I Think We Get Left OUT of Playoffs- Regardless

#176
#176
Illinoisvolfan2 said:
Michigan hasn’t beaten anyone yet. OSUs only “quality” win was against a clearly overrated ND the first game. We have a much better resume. But will we get in? Dunno. 50/50 IMO
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Both teams beat Penn St, who is 8-0 against everyone else. But no, that isn’t much.
 
#177
#177
keepitreal2022 said:
The only way the SEC gets 2 teams in the playoffs is if the loser of the Mich/OSU game gets blown out or it's a non-competitive game.

I think the committee will give the Big 10 the same benefit of the doubt that they gave the SEC last year. Bama was 11-1 but went to the SECCG and won, and UGA was undefeated going into the game but was #1 for most of the CFP rankings. The same can be said back in 2017, Bama did not play in the SEC title game but got in with UGA. Bama was beaten by an 11-1 Auburn who was beaten by an 11-1 UGA in the SEC title game. Our biggest wins come against teams with 2 losses and our remaining schedule does not have a top-20 team left. In other words, if Mich/OSU goes into their game undefeated and plays like they did last year where the winner won by less than 10, then the loser will get the same benefit of the doubt. Let's hope the Mich/OSU game is a blowout one way or the other. I think the 4th team will be either TCU or the PAC 12 winner with 0 or 1 loss. Also, we need TCU to slip up. Baylor did not look like a world-beater today. The playoff committee would like nothing more than to have teams representing 4 out of the 5 power conferences. It's all about the money. Take your emotions out of it. Do you think they will pick us over USC and risk losing the west coast or Texas/ Southwest viewership?

OSU (#3 Mich)
UGA (#7 LSU)
Mich (#2 OSU)
USC/TCU (USC would play #9 UCLA)

btw- I think TA&M will beat LSU- Jimbo will be playing for a lot.
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I agree with your conclusion/headline. I see no scenario that we get in, absent all the teams ahead of us losing losing twice. Look forward to winning out, winning a NYD bowl, and finishing in the top 5 with a 12-1 record. And then landing a decent recruiting class and some serious playmakers in the portal.
 
#178
#178
DenmarkVol said:
I agree with your conclusion/headline. I see no scenario that we get in, absent all the teams ahead of us losing losing twice. Look forward to winning out, winning a NYD bowl, and finishing in the top 5 with a 12-1 record. And then landing a decent recruiting class and some serious playmakers in the portal.
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I don't get the losing twice thought. I don't think both OSU and Michigan make it in.
 
#180
#180
bigorangecrush89 said:
I agree some people are setting themselves up for disappointment. The committee really REALLY values conference champs. This is not BVS. UT wont get that chance due to playing UGA in the regular season.
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That’s not true. Alabama and Georgia several times and Alabama and LSU/Alabama in 2019.
 
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#181
#181
Too much love for all the other conferences in this thread.

Do you all really believe that USC, TCU (... insert your favorite team to pump up over the Vols this week ...) is a better team than Tennessee?

If the committee wants to pave the way and make it easy for UGA and the winner of OSU/Michigan, then yes - they will select two teams that will be easy for those to beat.
 
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#182
#182
Lot of people don’t believe ut will get in. I read today their pushing uscw now. Said they would have multiple top 25 wins in a row to
End year. We need tcu to lose. If they win out we’re done.
 
#183
#183
The only conference to have gotten 2 in the playoffs is the SEC. That happened in 2021 and 2017. In 2011 when it was the BCC, LSU played Alabama.

2017 is the year that Wisconsin was undefeated and lost to OSU in the Big 10 championship game. OSU had two losses - neither team made the playoffs that year allowing both UGA and Bama to sneak in at 3 and 4.

If the BCS had been the top 4, there would be more occurrences of multiple teams from the SEC.
 
#184
#184
The key is for Tennessee to not drop below 5. Bama and UGA hovered at 5 and 6 in 2017 waiting for that last weekend to shake out.
 
#185
#185
S.C. OrangeMan said:
Several ways we can get in.

TCU has two possible losses, at Baylor and the Big 12 CG.

A blowout win in the OSU-Michigan game.
Oregon beats the USC-UCLA winner in the PAC 12 CG.

Even if TCU wins out, we have a good shot at bring the best 1 loss team.
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I guess I’m in the minority when I say I’m not concerned with the Michigan/Ohio state loser seeing as we’ll both be 11-1 is having a far better resume. TCU losing helps us to 3 but I feel like we win out we are in
 
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#186
#186
keepitreal2022 said:
The only way the SEC gets 2 teams in the playoffs is if the loser of the Mich/OSU game gets blown out or it's a non-competitive game.

I think the committee will give the Big 10 the same benefit of the doubt that they gave the SEC last year. Bama was 11-1 but went to the SECCG and won, and UGA was undefeated going into the game but was #1 for most of the CFP rankings. The same can be said back in 2017, Bama did not play in the SEC title game but got in with UGA. Bama was beaten by an 11-1 Auburn who was beaten by an 11-1 UGA in the SEC title game. Our biggest wins come against teams with 2 losses and our remaining schedule does not have a top-20 team left. In other words, if Mich/OSU goes into their game undefeated and plays like they did last year where the winner won by less than 10, then the loser will get the same benefit of the doubt. Let's hope the Mich/OSU game is a blowout one way or the other. I think the 4th team will be either TCU or the PAC 12 winner with 0 or 1 loss. Also, we need TCU to slip up. Baylor did not look like a world-beater today. The playoff committee would like nothing more than to have teams representing 4 out of the 5 power conferences. It's all about the money. Take your emotions out of it. Do you think they will pick us over USC and risk losing the west coast or Texas/ Southwest viewership?

OSU (#3 Mich)
UGA (#7 LSU)
Mich (#2 OSU)
USC/TCU (USC would play #9 UCLA)

btw- I think TA&M will beat LSU- Jimbo will be playing for a lot.
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Nope. We win out and we are in.
 
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#189
#189
keepitreal2022 said:
I'm not a troll for keeping our expectations realistic. Speaking of the day after we beat Bama, over half of Volnation chimed right around the same time. Do you really think half of the audience was here prior to beating Bama- you're mistaken.
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After this season you should not be the one keeping our expectations in check, no one should after this season. And no, the loser of Ohio State and Michigan will not get in, we would have the better wins and better strength of schedule. So actually what you are doing is creating **** in your mind to complain about. If we win out we are in, and that is a fact
 
#190
#190
Just a reminder to all the OSU and Michigan will both be in folks: they won’t. Committee has shown the numbers matter. That’s why TN was ranked #1 in the first rankings. Whoever loses that game will not have a resume anywhere close to TN’s.

 
#191
#191
DenmarkVol said:
I agree with your conclusion/headline. I see no scenario that we get in, absent all the teams ahead of us losing losing twice. Look forward to winning out, winning a NYD bowl, and finishing in the top 5 with a 12-1 record. And then landing a decent recruiting class and some serious playmakers in the portal.
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This is the dumbest comment I have ever seen in my life. If tcu loses once they are out, if you can’t see a scenario for us gesturing in you aren’t looking very damn hard.
 
#192
#192
The only way Tennessee possibly gets left out is if Georgia loses the SEC title game.

Having said that, if I were voting.....I normally would put the conference champion in. But, since Tennessee has a better record than LSU and since Tennessee beat the snot out of LSU @lsu, I would vote Tennessee in.

Based on strength of schedule, they should be in over TCU anyway. But, the playoff should be Georgia, Michigan/OSU winner, TCU and Tennessee.
 
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#193
#193
I say if and when Mich. and OHS play we move up into the playoff.We lost to no. 1 Ga. and they are neither no. 1 Any other way will be politics !
 
#194
#194
We are likely out if:
Ohio State loses by field goal or less and either TCU or USC wins rest of their games
or
TCU and USC stay undefeated.
(assumes GA beats LSU)
 
#195
#195
keepitreal2022 said:
The only way the SEC gets 2 teams in the playoffs is if the loser of the Mich/OSU game gets blown out or it's a non-competitive game.

I think the committee will give the Big 10 the same benefit of the doubt that they gave the SEC last year. Bama was 11-1 but went to the SECCG and won, and UGA was undefeated going into the game but was #1 for most of the CFP rankings. The same can be said back in 2017, Bama did not play in the SEC title game but got in with UGA. Bama was beaten by an 11-1 Auburn who was beaten by an 11-1 UGA in the SEC title game. Our biggest wins come against teams with 2 losses and our remaining schedule does not have a top-20 team left. In other words, if Mich/OSU goes into their game undefeated and plays like they did last year where the winner won by less than 10, then the loser will get the same benefit of the doubt. Let's hope the Mich/OSU game is a blowout one way or the other. I think the 4th team will be either TCU or the PAC 12 winner with 0 or 1 loss. Also, we need TCU to slip up. Baylor did not look like a world-beater today. The playoff committee would like nothing more than to have teams representing 4 out of the 5 power conferences. It's all about the money. Take your emotions out of it. Do you think they will pick us over USC and risk losing the west coast or Texas/ Southwest viewership?

OSU (#3 Mich)
UGA (#7 LSU)
Mich (#2 OSU)
USC/TCU (USC would play #9 UCLA)

btw- I think TA&M will beat LSU- Jimbo will be playing for a lot.
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Neither Michigan nor OSU have the resume to support getting in over a 1 loss Tennessee team.....at all. Whoever loses that game is completely out.
 
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#196
#196
So, we need UGA to win out. We need the OSU/ Mich to be decisive. Need the PAC 12 winner to have 2 losses. If this happens. TCU can win out and we’re in. So, I think there are multiple scenarios where we can get in.
 
#197
#197
Volfan39 said:
This is the dumbest comment I have ever seen in my life. If tcu loses once they are out, if you can’t see a scenario for us gesturing in you aren’t looking very damn hard.
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Volfan39 said:
This is the dumbest comment I have ever seen in my life. If tcu loses once they are out, if you can’t see a scenario for us gesturing in you aren’t looking very damn hard.
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Thanks! Hope I’m wrong, of course, and we gesture in!
 
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#198
#198
bigorangecrush89 said:
I agree some people are setting themselves up for disappointment. The committee really REALLY values conference champs. This is not BVS. UT wont get that chance due to playing UGA in the regular season.
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I don’t disagree but the OP is all over the board. He’s talking about UM and OSU both getting in then goes to talking about USC and TCU. UM and OSU’s best wins are both against 2 loss PSU. One will have a win against the other, while the other will have PSU and a nothing burger, compared to anything on our resume. We’d be in the same boat, 1 loss and no conference title game appearance. Then it’s a resume comparison of who’s the best 11-1 and it’s. It UM or OSU. I’d be worried about TCU and USC only.
 
#200
#200
ThreatLevelOrange said:
Wrong. If USC beats UCLA, they get (ranked) ND and the winner of next weeks Oregon/Utah game in the conference championship. Those are 3 high profile games to end the season. You know the committee would overlook USC losing on the road on a 2 point conversion.
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You’re talking to a wall. He’s hung up on “history” yet refuses to acknowledge or recognize that a 1 loss P5 champ has been left out ONE time in 8 years and that was for an undefeated ND team.
 
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