I Think We Get Left OUT of Playoffs- Regardless

#52
#52
I don’t see anyone beating GA. I am totn beating watching us kill a MI or Clemson in the sugar bowl or watching us probably lose in the playoffs.

I think we are in the playoffs though if we win out decidedly.
 
#53
#53
keepitreal2022 said:
The only way the SEC gets 2 teams in the playoffs is if the loser of the Mich/OSU game gets blown out or it's a non-competitive game.

I think the committee will give the Big 10 the same benefit of the doubt that they gave the SEC last year. Bama was 11-1 but went to the SECCG and won, and UGA was undefeated going into the game but was #1 for most of the CFP rankings. The same can be said back in 2017, Bama did not play in the SEC title game but got in with UGA. Bama was beaten by an 11-1 Auburn who was beaten by an 11-1 UGA in the SEC title game. Our biggest wins come against teams with 2 losses and our remaining schedule does not have a top-20 team left. In other words, if Mich/OSU goes into their game undefeated and plays like they did last year where the winner won by less than 10, then the loser will get the same benefit of the doubt. Let's hope the Mich/OSU game is a blowout one way or the other. I think the 4th team will be either TCU or the PAC 12 winner with 0 or 1 loss. Also, we need TCU to slip up. Baylor did not look like a world-beater today. The playoff committee would like nothing more than to have teams representing 4 out of the 5 power conferences. It's all about the money. Take your emotions out of it. Do you think they will pick us over USC and risk losing the west coast or Texas/ Southwest viewership?

OSU (#3 Mich)
UGA (#7 LSU)
Mich (#2 OSU)
USC/TCU (USC would play #9 UCLA)

btw- I think TA&M will beat LSU- Jimbo will be playing for a lot.
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Michigan and Ohio State both get in if they rank 1 of them higher than GA BEFORE they play. The only reason we are at 5 is because GA is number 1. It’s a sliding scale. If GA is 2 we go to 6, etc..
Our concern is ONLY TCU. They run the table we are out
 
#54
#54
keepitreal2022 said:
The only way the SEC gets 2 teams in the playoffs is if the loser of the Mich/OSU game gets blown out or it's a non-competitive game.

I think the committee will give the Big 10 the same benefit of the doubt that they gave the SEC last year. Bama was 11-1 but went to the SECCG and won, and UGA was undefeated going into the game but was #1 for most of the CFP rankings. The same can be said back in 2017, Bama did not play in the SEC title game but got in with UGA. Bama was beaten by an 11-1 Auburn who was beaten by an 11-1 UGA in the SEC title game. Our biggest wins come against teams with 2 losses and our remaining schedule does not have a top-20 team left. In other words, if Mich/OSU goes into their game undefeated and plays like they did last year where the winner won by less than 10, then the loser will get the same benefit of the doubt. Let's hope the Mich/OSU game is a blowout one way or the other. I think the 4th team will be either TCU or the PAC 12 winner with 0 or 1 loss. Also, we need TCU to slip up. Baylor did not look like a world-beater today. The playoff committee would like nothing more than to have teams representing 4 out of the 5 power conferences. It's all about the money. Take your emotions out of it. Do you think they will pick us over USC and risk losing the west coast or Texas/ Southwest viewership?

OSU (#3 Mich)
UGA (#7 LSU)
Mich (#2 OSU)
USC/TCU (USC would play #9 UCLA)

btw- I think TA&M will beat LSU- Jimbo will be playing for a lot.
Click to expand...

Nope, loser of Michigan / OSU drops out. late season losses hurt more
 
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#55
#55
keepitreal2022 said:
The only way the SEC gets 2 teams in the playoffs is if the loser of the Mich/OSU game gets blown out or it's a non-competitive game.

I think the committee will give the Big 10 the same benefit of the doubt that they gave the SEC last year. Bama was 11-1 but went to the SECCG and won, and UGA was undefeated going into the game but was #1 for most of the CFP rankings. The same can be said back in 2017, Bama did not play in the SEC title game but got in with UGA. Bama was beaten by an 11-1 Auburn who was beaten by an 11-1 UGA in the SEC title game. Our biggest wins come against teams with 2 losses and our remaining schedule does not have a top-20 team left. In other words, if Mich/OSU goes into their game undefeated and plays like they did last year where the winner won by less than 10, then the loser will get the same benefit of the doubt. Let's hope the Mich/OSU game is a blowout one way or the other. I think the 4th team will be either TCU or the PAC 12 winner with 0 or 1 loss. Also, we need TCU to slip up. Baylor did not look like a world-beater today. The playoff committee would like nothing more than to have teams representing 4 out of the 5 power conferences. It's all about the money. Take your emotions out of it. Do you think they will pick us over USC and risk losing the west coast or Texas/ Southwest viewership?

OSU (#3 Mich)
UGA (#7 LSU)
Mich (#2 OSU)
USC/TCU (USC would play #9 UCLA)

btw- I think TA&M will beat LSU- Jimbo will be playing for a lot.
Click to expand...
So your saying Tennessee will be left out after only lose they have is against Georgia played at Georgia. Against the number one team in the nation. After the top teams Tennessee have beaten this year. Tennessee will not be left out of the top four teams if they win their last two games and end up 11 - 1.
 
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#56
#56
keepitreal2022 said:
The only way the SEC gets 2 teams in the playoffs is if the loser of the Mich/OSU game gets blown out or it's a non-competitive game.

I think the committee will give the Big 10 the same benefit of the doubt that they gave the SEC last year. Bama was 11-1 but went to the SECCG and won, and UGA was undefeated going into the game but was #1 for most of the CFP rankings. The same can be said back in 2017, Bama did not play in the SEC title game but got in with UGA. Bama was beaten by an 11-1 Auburn who was beaten by an 11-1 UGA in the SEC title game. Our biggest wins come against teams with 2 losses and our remaining schedule does not have a top-20 team left. In other words, if Mich/OSU goes into their game undefeated and plays like they did last year where the winner won by less than 10, then the loser will get the same benefit of the doubt. Let's hope the Mich/OSU game is a blowout one way or the other. I think the 4th team will be either TCU or the PAC 12 winner with 0 or 1 loss. Also, we need TCU to slip up. Baylor did not look like a world-beater today. The playoff committee would like nothing more than to have teams representing 4 out of the 5 power conferences. It's all about the money. Take your emotions out of it. Do you think they will pick us over USC and risk losing the west coast or Texas/ Southwest viewership?

OSU (#3 Mich)
UGA (#7 LSU)
Mich (#2 OSU)
USC/TCU (USC would play #9 UCLA)

btw- I think TA&M will beat LSU- Jimbo will be playing for a lot.
Click to expand...
MIT.. That you?
 
#57
#57
Maybe Tenn should start scheduling Rutgers and Indiana so they give us more SOS ? TCU has a weak resume and not looked that good in those wins they got. IMHO whoever loses in the Michigan/Ohio St game should drop out of the playoffs. As they always say, if you're going to have a loss, lose early in the season.
 
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#58
#58
The only thing that makes it hard for us to get in is how badly UGA beat us. UGA just seems to be able to sleep walk through games and turn it on when they need too. It would suck to play them again and play the same way we did the first time. Bama just isn't the same defensively anymore. UGA is the old Bama and defense does still win championships. If TCU loses a game, we may get in, but it will probably come down to spreading the wealth around the country because nobody is beating UGA anyway. We have way over-achieved this year and it will benefit us greatly, but I would like to see us win out including the Sugar Bowl. But, we will see. People are saying LSU can beat UGA. I say no way in hell. They'll turn on that defense and embarrass them with turnovers, sacks, and beat them like a drum.
 
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#60
#60
I'm fearful that we are screwed as well. Georgia has to win the SECCG in my opinion or LSU takes our spot. Other things could happen but our options are getting smaller and smaller by the week. All we can do is finish 11-1 (Unreal in yr #2) and pray. GBO
 
#62
#62
Nerwen Aldarion said:
It’s not about accuracy, it’s about trust and clout. You’ve got to earn respect or your opinions can be easily dismissed
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Nah. The other guy lost peer respect when he attacked the OP's length of time here, instead of addressing even one scrap of his argument.

That's the exact definition of an ad hominem attack, and it means you got nuthin' to bring....no matter how long you've been hanging around.
 
#63
#63
1989Vol said:
I'm fearful that we are screwed as well. Georgia has to win the SECCG in my opinion or LSU takes our spot. Other things could happen but our options are getting smaller and smaller by the week. All we can do is finish 11-1 (Unreal in yr #2) and pray. GBO
Click to expand...

There is no scenario where LSU goes 11-2 and gets in the playoff without Tennessee and Georgia also being in the playoff.

Only way LSU (with 11-1 Tennessee) makes it is with 3 SEC teams in the playoff. TCU dropping a game makes LSU playing for the 4th and final playoff spot in Atlanta vs Georgia.

USC is not a threat regardless of where they finish.
 
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#65
#65
JMSqb11 said:
Just know old buddy, zero has changed since last week. 11-1 Tennessee is a lock for playoff.
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Lulz.

Just know that I don't agree it's a lock, but I admire your arrogance and confidence.

And, I hope you're right!
 
#66
#66
JMSqb11 said:
There is no scenario where LSU goes 11-2 and gets in the playoff without Tennessee and Georgia also being in the playoff.

Only way LSU (with 11-1 Tennessee) makes it is with 3 SEC teams in the playoff. TCU dropping a game makes LSU playing for the 4th and final playoff spot in Atlanta vs Georgia.

USC is not a threat regardless of where they finish.
Click to expand...

I disagree. I believe a 1 loss Pac12 champion gets in. An undefeated Big12 gets in. An undefeated Big10 Champion gets in. And an undefeated or 1 Loss SECCG participant (Georgia) gets in.
 
#67
#67
Behr said:
I disagree. I believe a 1 loss Pac12 champion gets in. An undefeated Big12 gets in. An undefeated Big10 Champion gets in. And an undefeated or 1 Loss SECCG participant (Georgia) gets in.
Click to expand...

TCU is the spoiler for LsU and USC’s playoff chances in my mind. I think currently they rank in terms of playoff chances:

TCU
LSU
USC
 
#68
#68
knox-townVOL said:
Y’all need to remember the loser of OSU/Mich is not going to play in their conference champ game. The loser is basically mimicking us exactly.

So then it comes down to resume. A 1-loss BIG 10, and a 1-loss SEC (us)… and which of those two has multiple Top 10 wins? It sure ain’t the Big 10 team.
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did you see what the ESPNU (vomit) reporters have this morning? ohio and michingan in....talk about BS both will not be in it
 
#70
#70
Behr said:
I don't care about LSU. What am I missing here?
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People have convinced themselves that LSU running table and winning in Atlanta is somehow a recipe for Tennessee to get left out of the playoff. I do not submit to that idea
 
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#71
#71
volfan102455 said:
UCLA is #12. Two teams above them lost (Oregon and Ole Miss). UCLA lost to Oregon 3 weeks ago. I don't see them jumping Clemson and Bama and given they lost to Oregon, maybe they jump them, maybe they don't. They may only move 1 spot.
Click to expand...

I think the key to us getting in is winning out big, and TCU losing, or Ou vs Mich is a blowout either way.
 
#72
#72
JMSqb11 said:
People have convinced themselves that LSU running table and winning in Atlanta is somehow a recipe for Tennessee to get left out of the playoff. I do not submit to that idea
Click to expand...
I didn't say anything about that in my post.

I don't worry about LSU at all except for them making Georgia another 1 loss SEC team that beat us and only loss is the SECCG.

Pretty sure I remember the committee being clear a 2 loss team doest get in. If they do, then none of us know anything and throw everything out the window.
 
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#75
#75
keepitreal2022 said:
The only way the SEC gets 2 teams in the playoffs is if the loser of the Mich/OSU game gets blown out or it's a non-competitive game.

I think the committee will give the Big 10 the same benefit of the doubt that they gave the SEC last year. Bama was 11-1 but went to the SECCG and won, and UGA was undefeated going into the game but was #1 for most of the CFP rankings. The same can be said back in 2017, Bama did not play in the SEC title game but got in with UGA. Bama was beaten by an 11-1 Auburn who was beaten by an 11-1 UGA in the SEC title game. Our biggest wins come against teams with 2 losses and our remaining schedule does not have a top-20 team left. In other words, if Mich/OSU goes into their game undefeated and plays like they did last year where the winner won by less than 10, then the loser will get the same benefit of the doubt. Let's hope the Mich/OSU game is a blowout one way or the other. I think the 4th team will be either TCU or the PAC 12 winner with 0 or 1 loss. Also, we need TCU to slip up. Baylor did not look like a world-beater today. The playoff committee would like nothing more than to have teams representing 4 out of the 5 power conferences. It's all about the money. Take your emotions out of it. Do you think they will pick us over USC and risk losing the west coast or Texas/ Southwest viewership?

OSU (#3 Mich)
UGA (#7 LSU)
Mich (#2 OSU)
USC/TCU (USC would play #9 UCLA)

btw- I think TA&M will beat LSU- Jimbo will be playing for a lot.
Click to expand...


Let's see..... we are #2 in points per game and #1 in total offense per game and and our SOS looks like this....

Rank Team Rating

1Alabama (8-2)15.41311
2Tennessee (9-1)14.62
3Texas (6-4)12.7
4Georgia (10-0)12.3
5LSU (8-2)12.04
6Kansas St (7-3)11.16
7Penn State (8-2)10.35
8Ohio State (10-0)9.84
9Miss State (6-4)9.64
10TX Christian (10-0)9.51

Yeah, I think we have a case..... especially since our only loss is to #1 Georgia.. Our SOS will go down with SC and Van, but if our offensive output gets better could be a wash. Just don't want any weather games the next couple of weeks.
 
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