I Created a CFB Ranking System

[LouderVol]

According to my system, UT has the best strength of schedule in the country (opposing win % + opposing adjusted point differential). That's what is keeping them over A&M at the moment. Every one of UT's opponents is above .500 and only UGA has a negative point differential at -0.8333. UT's 6 opponents have lost a combined 3 games against teams other than UT.

lol, Tennessee is helped in the SOS by losing a game and A&M is hurt by winning.

also interesting to see the differences. 25-6 are all pretty incremental. 6-5-4 is a 14 point swing and 4-3-2 is close then 2-1 is another 13 point gap.

 

[bamawriter]

lol, Tennessee is helped in the SOS by losing a game and A&M is hurt by winning.

Actually, neither one was hurt or helped all that much. The close score kept both team's point differentials up. If the result were reversed, UT would still have the second highest SOS in the country.

also interesting to see the differences. 25-6 are all pretty incremental. 6-5-4 is a 14 point swing and 4-3-2 is close then 2-1 is another 13 point gap.

Michigan has actually played a surprisingly good schedule so far. Rutgers is the only team they've played that's currently below .500. And of course, UM is currently sitting on a 37.6667 scoring differential.

 

[LouderVol]

style points, and is Hawaii is above .500?

 

[bamawriter]

style points, and is Hawaii is above .500?

No, they're 3-3.

 

[bamawriter]

WEEK 7 RANKINGS (with AP/Coaches)

1. Michigan (6-0) - 195.8494 (3/4)
2. Alabama (7-0) - 189.6878 (1/1)
3. Clemson (7-0) - 189.2741 (4/3)
4. Ohio St (6-0) - 182.2357 (2/2)
5. Louisville (5-1) - 167.7362 (7/7)
6. Western Michigan (7-0) - 165.5818 (20/20)
7. Texas A&M (6-0) - 165.3144 (6/6)
8. Washington (6-0) - 162.3629 (5/5)
9. Tennessee (5-2) - 159.8480 (18/19)
10. West Virginia (5-0) - 159.2455 (12/13)
11. Boise St (6-0) - 158.7344 (14/14)
12. Houston (6-1) - 157.2561 (11/11)
13. Nebraska (6-0) - 155.9068 (8/9)
14. Wisconsin (4-2) - 150.8764 (10/10)
15. Oklahoma (4-2) - 149.9742 (16/16)
16. Florida St (5-2) - 149.0533 (13/15)
17. Auburn (4-2) - 148.1329 (21/24)
18. Troy (5-1) - 144.2647 (NR/NR)
19. Penn St (4-2) - 144.1846 (NR/NR)
20. Colorado (4-2) - 142.8516 (NR/NR)
21. Arkansas (5-2) - 142.3039 (17/17)
22. Florida (5-1) - 142.2797 (15/12)
23. Navy (4-1) - 140.8976 (24/25)
24. Baylor (6-0) - 140.0423 (9/8)
25. Washington St (4-2) - 137.6883 (NR/NR)

Say what you will about this system, but it may be the biggest Tennessee fan on this forum.

 

[bamawriter]

The Rest of the SEC:

31. Ole Miss (3-3) - 132.5725 (23/22)
33. LSU (4-2) - 130.6912 (25/23)
67. Georgia (4-3) - 104.7301
69. Kentucky (3-3) - 104.1815
71. Missouri (2-4) - 102.8856
74. Vanderbilt (3-4) - 100.3112
101. Mississippi St (2-4) - 81.2883
105. South Carolina (2-4) - 79.3979

 

[bamawriter]

The Bottom 10:

119. Nevada (3-4) - 59.5515
120. Florida International (3-4) - 59.3878
121. San Jose St (2-5) - 57.8197
122. New Mexico St (2-4) - 57.7490
123. UMass (1-6) - 56.1545
124. Miami (OH) (1-6) - 56.1483
125. Rice (0-6) - 54.9010
126. Buffalo (1-5) - 48.3330
127. UTEP (1-5) - 46.1820
128. Florida Atlantic (1-6) - 43.9563

 

[bamawriter]

Week 8 Rankings (with AP/Coaches)

1. Michigan (7-0) - 194.3314 (2/2)
2. Alabama (8-0) - 191.6261 (1/1)
3. Clemson (7-0) - 187.8184 (3/3)
4. Louisville (6-1) - 175.0129 (5/5)
5. Western Michigan (8-0) - 169.2534 (20/21)
6. Ohio St (6-1) - 167.8110 (6/8)
7. Boise St (7-0) - 164.6333 (13/13)
8. Texas A&M (6-1) - 160.5164 (9/10)
9. West Virginia (6-0) - 160.3093 (10/9)
10. Tennessee (5-2) - 159.2213 (18/18)
11. Washington (7-0) - 156.3509 (4/4)
12. Wisconsin (5-2) - 156.0235 (11/11)
13. Penn St (5-2) - 155.5016 (24/UR)
14. Auburn (5-2) - 153.7598 (15/17)
15. Nebraska (7-0) - 153.0942 (7/t-6)
16. Troy (6-1) - 146.2036 (UR/UR)
17. Baylor (6-0) - 145.9788 (8/t-6)
18. Florida (5-1) - 145.7281 (14/12)
19. Florida St (5-2) - 144.7752 (12/14)
20. Colorado (6-2) - 143.8599 (23/23)
21. Navy (5-1) - 143.0671 (22/22)
22. Oklahoma (5-2) - 142.5689 (16/15)
23. Houston (6-2) - 141.4461 (UR/24)
24. Virginia Tech (5-2) - 138.5937 (25/25)
25. Washington St (5-2) - 138.0644 (UR/UR)

Lots of movement this week.

 

[bamawriter]

The Rest of the SEC:

26. LSU (5-2) - 135.8537 (19/19)
42. Arkansas (5-3) - 123.4924
52. Ole Miss (3-4) - 118.5935
62. Kentucky (4-3) - 109.8040
66. Vanderbilt (4-4) - 107.4619
69. Georgia (4-3) - 106.0243
80. Missouri (2-5) - 98.1953
100. South Carolina (3-4) - 80.9720
105. Mississippi St (2-5) - 78.1199

 

[bamawriter]

The Bottom 10:

119. San Jose St (2-6) - 61.4131
120. Rice (1-6) - 61.1731
121. Louisiana-Monroe (2-5) - 60.3805
122. Nevada (3-5) - 58.6995
123. Bowling Green (1-7) - 58.4072
124. Texas St (2-5) - 57.1437
125. UTEP (2-5) - 57.0692
126. UMass (1-7) - 48.6976
127. Florida Atlantic (1-6) - 41.1978
128. Buffalo (1-6) - 33.0987

 

[malinoisvol]

Look at Troy go!

 

[LouderVol]

no 0'fer teams?

 

[bamawriter]

no 0'fer teams?

Nope. Rice was the remaining holdout, and they beat an FCS school on Saturday.

 

[bamawriter]

A few Strength of Schedule notes:

-Buffalo is 1-6 despite having the 110th S.O.S. That's how you find yourself in 128th and a full 8 points back of 127.

-Washington, Nebraska, and Baylor are outside the Top 10 despite being unbeaten because they have the 126th, 114th, and 128th ranked S.O.S., respectively.

-Tennessee has the #1 S.O.S. All 7 opponents are above .500. Their only opponent that's only 1 game above, UGA, is the only team with a negative point differential. UT's S.O.S. score is 88.4141, more than 5 full points above PSU at #2.

 

[Glocker_Alum_2005]

Interesting to compare the Massey Football Rankings

Massey Ratings - CF

 

[TNnative]

:thud:

If anyone is curious as to how certain teams compared to others, i.e. how they got their scores, I can break that down for you.

Sounds good to me, even if someone from Alabama thought of it. However, sportswriters will never go for it. Take away their polling power, and they would lose over half their readers within a year.

 

[bamawriter]

:thud:

Sounds good to me, even if someone from Alabama thought of it. However, sportswriters will never go for it. Take away their polling power, and they would lose over half their readers within a year.

Whether or not the sportswriters are the best at creating a poll, human polls are superior to math systems.

 

[bamawriter]

WEEK 9 RANKINGS (with AP/Coaches) EDIT to add CFP

1. Alabama (8-0) - 194.3520 (1/1/1)
2. Clemson (8-0) - 186.9409 (3/3/2)
3. Michigan (8-0) - 185.0542 (2/2/3)
4. Ohio St (7-1) - 170.3525 (6/6/6)
5. Louisville (7-1) - 165.5250 (5/5/7)
6. Western Michigan (8-0) - 162.8997 (17/18/23)
7. Washington (8-0) - 162.4969 (4/4/5)
8. Wisconsin (6-2) - 159.3413 (8/8/8)
9. Texas A&M (7-1) - 159.0444 (7/7/4)
10. Auburn (6-2) - 156.7371 (11/12/9)
11. Penn St (6-2) - 156.3699 (20/23/12)
12. Boise St (7-1) - 153.5516 (24/24/24)
13. Florida (6-1) - 147.7717 (10/9/11)
14. West Virginia (6-1) - 147.6893 (14/15/20)
15. Troy (6-1) - 146.4179 (UR/UR/UR)
16. Tennessee (5-3) - 146.3625 (UR/UR/UR)
17. Colorado (6-2) - 145.4373 (21/20/15)
18. Nebraska (7-1) - 143.7465 (9/10/10)
19. Virginia Tech (6-2) - 143.6844 (23/21/19)
20. Oklahoma (6-2) - 143.4669 (12/11/14)
21. Houston (7-2) - 143.2178 (UR/UR/UR)
22. Florida St (5-3) - 137.4044 (19/19/22)
23. LSU (5-2) - 136.9379 (15/14/13)
24. Washington St (6-2) - 136.0517 (25/25/25)
25. Tulsa (6-2) - 135.4516 (UR/UR/UR)

Bama jumped Michigan without playing a game because most of Bama's opponents won, while several of Michigan's lost. Plus, Michigan tacked on a win against a lousy opponent. In about a month, the Wolverines went from having a rather impressive SOS to having a rather crappy SOS.

 

[bamawriter]

The Rest of the SEC:

41. Arkansas (5-3) - 123.3746
47. Kentucky (5-3) - 116.7246
58. Vanderbilt (4-4) - 110.7489
62. Ole Miss (3-5) - 109.5058
74. Georgia (4-4) - 101.8683
83. South Carolina (4-4) - 96.4733
91. Mississippi St (3-5) - 89.0354
93. Missouri (2-6) - 87.0514

 

[bamawriter]

The Bottom 10:

119. UMass (2-7) - 60.5740
120. UTEP (2-6) - 59.3318
121. Fresno St (1-8) - 58.3419
122. Rice (1-7) - 58.0160
123. Bowling Green (1-7) - 55.8008
124. Kansas (1-7) - 55.7788
125. Louisiana-Monroe (2-6) - 53.5051
126. Buffalo (2-6) - 52.1967
127. Texas St (2-5) - 52.1967
128. Florida Atlantic (1-7) - 37.8260

FAU is so far behind second-to-last place because they got absolutely murdered by WKU. That 52 point loss brought the Owls to a -17.75 APD.

 

[bamawriter]

It is amazing that Baylor has only played one team that is above .500. Even their FCS opponent (1-7 Northwestern St) is a steaming pile of crap.

 

[Glocker_Alum_2005]

Still not buying TN is better than Oklahoma or FSU. Maybe talent wise, but given we are so turnover prone #123 in Bowl Subdivision in turnovers lost. Only Duke, BG, and Kansas are worse. Let that sink in.

 

[bamawriter]

Still not buying TN is better than Oklahoma or FSU. Maybe talent wise, but given we are so turnover prone #123 in Bowl Subdivision in turnovers lost. Only Duke, BG, and Kansas are worse. Let that sink in.

Tennessee is still receiving a major boost from SOS. I would personally rank OU and FSU above them, but my opinion is not reflected in these rankings.

 

[Glocker_Alum_2005]

Tennessee is still receiving a major boost from SOS. I would personally rank OU and FSU above them, but my opinion is not reflected in these rankings.

Yes when we figure in SOS TN one cold argue that the gonk-u-lator is correct putting TN above OU and FSU--obviously evidenced by Baylor's schedule, or lack there of. Having watched all three on multiple occasions it doesn't take Knute Rockne to see both teams (particularly on the offensive line/defensive lines) are significantly better than TN. Lastly what the ranking system can't factor is the ability of the coaching staff (or our lack there of).

 

[bamawriter]

Yes when we figure in SOS TN one cold argue that the gonk-u-lator is correct putting TN above OU and FSU--obviously evidenced by Baylor's schedule, or lack there of. Having watched all three on multiple occasions it doesn't take Knute Rockne to see both teams (particularly on the offensive line/defensive lines) are significantly better than TN. Lastly what the ranking system can't factor is the ability of the coaching staff (or our lack there of).

The bold is my point. Computer and math systems are dumb because computers and spreadsheets can't watch games.