East Tennessee Weather

[Vol knight]

I'm wondering how the ground being saturated along with the combination of upcoming winds gusts will play out. Two full days of rain hitting before wind gusts is never good.

This is a good point. All this rain is loosening the soil, which can make trees get knocked down easier. The fact that we could see gusts of 40-50 mph is not good.

Also as an update, everyone in East Tennessee is now in a marginal risk for Strong to Severe Thunderstorms. Obviously, if you get hit by a Severe storm, the wind gusts could be higher.

 

[mrorange211]

Where's my snow experts at!

 

[Vol knight]

Where's my snow experts at!

Unless you live in the Plateau, Northeast TN, or the Mountains, up to a dusting is expected in the valley.

 

[Orange_Vol1321]

Special Weather Statement for tonight

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN 228 PM EST THU FEB 25 2016 TNZ016-017-036>040-042-044-046-067>071-073-081>083-086-098-261400- HAWKINS-SULLIVAN-ANDERSON-UNION-GRAINGER-HAMBLEN-NORTHWEST COCKE- NORTHWEST GREENE-WASHINGTON TN-NORTHWEST CARTER-ROANE-LOUDON-KNOX- JEFFERSON-NW BLOUNT-NORTH SEVIER-SEQUATCHIE-BLEDSOE-RHEA- NORTHWEST MONROE-MARION- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROGERSVILLE...KINGSPORT...BRISTOL... CLINTON...OAK RIDGE...MAYNARDVILLE...RUTLEDGE...MORRISTOWN... NEWPORT...GREENEVILLE...JOHNSON CITY...ELIZABETHTON...KINGSTON... LENOIR CITY...KNOXVILLE...DANDRIDGE...MARYVILLE...SEVIERVILLE... DUNLAP...PIKEVILLE...DAYTON...MADISONVILLE...JASPER 228 PM EST THU FEB 25 2016 /128 PM CST THU FEB 25 2016/ ...LIGHT SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS POSSIBLE THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT ACROSS MUCH OF THE CENTRAL AND NORTHERN VALLEY...AND THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE SOUTHERN PLATEAU... SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE REGION THIS EVENING AND INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS AS AN UPPER-LEVEL STORM SYSTEM PASSES THROUGH THE AREA. SOME LIGHT SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF AROUND HALF AN INCH ARE POSSIBLE BY FRIDAY MORNING...WITH A FEW AREAS ACROSS THE TRI-CITIES METRO SEEING CLOSER TO ONE INCH. THESE SNOW ACCUMULATIONS WILL MAINLY OCCUR ON GRASSY SURFACES...BUT A LIGHT COATING OF SNOW IS POSSIBLE ON A FEW ROADS LATER TONIGHT AS SURFACE TEMPERATURES DIP BELOW FREEZING. ADDITIONALLY...THE THREAT FOR BLACK ICE WILL EXIST LATE TONIGHT INTO THE FRIDAY MORNING COMMUTE AS WET ROAD SURFACES FREEZE. USE EXTRA CAUTION WHILE TRAVELING LATE TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING IN THESE AREAS...AND ALLOW EXTRA TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION!

 

[Vol knight]

Here's a special weather statement issued by the NWS in Morristown for the Central and Northern Valley.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
228 PM EST THU FEB 25 2016

TNZ016-017-036>040-042-044-046-067>071-073-081>083-086-098-261400-
HAWKINS-SULLIVAN-ANDERSON-UNION-GRAINGER-HAMBLEN-NORTHWEST COCKE-
NORTHWEST GREENE-WASHINGTON TN-NORTHWEST CARTER-ROANE-LOUDON-KNOX-
JEFFERSON-NW BLOUNT-NORTH SEVIER-SEQUATCHIE-BLEDSOE-RHEA-
NORTHWEST MONROE-MARION-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROGERSVILLE...KINGSPORT...BRISTOL...
CLINTON...OAK RIDGE...MAYNARDVILLE...RUTLEDGE...MORRISTOWN...
NEWPORT...GREENEVILLE...JOHNSON CITY...ELIZABETHTON...KINGSTON...
LENOIR CITY...KNOXVILLE...DANDRIDGE...MARYVILLE...SEVIERVILLE...
DUNLAP...PIKEVILLE...DAYTON...MADISONVILLE...JASPER
228 PM EST THU FEB 25 2016 /128 PM CST THU FEB 25 2016/

...LIGHT SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS POSSIBLE THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT
ACROSS MUCH OF THE CENTRAL AND NORTHERN VALLEY...AND THE HIGHER
ELEVATIONS OF THE SOUTHERN PLATEAU...

SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE REGION THIS EVENING
AND INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS AS AN UPPER-LEVEL STORM SYSTEM PASSES
THROUGH THE AREA. SOME LIGHT SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF AROUND HALF
AN INCH ARE POSSIBLE BY FRIDAY MORNING...WITH A FEW AREAS ACROSS
THE TRI-CITIES METRO SEEING CLOSER TO ONE INCH. THESE SNOW
ACCUMULATIONS WILL MAINLY OCCUR ON GRASSY SURFACES...BUT A LIGHT
COATING OF SNOW IS POSSIBLE ON A FEW ROADS LATER TONIGHT AS SURFACE
TEMPERATURES DIP BELOW FREEZING.

ADDITIONALLY...THE THREAT FOR BLACK ICE WILL EXIST LATE TONIGHT
INTO THE FRIDAY MORNING COMMUTE AS WET ROAD SURFACES FREEZE. USE
EXTRA CAUTION WHILE TRAVELING LATE TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING IN
THESE AREAS...AND ALLOW EXTRA TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION!

 

[Vol knight]

Just had a round of graupel and sleet move through near downtown Knoxville.

 

[Orange_Vol1321]

Noticed the interstates were brined but didnt see any other roads done, so the secondary or side roads could be slick or black ice in places tomorrow morning.

 

[rocktopper16]

Need to keep an eye or ear out for March 4th.

 

[Orange_Vol1321]

Need to keep an eye or ear out for March 4th.

Thats a very favorable track of the LP if it holds.

 

[governmentmule]

Need to keep an eye or ear out for March 4th.

why ? will i need to buy a bunch of sun Blocker ?

I hope,I hope,I hope


but it probably isn't

 

[rocktopper16]

Thats a very favorable track of the LP if it holds.

Hopefully VK will be around tonight to post the Euro. I'm mainly concerned with it being a ice than snow event..

 

[Coug]

The highs up until March 7th look to be pretty mild, 50's and 60's.

 

[Vol knight]

Sorry, RT. I've been a little busy myself. As far as the Euro last night, it's a little colder, but we need the low to go more South. It goes into Tennessee, which will give us all rain.

 

[rocktopper16]

Sorry, RT. I've been a little busy myself. As far as the Euro last night, it's a little colder, but we need the low to go more South. It goes into Tennessee, which will give us all rain.

It's all good VK!
I saw that the EURO slid south with its latest run

 

[rocktopper16]

The highs up until March 7th look to be pretty mild, 50's and 60's.

Not complaining one bit. Finally can wash the cars

 

[Orange_Vol1321]

Sorry, RT. I've been a little busy myself. As far as the Euro last night, it's a little colder, but we need the low to go more South. It goes into Tennessee, which will give us all rain.

The GFS is showing rain changing to snow on the back of the moisture.

 

[508mikey]

Just a question for you guys -- are there ever tornados in Knoxville ?

 

[Vol knight]

Just a question for you guys -- are there ever tornados in Knoxville ?

Only in very strong systems. They're uncommon here. The last Tornado to hit Knox County was in 2011.

 

[Vol knight]

It's all good VK!
I saw that the EURO slid south with its latest run

In the 12z runs, the Euro, EPS, and JMA are showing Miller A, GFS is showing nothing (weakens as it gets here), and CMC shows a Miller B.

 

[508mikey]

Only in very strong systems. They're uncommon here. The last Tornado to hit Knox County was in 2011.

ok thanks for the info -- is it because of the mountains ?

 

[Vol knight]

ok thanks for the info -- is it because of the mountains ?

That's part of it. A big factor is the direction in which the storms come from. When they come from Alabama, UGA, and the Southern Plateau (Bledsoe and Rhea counties), we have a decent chance to see tornadoes if the system is strong enough. If it comes from Kentucky or the Northern Plateau (Fentress and Cumberland counties), it typically weakens either before or as it hits the valley.

 

[Vol knight]

~Severe Weather Alert~

Everyone in East Tennessee (except Bristol, who's in the marginal risk) is in the Slight risk area for Strong to Severe Thunderstorms on Tuesday. Primary risks include Damaging Winds in excess of 60 mph and localized flooding. A couple isolated tornadoes can't be ruled out.

 

[Coug]

~Severe Weather Alert~

Everyone in East Tennessee (except Bristol, who's in the marginal risk) is in the Slight risk area for Strong to Severe Thunderstorms on Tuesday. Primary risks include Damaging Winds in excess of 60 mph and localized flooding. A couple isolated tornadoes can't be ruled out.

Where is this from VK, I haven't seen anything official pop up yet?

 

[Vol knight]

Where is this from VK, I haven't seen anything official pop up yet?

 

[Coug]

Any indications as of now for it being upgraded to an enhanced level?