ESPN Bubble Watch


The stars have to properly align and UT has to take care of its business to even be in the conversation. If the team can do that then they will be right in the middle of it all. Today was a thoroughly earned road victory. A great step. They still need to take out UF and Missouri, probably both, and not stumble along the way though. I am very close to believing that they can do it.
 
The stars have to properly align and UT has to take care of its business to even be in the conversation. If the team can do that then they will be right in the middle of it all. Today was a thoroughly earned road victory. A great step. They still need to take out UF and Missouri, probably both, and not stumble along the way though. I am very close to believing that they can do it.
40 years of watching the Vols, I think today was the grittiest performance I've ever watched.
Had my doubts also because of the road problems we've had, but after today, nothing's impossible.
 
The stars have to properly align and UT has to take care of its business to even be in the conversation. If the team can do that then they will be right in the middle of it all. Today was a thoroughly earned road victory. A great step. They still need to take out UF and Missouri, probably both, and not stumble along the way though. I am very close to believing that they can do it.

Tennessee doesn't have to win all 4, but winning all 4 would definitely be the proffered way.
 
Should we be pulling for UK tonight?

Little late to this, but I would think UK winning affects our RPI and SOS more positively than had Mizzou won, because we played UK twice this year. I could be wrong.

The flipside to that is we are competing with UK for a tourney spot.

Of all the years for UK to be average. Any other year they'd have locked up a spot by now. Noel's injury and their unspectacular play has only muddied the waters for Tennessee. If UK is even close to having a good enough resume, I feel like their blue-blood name will get them in, and perhaps over more deserving teams, so in that sense, I can understand cheering against them the rest of the way.
 
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UT needs to finish strong AND have a good SEC tourn to have a legit shot, imo. However they finish, this team has impressed me with their work ethic and determination. With the injuries they have, they could have folded a few weeks ago and looked like they might. Nice effort guys, and good luck the rest of the way! :good!:
 
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They just "gotta" go 3-1. An L to Florida or Mizzou won't kill them. Will make it more difficult, of course, but they won't be out if they do.

That still likely puts them behind Bama and Ole Miss in the SEC standings, and likely with a lower RPI than at least Ole Miss if not both.

Looking at the resumes for these teams, Tennessee doesn't really have any standout wins that the committee can look to in order to include them over Missy and Bama when those teams have better conference records. Gotta get the win over Florida.
 
That still likely puts them behind Bama and Ole Miss in the SEC standings, and likely with a lower RPI than at least Ole Miss if not both.

Looking at the resumes for these teams, Tennessee doesn't really have any standout wins that the committee can look to in order to include them over Missy and Bama when those teams have better conference records. Gotta get the win over Florida.

No stand out wins? Really? Kentucky is now 2-1 without Noel, will likely get to 20+ wins, and that one loss was by 30. That's significant enough. They'll beat Miss. State and UGA, Arkansas is a toss up, and Florida is now a toss up with their injuries. So, they could potentially (and not outrageously) finish 23-8. That'd probably be a top 40 RPI.
 
No stand out wins? Really? Kentucky is now 2-1 without Noel, will likely get to 20+ wins, and that one loss was by 30. That's significant enough. They'll beat Miss. State and UGA, Arkansas is a toss up, and Florida is now a toss up with their injuries. So, they could potentially (and not outrageously) finish 23-8. That'd probably be a top 40 RPI.

Well, again, Kentucky is barely on the lip of the last 4 in, with a better conference record than UT.

But you're right in that it appears that UT, Kentucky, Bama, Ole Miss and (to a lesser extent) Arkansas are all competing for the 3rd and 4th SEC slots.
 
That still likely puts them behind Bama and Ole Miss in the SEC standings, and likely with a lower RPI than at least Ole Miss if not both.

Looking at the resumes for these teams, Tennessee doesn't really have any standout wins that the committee can look to in order to include them over Missy and Bama when those teams have better conference records. Gotta get the win over Florida.
A point was made in another thread that if we finish in the top 50 rpi we're helping to build Ole Miss' resume, who at present only has one rpi 1-50 win.
That would give them 3.
We need to win both games to have 4.
all other RPI and SOS factors favor TN.
The win/loss would mean nothing.
 
Well, again, Kentucky is barely on the lip of the last 4 in, with a better conference record than UT.

But you're right in that it appears that UT, Kentucky, Bama, Ole Miss and (to a lesser extent) Arkansas are all competing for the 3rd and 4th SEC slots.

Who says that is all the SEC is going to get in? There is no guarantee that only 3 or 4 teams will be in. That's the point. If the Vols win 3 of 4, win a game (or two, or more) in the SECT, things will be interesting.
 
Who says that is all the SEC is going to get in? There is no guarantee that only 3 or 4 teams will be in. That's the point. If the Vols win 3 of 4, win a game (or two, or more) in the SECT, things will be interesting.

The SEC isn't getting more than 4 teams into the dance, and they may only get 3 in.

Florida has a spot sewn up. Mizzou is all but in.

Now Ole Miss, Kentucky, UT, Bama and maybe Arkansas are fighting over the remaining 1-2 spots.
 
A point was made in another thread that if we finish in the top 50 rpi we're helping to build Ole Miss' resume, who at present only has one rpi 1-50 win.
That would give them 3.
We need to win both games to have 4.
all other RPI and SOS factors favor TN.
The win/loss would mean nothing.

If I understand you correctly, I think I agree. Tennessee has the inside track on Bama currently, but not Ole Miss, even after the USC disaster.
 
If Tennessee drops the game to Florida, they need help getting in. I see no other way around that. Were just now beign considered by some for the tournament so if you can't win the biggest games left in the season, I wouldn't even be mad if we ended up on the wrong side of the bubble.
 

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