East Tennessee Weather

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#10,026
#10,026
Orange_Vol1321 said:
18z GFS with not a bit of moisture reaching Tennessee.
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I'm not too worried about it, because for one, the other models don't agree with the GFS. The other thing is that this system isn't on land yet. These models runs today and the past several days need to be taken with a huge grain of salt.
 
#10,027
#10,027
Vol knight said:
I'm not too worried about it, because for one, the other models don't agree with the GFS. The other thing is that this system isn't on land yet. These models runs today and the past several days need to be taken with a huge grain of salt.
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I agree the land based stations will help out alot once onshore.
 
#10,029
#10,029
GFS 00z some of the plateau and northern counties might see a little snow Thursday night into Friday morning...light probably dusting to 1/2 inch
gfs_asnow_us_11.png
 
#10,030
#10,030
0z GFS was still too far south, however, it did slow down a little and slightly shifted north (about 25 miles north of the 18z run).
 
#10,031
#10,031
Winter Storm Helena...TWC is calling for area of ice before it turns to snow below Tennessee ..bad news for me I have to head down to Alabama on Saturday..right now it looks like we will just be cold and dry on Saturday in ET...further east and south will be better chance of snow. Could still change though.

gfs_asnow_us_21.png
 
#10,032
#10,032
Wvlt David Aldrich just said 2 to 4 inches here with 5+ in the mountains.

2+ in Knoxville with the 4in up towards Morristown and Kingsport.
 
#10,034
#10,034
VolnJC said:
Wow that would be awesome..not seeing that anywhere else though
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That's because David is essentially dismissing the GFS. On his Facebook live video, he explained that due to the very wild swings of the GFS runs lately (going from a foot of snow to flurries to a half inch in a 2 day span), he's not liking the model for this system. He's leaning towards a blend of the Euro and Canadian.
 
#10,041
#10,041
Something not to overlook is the Thursday night wave of snow. The GFS and Euro are both showing it and have been for a few days. Could make for interesting travel Friday morning.
 
#10,042
#10,042
Orange_Vol1321 said:
Something not to overlook is the Thursday night wave of snow. The GFS and Euro are both showing it and have been for a few days. Could make for interesting travel Friday morning.
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I'm monitoring it. I'm at work. I think it will be a light snow fall. Maybe VK can play with the Ratios. I don't know how heavy it will be coming down as I have been following Saturday's storm.
 
#10,050
#10,050
Orange_Vol1321 said:
.
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Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Morristown TN
432 AM EST Wed Jan 4 2017

NCZ060-061-TNZ012>018-035>047-067>074-081>087-098>102-VAZ001-002-
005-006-008-041745-
Cherokee-Clay-Scott TN-Campbell-Claiborne-Hancock-Hawkins-
Sullivan-Johnson-Morgan-Anderson-Union-Grainger-Hamblen-
Northwest Cocke-Cocke Smoky Mountains-Northwest Greene-
Southeast Greene-Washington TN-Unicoi-Northwest Carter-
Southeast Carter-Roane-Loudon-Knox-Jefferson-NW Blount-
Blount Smoky Mountains-North Sevier-Sevier Smoky Mountains-
Sequatchie-Bledsoe-Rhea-Meigs-McMinn-Northwest Monroe-
Southeast Monroe-Marion-Hamilton-Bradley-West Polk-East Polk-Lee-
Wise-Scott-Russell-Washington-
Including the cities of...Murphy...Hayesville...Oneida...
La Follette...Tazewell...Sneedville...Rogersville...Kingsport...
Bristol...Mountain City...Wartburg...Clinton...Oak Ridge...
Maynardville...Rutledge...Morristown...Newport...Cosby...
Greeneville...Cedar Creek...Johnson City...Erwin...Elizabethton...
Roan Mountain...Kingston...Lenoir City...Knoxville...Dandridge...
Maryville...Cades Cove...Sevierville...Gatlinburg...Dunlap...
Pikeville...Dayton...Decatur...Athens...Madisonville...
Coker Creek...Jasper...Chattanooga...Cleveland...Benton...
Ducktown...Jonesville...Wise...Norton...Gate City...Lebanon...
Abingdon
432 AM EST Wed Jan 4 2017 /332 AM CST Wed Jan 4 2017/

...Winter Weather Expected Across The Area Thursday Evening
Through Friday...

An arctic airmass will move into the area Thursday evening ushering
in some accumulating snow and much colder temperatures.

Starting Thursday evening and ending Friday night, areas of
southwest Virginia and higher elevations of northeast Tennessee
could expect to see snowfall accumulations of 1 to 3 inches.
Elsewhere across the area north of I-40 totals of 1-2 inches are
possible while southeast Tennessee and southwest North Carolina
will likely see only a dusting to 1 inch of snow.

Greatest impacts to travel will be in southwest Virginia and
northeast Tennessee where temperatures will barely climb to
freezing on Friday. This may lead to some slick spots and travel
hazards particularly on secondary and untreated roads, bridges and
overpasses. Throughout the area, please use caution when traveling
Thursday night and Friday. Slow down and allow yourself extra time
to reach your destination.
 
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