OrangeSquare
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(OrangeSquare @ Jul 4 said:I am for extending to nine next season, because I think we should continue to judge these programs since the BCS began, until there is another option. (College Playoff, we can only hope.)
Virginia Tech hasn't won a championship, and they have benifitted from being in a conference that was weaker until more recently, but in 99 they played in the title game and went 22-2 over two seasons. They have 13 straight Bowls. They are as elite as Georgia I would argue.
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Rank Team name Win-Pct Won Lost Tied Games
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1 Miami-Florida 0.86486 64 10 0 74
2 Oklahoma 0.86076 68 11 0 79
3 Texas 0.85526 65 11 0 76
4 Boise State 0.82895 63 13 0 76
5 Georgia 0.77922 60 17 0 77
6 Southern Cal 0.77632 59 17 0 76
7 Ohio State 0.77333 58 17 0 75
8 Louisiana State 0.76623 59 18 0 77
9 Virginia Tech 0.75325 58 19 0 77
10 Louisville 0.74667 56 19 0 75
11 Toledo 0.74324 55 19 0 74
12 Texas Christian 0.73611 53 19 0 72
13 Auburn 0.72368 55 21 0 76
14 Michigan 0.71622 53 21 0 74
15 Florida State 0.71429 55 22 0 77
16 Oregon 0.69863 51 22 0 73
17t Florida 0.69333 52 23 0 75
17t Tennessee 0.69333 52 23 0 75
19 Nebraska 0.68000 51 24 0 75
20 Boston College 0.67568 50 24 0 74
21 Fresno State 0.67089 53 26 0 79
22 Miami-Ohio 0.65753 48 25 0 73
23t Northern Illinois 0.65714 46 24 0 70
23t Utah 0.65714 46 24 0 70
25t Iowa 0.64865 48 26 0 74
25t Marshall 0.64865 48 26 0 74
27 Maryland 0.63889 46 26 0 72
28 Bowling Green 0.63380 45 26 0 71
29t Kansas State 0.63158 48 28 0 76
29t Texas Tech 0.63158 48 28 0 76
(VolinArizona @ Jul 4 said:This is probably more accurate of how schools are viewed right now. 2000-2005
Code:---- ----------------------- ------- ---- ---- ---- ----- Rank Team name Win-Pct Won Lost Tied Games ---- ----------------------- ------- ---- ---- ---- ----- 1 Miami-Florida 0.86486 64 10 0 74 2 Oklahoma 0.86076 68 11 0 79 3 Texas 0.85526 65 11 0 76 4 Boise State 0.82895 63 13 0 76 5 Georgia 0.77922 60 17 0 77 6 Southern Cal 0.77632 59 17 0 76 7 Ohio State 0.77333 58 17 0 75 8 Louisiana State 0.76623 59 18 0 77 9 Virginia Tech 0.75325 58 19 0 77 10 Louisville 0.74667 56 19 0 75 11 Toledo 0.74324 55 19 0 74 12 Texas Christian 0.73611 53 19 0 72 13 Auburn 0.72368 55 21 0 76 14 Michigan 0.71622 53 21 0 74 15 Florida State 0.71429 55 22 0 77 16 Oregon 0.69863 51 22 0 73 17t Florida 0.69333 52 23 0 75 17t Tennessee 0.69333 52 23 0 75 19 Nebraska 0.68000 51 24 0 75 20 Boston College 0.67568 50 24 0 74 21 Fresno State 0.67089 53 26 0 79 22 Miami-Ohio 0.65753 48 25 0 73 23t Northern Illinois 0.65714 46 24 0 70 23t Utah 0.65714 46 24 0 70 25t Iowa 0.64865 48 26 0 74 25t Marshall 0.64865 48 26 0 74 27 Maryland 0.63889 46 26 0 72 28 Bowling Green 0.63380 45 26 0 71 29t Kansas State 0.63158 48 28 0 76 29t Texas Tech 0.63158 48 28 0 76
(OrangeSquare @ Jul 4 said:What is that? I'm pretty sure that no matter how much you hate Fulmer, Toledo and TCU are not better programs that the University of Tennessee is right now.
(VolinArizona @ Jul 4 said:I understand, and I reacted a little harshly. However, I think 100% of the people on here are smart enough to understand W/L % in the WAC, Mtn West, etc doesn't mean a ton. I'd even be willing to take Louisville out of the equation, but they are now players on the recruiting stage.
I'm unnerved that VT, Oregon, Auburn, etc have passed us as well.
2006 will be a good year though.
(OrangeSquare @ Jul 4 said:I still don't think they have "passed us". None of those schools have National Championships except Auburn, and it's been a loooooong time.
I'll stick to my thought that it's most fair to compare these schools in the BCS era until a new era begins.
Louisville shouldn't be considered either. C-USA and the post Miami/Va Tech Big East aren't exactly big time football.(VolinArizona @ Jul 4 said:Right. Take the chart and assume exactly what I mean without letting my clarify. I've been editing it for 5 minutes to make it look all straight and pretty.
As I was GOING TO SAY, the 3 mid majors shouldn't be considered above Tennessee, so I consider us around 14th with Florida.
(checkerboard_charly @ Jul 2 said:Barry Bonds
any great cubs player
Hank Aaron
National championships from 7, 10, or 50 years ago aren't the test of whether or not those teams have "passed us", but whether or not we could line up and play with those teams right now. I'm not comfortable that we could play with any of the three teams you mentioned, so in that aspect they have passed us. I agree that CPFs past record has earned him the right to another chance to turn it around, but he better do it fast. Hat and others are right. It's a struggle now against the likes of Memphis, UAB, Duke, Kentucky, and Vandy. There's no excuse for UT to EVER lose to Vandy. If we went by your logic then Bill Battle should still be the coach. After all, he had three 10 win seasons to start his carrer and finished with a .718 winning percentage.(OrangeSquare @ Jul 4 said:I still don't think they have "passed us". None of those schools have National Championships except Auburn, and it's been a loooooong time.
I'll stick to my thought that it's most fair to compare these schools in the BCS era until a new era begins.
(MyBloodRunnethOrange @ Jul 4 said:National championships from 7, 10, or 50 years ago aren't the test of whether or not those teams have "passed us", but whether or not we could line up and play with those teams right now. I'm not comfortable that we could play with any of the three teams you mentioned, so in that aspect they have passed us. I agree that CPFs past record has earned him the right to another chance to turn it around, but he better do it fast. Hat and others are right. It's a struggle now against the likes of Memphis, UAB, Duke, Kentucky, and Vandy. There's no excuse for UT to EVER lose to Vandy. If we went by your logic then Bill Battle should still be the coach. After all, he had three 10 win seasons to start his carrer and finished with a .718 winning percentage.
Look, I personally like CPF, and I hope that he can turn it around and stay for many more years. In the end though the program is what's important, and not one individual.
(VolinArizona @ Jul 4 said:This is probably more accurate of how schools are viewed right now. 2000-2005
Code:---- ----------------------- ------- ---- ---- ---- ----- Rank Team name Win-Pct Won Lost Tied Games ---- ----------------------- ------- ---- ---- ---- ----- 1 Miami-Florida 0.86486 64 10 0 74 2 Oklahoma 0.86076 68 11 0 79 3 Texas 0.85526 65 11 0 76 4 Boise State 0.82895 63 13 0 76 5 Georgia 0.77922 60 17 0 77 6 Southern Cal 0.77632 59 17 0 76 7 Ohio State 0.77333 58 17 0 75 8 Louisiana State 0.76623 59 18 0 77 9 Virginia Tech 0.75325 58 19 0 77 10 Louisville 0.74667 56 19 0 75 11 Toledo 0.74324 55 19 0 74 12 Texas Christian 0.73611 53 19 0 72 13 Auburn 0.72368 55 21 0 76 14 Michigan 0.71622 53 21 0 74 15 Florida State 0.71429 55 22 0 77 16 Oregon 0.69863 51 22 0 73 17t Florida 0.69333 52 23 0 75 17t Tennessee 0.69333 52 23 0 75 19 Nebraska 0.68000 51 24 0 75 20 Boston College 0.67568 50 24 0 74 21 Fresno State 0.67089 53 26 0 79 22 Miami-Ohio 0.65753 48 25 0 73 23t Northern Illinois 0.65714 46 24 0 70 23t Utah 0.65714 46 24 0 70 25t Iowa 0.64865 48 26 0 74 25t Marshall 0.64865 48 26 0 74 27 Maryland 0.63889 46 26 0 72 28 Bowling Green 0.63380 45 26 0 71 29t Kansas State 0.63158 48 28 0 76 29t Texas Tech 0.63158 48 28 0 76
(oklavol @ Jul 4 said:Thanks for the stats. I was looking for these and couldn't find them.
This is the most common stat I see used to evaluate teams over a decade. UT is about where I thought they would be 17th, tied for 4th in the SEC behind Georgia, LSU, Auburn, and tied with Florida. This is where I expected UT to line up nationally, as well as in the conference.
(VolinArizona @ Jul 4 said:This is probably more accurate of how schools are viewed right now. 2000-2005
Code:---- ----------------------- ------- ---- ---- ---- ----- Rank Team name Win-Pct Won Lost Tied Games ---- ----------------------- ------- ---- ---- ---- ----- 1 Miami-Florida 0.86486 64 10 0 74 2 Oklahoma 0.86076 68 11 0 79 3 Texas 0.85526 65 11 0 76 4 Boise State 0.82895 63 13 0 76 5 Georgia 0.77922 60 17 0 77 6 Southern Cal 0.77632 59 17 0 76 7 Ohio State 0.77333 58 17 0 75 8 Louisiana State 0.76623 59 18 0 77 9 Virginia Tech 0.75325 58 19 0 77 10 Louisville 0.74667 56 19 0 75 11 Toledo 0.74324 55 19 0 74 12 Texas Christian 0.73611 53 19 0 72 13 Auburn 0.72368 55 21 0 76 14 Michigan 0.71622 53 21 0 74 15 Florida State 0.71429 55 22 0 77 16 Oregon 0.69863 51 22 0 73 17t Florida 0.69333 52 23 0 75 17t Tennessee 0.69333 52 23 0 75 19 Nebraska 0.68000 51 24 0 75 20 Boston College 0.67568 50 24 0 74 21 Fresno State 0.67089 53 26 0 79 22 Miami-Ohio 0.65753 48 25 0 73 23t Northern Illinois 0.65714 46 24 0 70 23t Utah 0.65714 46 24 0 70 25t Iowa 0.64865 48 26 0 74 25t Marshall 0.64865 48 26 0 74 27 Maryland 0.63889 46 26 0 72 28 Bowling Green 0.63380 45 26 0 71 29t Kansas State 0.63158 48 28 0 76 29t Texas Tech 0.63158 48 28 0 76
Will any of the players from the '93-'99 teams be suiting up this year? Will Gerry Di Nardo be the coach at LSU again? Will Buster Bowden be back at Auburn? If you aren't even one of the three best in your own neighborhood, you don't even need to think about where you stand in comparison to anybody else. The '93-'99 statistics are only relevant to those who want to perpetuate the program as it currently stands.(volinbham @ Jul 5 said:Just to add to the analysis.
UT under Fulmer would have ranked #4 on this list using the average winning % from 93-99 (of course we don't know the winning % of other teams but it is likely similar - UT's was 83.5% during that time).
In this chart, UT is 17th (but most have said 13th or 14th based on conference).
If these are bad years under Fulmer, he is still in B+ (percentile) range in his worst years and near A+ (percentile) in his best.