ESPN thinks we go 4-8 next year

Louisville bumped up Strong's yearly salary to 3.7 million base. Butch Jones' base salary is about 3.2 million, so you're wrong there.

Plenty of quality coaches were available. Malzahn was available. Auburn got him for far less than we paid Butch Jones.

Butch's salary is $2.95 mil per year iirc. Auburn hired Malzahn at $2.3 mil so you're right there. I could live quite comfortably on the difference.


But Malzahn had only been a HC at Arky State for 1 year where Butch had a nice track record of winning over a 6 year period at 2 different schools in conferences stronger than the SunBelt. The pay was commensurate to their resume/experience and appropriate IMO.
 
Strong was a risk too but I was more excited about him than Jones.

Malzahn's resume was not as good as Jones'. He is a good coach but he also inherited a pretty talented team.

Disagree about Malzahn's resume v. Jones. I think it's a toss up. Malzahn won everywhere he went. Less head coaching experience, obviously, but won at a much higher level as a coordinator and won in a greater variety of different situations and circumstances (i.e. didn't just take over winning programs and didn't post any losing seasons) that it's a wash in my opinion.

Back during the coaching search, when everyone was talking up the likes of Gruden or retreads like Tuberville or Petrino, I said I thought the best course of action would be to interview Butch Jones, Sonny Dykes, and Gus Malzahn and really dig deep and see who was the most qualified. They all had similar resumes and track records of success. But that didn't mean they would all have the same potential or would work out as well as first time head coaches at this level. The biggest part of the coaching search and the AD's real job, in my mind, was to figure out which guy would translate best. And I don't believe that Hart did that.
 
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Don't forget... OU wasn't exactly stellar last year. Were they good? Of course, look how their season ENDED. Look at the season as A WHOLE and you won't be so impressed. I promise. I'm not saying we win, but the fact that they beat Bama has put this mentality of "oh it's gonna be a blowout" in some peoples' minds. We might be more competitive there than people think if our offense, defense, or both are prepared.

I hope so...I bought tickets! :)
 
Don't forget... OU wasn't exactly stellar last year. Were they good? Of course, look how their season ENDED. Look at the season as A WHOLE and you won't be so impressed. I promise. I'm not saying we win, but the fact that they beat Bama has put this mentality of "oh it's gonna be a blowout" in some peoples' minds. We might be more competitive there than people think if our offense, defense, or both are prepared.

Bartender, I'll have what he's having!:eek:lol:
 
How much worse could things have gotten if Fulmer or Dooley had been kept another year? Go back and take a look at the class Fulmer was "building" the fall he was fired. Even the ones Kiffin didn't cut loose didn't make much of a contribution. Another year with Dooley, your scouting the intramural fields for help.

All of this is false regarding Fulmer.

He had a top-10 recruiting class with two Heisman finalist QBs on it. Both of whom had much greater college careers than Bray, arguably with less receiving talent.

SECE has been at its nadir since Tebow graduated. We would have won the East at least once probably twice. Not suffered through the worst stretch of TN football ever. It's just ridiculous to bang on about it. Nick Reveiz and the Sullin twins >> the entire Kiffin lost recruiting class. THAT really says something. It also says something about the Bamboo Farmer and the situation that we got progressively worse the fewer and fewer Fulmer players were on the team.

If it was time for someone better than Fulmer, well, we knew where Gruden was in 2008 too.
 
Malzahn did a great job with the INCREDIBLY TALENTED team he inherited last year. I remember before the season thinking the Auburn game was a toss up.....and then I saw them play LSU and almost immediately knew it was a damn near certain loss.

Danny Sheridan said before last season that Auburn was under rated and would six or seven games, but if Nick Marshall was as good as advertised, look out.

The same Sheridan is on record saying Tennessee needs a number of coaches in the SEC to leave in order for us to become competitive again. I don't agree, but when you consider that Carolina is having their best run ever, LSU is arguably having their best run, UGA is at least stable, Auburn just played for a national title, and Bama is having an incredible run, I can see why it was said. This is perhaps the most difficult rebuild ever on the hill.
 
All of this is false regarding Fulmer.

He had a top-10 recruiting class with two Heisman finalist QBs on it. Both of whom had much greater college careers than Bray, arguably with less receiving talent.

SECE has been at its nadir since Tebow graduated. We would have won the East at least once probably twice. Not suffered through the worst stretch of TN football ever. It's just ridiculous to bang on about it. Nick Reveiz and the Sullin twins >> the entire Kiffin lost recruiting class. THAT really says something. It also says something about the Bamboo Farmer and the situation that we got progressively worse the fewer and fewer Fulmer players were on the team.

If it was time for someone better than Fulmer, well, we knew where Gruden was in 2008 too.

well said.....the problem with Fulmer was he tried to do too much himself and didnt hold assistants accountable. It was probably always that way, even when he was winning. The problem with Dooley was he did nothing except complain about his dry cleaning and builder grade door knobs. He wanted to be home with fam at 5:00.
 
5-7 or 6-6 are more likely, but I never give up hope. If Butch can continue to recruit like he did for 2014, 2015 should be the Vols first winning season in quite some time and only get better from there.
 
Don't forget... OU wasn't exactly stellar last year. Were they good? Of course, look how their season ENDED. Look at the season as A WHOLE and you won't be so impressed. I promise. I'm not saying we win, but the fact that they beat Bama has put this mentality of "oh it's gonna be a blowout" in some peoples' minds. We might be more competitive there than people think if our offense, defense, or both are prepared.

We are going to get rolled in Norman.
 
All of this is false regarding Fulmer.

He had a top-10 recruiting class with two Heisman finalist QBs on it. Both of whom had much greater college careers than Bray, arguably with less receiving talent.

SECE has been at its nadir since Tebow graduated. We would have won the East at least once probably twice. Not suffered through the worst stretch of TN football ever. It's just ridiculous to bang on about it. Nick Reveiz and the Sullin twins >> the entire Kiffin lost recruiting class. THAT really says something. It also says something about the Bamboo Farmer and the situation that we got progressively worse the fewer and fewer Fulmer players were on the team.

If it was time for someone better than Fulmer, well, we knew where Gruden was in 2008 too.

Fulmer was a better coach and recruiter than Kiffin and Dooley COMBINED.

But eventually every coach wears out their welcome, even the great ones like Paterno and Bowden.

As per usual, the problem wasnt that Fulmer needed to go, but rather how the exit was executed.

the jack@ss Mike Hamilton bungled it, just like he bungled the Kiffin hire and the Bruce Pearl hire. Going for "loud and boisterous sabre rattlers" rather than getting someone who shut up and won football games.

The transition from bobby Bowden to Jimbo Fisher is the way it should be done. Not that this is easily reproduced, but at least it could have been more stable.
 
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All of this is false regarding Fulmer.

He had a top-10 recruiting class with two Heisman finalist QBs on it. Both of whom had much greater college careers than Bray, arguably with less receiving talent.
Really? Who were his Heisman QB finalists in the last 4 years?

SECE has been at its nadir since Tebow graduated. We would have won the East at least once probably twice.
Not a chance. Talent was falling off. Even when Fulmer signed highly talented players, he couldn't keep them out of trouble or on the roster.

Not suffered through the worst stretch of TN football ever. It's just ridiculous to bang on about it. Nick Reveiz and the Sullin twins >> the entire Kiffin lost recruiting class.
I despise Kiffin but you can't lay the 2009 class entirely on him. MOST of the recruiting time for that class was under FULMER. Kiffin's class that he started and Dooley finished was not that bad. Fulmer had a lower ranked class in 06, a busted class in 07, his lowest ranked class in 08, and what would have still been a busted class in 09 even without the change. Those walk ons played because Fulmer's last several classes neither performed to rankings NOR met the needs of the roster.

Fulmer had some great years. His last 4 are the DIRECT cause of what UT has experienced since and WOULD NOT have been any better had he stayed.

If it was time for someone better than Fulmer, well, we knew where Gruden was in 2008 too.
A change was necessary. Any time that becomes necessary... there is a risk if not likelihood of having to go through a few coaches before finding another good one.

Bama did it. LSU. UGA. UF. Texas. USC. ND. Michigan. OSU.
 
Bartender, I'll have what he's having!:eek:lol:

Only beat WVU 9
Only beat TCU by 3
Lost to Texas by 16
Lost to Baylor by 29

Oh and let's not forget gave up 19 points to a 3-9 Kansas team who tied themselves for most points that season against OU and WVU.

I already stated I don't think we'll win. But the point is, if a 3-9 Kansas team can keep it within two scores, or a 4-8 TCU team keep it within a field goal, don't you think an improved 5-7 Tennessee team can at least keep it competitive? Say what you will about the Bama game but that is a bit of a myopic view to only look at one game of theirs regardless of who it was or the outcome.
 
Only beat WVU 9
Only beat TCU by 3
Lost to Texas by 16
Lost to Baylor by 29

Oh and let's not forget gave up 19 points to a 3-9 Kansas team who tied themselves for most points that season against OU and WVU.

I already stated I don't think we'll win. But the point is, if a 3-9 Kansas team can keep it within two scores, or a 4-8 TCU team keep it within a field goal, don't you think an improved 5-7 Tennessee team can at least keep it competitive? Say what you will about the Bama game but that is a bit of a myopic view to only look at one game of theirs regardless of who it was or the outcome.

I think most who think we're gonna get throttled at OU are still licking their wounds from the severe beatings we took last year. If you want to use the transitive property like you've done with OUs sub .500 opponents last year (which are legitimate to reference), we can do the same thing with UT and OUs most recent common opponent. OU manhandled Bama last season, just a few weeks after Bama embarrassed us by 5 tds after taking their foot off the gas the entire second half. I know that's the evidence that has me really doubting we can hang with Oklahoma this year.
 
Only beat WVU 9
Only beat TCU by 3
Lost to Texas by 16
Lost to Baylor by 29

Oh and let's not forget gave up 19 points to a 3-9 Kansas team who tied themselves for most points that season against OU and WVU.

I already stated I don't think we'll win. But the point is, if a 3-9 Kansas team can keep it within two scores, or a 4-8 TCU team keep it within a field goal, don't you think an improved 5-7 Tennessee team can at least keep it competitive? Say what you will about the Bama game but that is a bit of a myopic view to only look at one game of theirs regardless of who it was or the outcome.

All I saw was an improved Oklahoma team at the end of the season. They dont lose in Norman. I think it gets ugly early because Bob Stoops has a mad on for the SEC and he will take no prisoners. Our pups and Dooleys can't compete with these guys. They hang 50 on us....
 
I think most who think we're gonna get throttled at OU are still licking their wounds from the severe beatings we took last year. If you want to use the transitive property like you've done with OUs sub .500 opponents last year (which are legitimate to reference), we can do the same thing with UT and OUs most recent common opponent. OU manhandled Bama last season, just a few weeks after Bama embarrassed us by 5 tds after taking their foot off the gas the entire second half. I know that's the evidence that has me really doubting we can hang with Oklahoma this year.

Valid point, but I guess I'll summarize by saying, there's well prepared, expecting a rough game, refined, "It's Alabama we're playing" OU, and "meh it's just Kansas/TCU/whoever" OU it seems. Which one shows up determines the level of competitiveness.
 
Valid point, but I guess I'll summarize by saying, there's well prepared, expecting a rough game, refined, "It's Alabama we're playing" OU, and "meh it's just Kansas/TCU/whoever" OU it seems. Which one shows up determines the level of competitiveness.

yes.....we were one of two teams that beat South Carolina. I don't think we got their best shot. I'm hoping Bama doesnt bring their A game to Knoxville.:lolabove:
 
I liked last year's class too and especially when you consider the absolute WORST thing Dooley did to Jones. He quit sometime mid-season in '12. IMHO, if they had not fired Dooley, he would have walked away. Sometimes you get in a situation that you cannot possibly climb out of. That's where he was.

But you still want to leave with some sort of dignity. I think he quit recruiting completely and left Jones with pretty much nothing to build on.

IMHO, Dooley wanted to be fired well before he was. He had every characteristic after losing DR and seeing the D go so badly so soon of a man broken emotionally by a challenge. He had certainly quit recruiting by the mid-point of the '12 season which would seem to indicate he had no intentions of being back.

I've seen it in business. On a lesser scale, I experienced it as a younger man. Sometimes it goes that way even for people who are capable and talented. Sometimes you just get too deep to ever hope to "fix" it.

We agree on quite a bit, and the reason being imo is that we have similar professional backgrounds. I totally agree with ur last paragraph above, and I've seen it too. It's sad. A close friend of mine lost his family when he ventured into doing his own thing, and it collapsed around him. Literally lost his mind. The guy has his MAC from a top private school, and Excel spreadsheets are literally his porn. I actually wrote a post a few yrs back on a thread about how I felt this was happening to Dooley. It was after I saw a postgame interview of his. I was told I was an idiot of course....like always. This is why I think calling Dooley incompetent is ridiculous. Saying that he is the worse in CFB history as if he took over a program at the top of its game is just crazy. He kept the W/Ls in the same range as where UT was for yrs. I'm a believer that some times taking 2 steps back to making a long strides forward is just what's needed at the level of rebuild Dooley took on. With that I do believe that Dooley would have been able to pull off 7-8 wins last year with the players he had. If CBJ were to lose 8 games, which like it or not is as much of a possibility of him winning 7-8 games, then he would take it into a realm that not even Dooley did. Yet people on here are saying that that would be ok with that while still calling Dooley incompetent. Smh.

With that said...some issues I have with what u r saying makes me want to ask u...wouldn't u have "quit" recruiting half season?? The fanbase wanted him fired, the Gruden talk had made national news, he had a player like Bray countering him like the bratty bosses kid, and his boss (who didn't hire him and I'm sure has his own agenda) never came out in support of him. Heck Haden at USC squashed the fire Kiffen talk ASAP, and it wasn't a secret he didnt care for the guy. Would u really expect Dooley to go into homes, and sit across a kid and his parents telling him to come play for him knowing he was gone?? Stressed out as heck about that weeks game too. I think it's unfair to say he had plenty of time, and he was the worse coach ever. U r in the rebuilding field in a sense if iirc from a post a long time ago...do u really think 2.5 yrs is enough time? Especially in such a highly regulated industry like CFB?? For goodness sake the guy went into BR in his first year, and took LSU to the wire. Even after Jefferson took the first play of the game 80+yds for a TD. He even took over the D for the Mizzou game, and held them to 21 up to the last min of the game. IMO the O not sealing it up with at least a FG with plenty of opportunity in the 4th was more to blame than bashing the D. At the end of the day I think the guy could be a good coach if he were to take over a program that doesn't have "rebuild" all over it or if it does a fanbase with lower expectations like USCe had at the time Spurrior came in. (yeah that guy couldn't grasp that concept at all so funny when u just gave up.) People like to bash him on his losing record as a HC, but both of his gigs were short lived and both big rebuilds. Not gigs like what Meyer or Sumlin tend to walk into as examples.

I've been reading this thread for the last 4 days or so, and finally just finished it. And I agree with u that we should win 6-8 games next year including a bowl game. I really found it interesting that throughout this thread one could just change Jones for Dooley and Dooley for Kiffen(mixed in with Fulmer from time to time), and we could be back in the '11 offseason. I find it to be hypocritical, and major memory loss by many jilted lovers. The same people that will go crazy if after this year CBJ wins 4-5 games, and if they lose to KY or something. They build themselves up so high that if there's a stumble the fall is so hard. That's why I believe we r in no way like LSU or Bama where we should look at the schedule as a season whole, but game by game as they come up. Who knows what's going to happen come Mizzou...half our team could be hurt or vice versa. I want to see close well fought games. Not surprising that only one person in this long thread stated that, and compared it to the '12 season. Cause that's what was wanted, and we got that.

Another thing I found interesting is how people like to say how bad Dooley's players are, but can't accept the possibility that CBJ couldn't use the players he had. They straight up bash them with hatred. These kids have worked hard for yrs (yes even under Dooley), and they get straight up hatred. But they'll be proud of them being Vols when they r doing well in the NFL that's for sure. Yet a multi-millionare HC gets his nads massaged by the same folks. The thing so many hung their hat on was him being able to get the best out of the players he'll get when he got hired. He was handed one of the best OLs in the country as a whole, and they are the awful ones. Has nothing to do with scheme change or they can't swallow the fact that our coaches weren't able to get the best out of them. I see some blaming Dooley and the players, but not scheme change or the current coaches. Blaming/bashing the players for being slow, but can't grasp the possibility that they weren't confident in the new scheme and hesitation slowed them down. Frankly imo if they do blame CBJ and Co and/or scheme change they'll notice the 3 fingers pointed back at them for wanting a new coach therefore a new scheme change.

Other thing I've noticed u do a lot is blaming Dooley for hiring Sunseri. Was it proven that that hire was totally on him or was it pushed on him?? The switch to the 3-4 was his demise, but if he hadn't signed DMc he may not have done it. Hindsight of course. My issue is that so many people act like jilted lover as if Dooley purposely made the move to hurt the program. Or act as if it was a stupid move and that there was a huge backlash about making the change when announced. It may have not been a stupid move if it was given time, and people knew it could have issues at first. But we'll never know.

I said it a while back, and oddly enough oregonvol (we've hashed it out a lot) believes the same thing, but if we end up needing to get another coach down the road Hart will need to go too. They would have to go at the same time imo. We can't have a new AD come in, and wanting to make his mark with his coach. Why I believe Hart allowed Dooley to burn to the ground, and why I'm not a big fan of Hart's. I will always believe theat the Gruden Fiasco cost the Vols 1-2 games in '12. That's what I care about. If he would have come out in support and eased Dooley in '12 he would have went bowling imo, and that wouldn't have fit Hart's agenda imo. An agenda that I believe has his benefit above UTs. I have a gut feeling that UTs progress is a means for his. Which is most important to him. At the end of the day imo I think CBJ gets that extra 4th year cause Hart hired him, and even if he doesn't deserve it he'll give it to him. I'm sure their will be reasons like no money for the payout, etc. CBJ needs to show progress w/o fail, and at this pt 5 wins isn't that. IMHO Dooley walked into a way different and more difficult situation than CBJ. CBJs situation isn't a cake walk by any means, but not as bad. I won't be happy with 5 wins only, but can swallow it with close games. Same I said with Dooley going into '12, and I believe he met that. It won't make me feel comfortable if we get 5 wins, cause I agree it will hurt recruiting. He had the luxury of being able to sign 35, and a boat load of legacies this past year. That's a CFB HCs wet dream, and an anomaly more than the norm. The 35 signing allows for so much more leeway when juggling recruits than having to stay in the low 20s. Something Dooley had to do. I don't think he took early commitments cause of the need to not have to take one away in case it was needed. Has the combo of being able to sign 35 and the high # of talented legacies ever happen for any team?? I can't remember ever seeing it.

6-8 games is a must for CBJ to survive imo. Not for me to think he's a good coach or not, but for him to build confidence in all involved....players, fans, recruits, and :fingerscrossed: Hart too. I want what's best for UT, and that's it.

PS: I'm sure i'll get stupid responses. Frankly don't waste ur time cause don't have time for it. I'm asking sjt cause frankly he is one of few who's opinion on some of this doesn't sound like a jilted lover who frankly tells there side only to their new lover. If anyone wants to respond, and want to have good discussion let's do it. But if u think I'm a fool, and come at me as such save it. Just don't waste ur time. Thx.
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Fulmer was a better coach and recruiter than Kiffin and Dooley COMBINED.

But eventually every coach wears out their welcome, even the great ones like Paterno and Bowden.

As per usual, the problem wasnt that Fulmer needed to go, but rather how the exit was executed.

the jack@ss Mike Hamilton bungled it, just like he bungled the Kiffin hire and the Bruce Pearl hire. Going for "loud and boisterous sabre rattlers" rather than getting someone who shut up and won football games.

The transition from bobby Bowden to Jimbo Fisher is the way it should be done. Not that this is easily reproduced, but at least it could have been more stable.

Totally agree with all of this. Hamilton screwed us hardcore.
 
WOW!!! That was long ha!! Days of notes sure do build up. Ha!!
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We have A Johnson, Maggit, Vereen with experience - add to that some jucos and few talented freshman coming in that step up and surprise, and d-line will be better than last year. As a matter of fact, how can defense possibly be any worse? I mean last year was almost as bad as during Sal. I think defense can only go up from last 2 years. On the offensive side, yes o-line is all gone but all the skill positions will be improved - QB's more experience, WR's as talented as we ever had, couple of very promising new TE's, Hurd, etc. I think we will as a team be better than last year - even if we go 5-7 the losses should not be blowouts - hopefully more like during Dooley's last year (5-7) where we were at least close in most of the games we lost.

It's always nice to see someone saw the '12 season with orange colored glasses, and not with a boner for Gruden. Going into '12 people wanted closer hard fought games into the 4th, and many were all the way up to Mizzou.

I think that in a way hurt Dooley cause we had some many heart breakers. Instead of seeing it as a positive they got mad at him for letting them down. Sad but it's ihmo...
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Of course, the example is popular here because it's a complete anomaly in this day and time. If you look around at coaches who are succeeding brilliantly at their universities in this day and age, pretty much every one of them had huge winning seasons in their first couple of years at their schools. Malzahn, Saban, Meyer, Franklin, Fisher, Sumlin, Kelly, etc..the list goes on and on.

So the excuse crew here likes to ignore all of them in favor of the example of Spurrier, simply because Spurrier had alot of mediocre years at South Carolina before having some better years. Spurrier was often cited during the Dooley years and now he has been repurposed for the Butch Jones era.

After spending a few days reading through this thread I all I can think of was how the excuses from yrs ago were being repurposed for CBJ.

CBJ know it's a tough schedule. We've had the some of toughest schedule in the country for yrs. Before CBJ. Heck we played both BCS title teams in the same yr back to back plus a Petrino lead Ark team. We beat CBJs Cincy team but all people remember is losing to KY. The week after we had a barner after vs Vandy.

Anyway to the coaches part. I think that so many coaches having quick success gave the "why not us" view. The whole situations they walked into wasn't compared. Sumlin is a big example of this as it was so big in the first year in the SEC and everything. Sumlin is now poised to either show he's a good coach or not. He has been handed top QBs in both his HC stops. My personal opinion is that he won't end up being as great as so many think. People who said we should have gotten him at UT would start to realize that he wouldn't have done any better. I said it yrs ago and used the Brady Hoke effect at UM, and see what's been going on up there. One of my biggest arguments during '12 season dumpster fire was that I'd rather see things get fixed with less wins than giving a false hope with miracle seasons. Like the Spurrior at USCe situation. One thing that is left out is that he followed a guy like Holtz there, so the situation was way better than after Fulmer/Kiffen. Unfortunately not many think the same way as I do. As they want to see the big results quick instead of being patient. The situation at Auburn is a bit different cause it's like malzhan nvr left.
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