. I recommend taking a look at it.
 
#8,969
#8,969
12z GFS...still not showing the snow for the valley but getting closer
gfs_asnow_us_17.png
 
#8,970
#8,970
Another good GFS run. Low shifted south again. Don't focus too much on snow amounts right now. The most important thing is the storm track, and it's trending in the favor for people who like snow.
 
#8,971
#8,971
JC, do you notice how the heavier snow amounts are shifting south and east? It's getting close to looking somewhat similar to last night's GEM run.
 
#8,972
#8,972
Whats funny to me with TWC is you have the article about the upcoming storm on their front page. It says alot of uncertainty about the track and wahts going to happen to keep your guard up. Yet Al Roker is on video saying straight rain for us Monday. It's hilarious.
 
#8,974
#8,974
Vk, doesn't this show about where we want the Low? Yet it still shows it pumping in the warm air.
 

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