Is it true all the money is coming in on Tennessee to cover, but they aren't moving the line?

#27
#27
WillisWG said:
It's 54%. So slight lean in $$ to OU 54 to 46 but with only 22% of the bets. Interesting
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This means the sharp money is slightly leaning toward OU. Which is probably why the line moved back toward OU a hair to Vols -6.5.

Doesn’t mean anything as far as how the game goes.

I personally love the bet on Vols at that -6.5 number, since it’s under a TD. I fully expect Vols to cover comfortably.
 
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#29
#29
EZE said:
This means the sharp money is slightly leaning toward OU. Which is probably why the line moved back toward OU a hair to Vols -6.5.

Doesn’t mean anything as far as how the game goes.

I personally love the bet on Vols at that -6.5 number, since it’s under a TD. I fully expect Vols to cover comfortably.
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Probably some bettors trying to middle their bets...
 
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#32
#32
KnoxRealtorVOL said:
I don't know how to see where the money is coming in, but it's definitely not good if money is still pouring into Tennessee and they aren't moving the line to get it to even.

Usually means Vegas sees something and they're happy for everyone to bet wrong.

Anyone know if this is true, or know where to see it?
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Don't kid yourself, bookies try to balance their bets so they make the Vigorish (10%) on all bets and can sometimes hit in the middle when there's 1/2 point spread.
 
#33
#33
Voltopia said:
Oklahoma's getting five players back, including some OL and what they say is their best wide receiver, and they're playing at home. Oddsmakers are still getting that Tennessee money and are okay with it, so they must think Oklahoma's got a better chance with the injury returns.

If this causes anyone discomfort, remember that the line going into Tennessee-LSU in 2022 was -1.5 for the Vols.

I won't remind you what the final score was. I know you all know.
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This^

Also go back to 2022, we covered the spread in all but 3 games and covered I mean absolutely annihilated it. And I think this team is much better than 2022 due to the defense.
 
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#34
#34
Must mean that OK has our signals.













Or something totally different.
 
#35
#35
Sooner Redzone said:
OU getting 22% of the bets 58% of the money as of this morning
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Some of the Vegas Handicappers who sell their services are saying okie is the play. So you have some big $$$ coming in on Okie per their recommendations. Those guys are really no better than the average football bettor that does his homework. Josh and UT don't have a good record as a road favorite, but Josh hasn't had a team this good (Offense& Defense) . My motto is Believe what you see, and go with what you know. I just see Tennessee doing more against okie's Defense than I see Okie doing with UT's Defense. And I hope Heuple has some plays that are out of character for him, since Venables knows Josh's playbook.
 
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#36
#36
It's important to note that the line, at this point, is driven by an ecosystem, not one sportsbook. Initial lines get the action going and swing based on the action. It's primarily driven by risk models but they pay attention to where the professional money is going too. Rare to see large swings late unless a key player gets hurt or there is some anomaly as the money has already been put in.

Not a pro but I did use Google..... 🤣
 
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#37
#37
imavolfan said:
Scary, because it’s true.
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It’s 100% true - road teams seem to rarely ever win the ref battle (unless you are LSU at South Carolina) as favorites.

To cover this thing, Vols need to be up 15 with two minutes left and have the ball. Otherwise the back door cover can rear its ugly head …

All that being typed - if we indeed are actually better - and our fresh QB doesn’t look like Hooker at UGA- and Josh can run up the score- I think he will. And hopefully badly.

VOLS BY FIDDY
 
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#38
#38
imavolfan said:
Scary, because it’s true.
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Yeah...22% of bettors laying 56% of the money means that the average OK bettor is laying over 4× as much money on the game as the average UT bettor. That means the sharps are heavily on OK right?

Refs are the easiest and sometimes only way these casinos and sites with bottomless pockets of $$$ can change the outcome of games. Offensive holding, and defensive AND offensive pass interference can be called on almost EVERY play. They can extend or kill drives at will...and those are 100% at the discretion of refs. If we get cheated by the refs, i hope they all get ass cancer and their fingers fall off so they cant even scratch. I pulled for LSU to win because i hate USCjr...but the refs absolutely HANDED that game to LSU especially with that drive killing offensive P.I. call on a WR whose number didnt exist on the field of play. It was so obviously BS that the announcers even called the refs out (Herbstreit) and showed the replay repeatedly looking for ANY reason to justify that call that killed USCs last drive and sealed the game for LSU. It was sickening...and as UT fans we have been robbed too many times over the years. From UF, to UNC (twice) and most recently the obvious TD versus Purdue in the bowlgame. Hate these mofos.

Also...

 
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#39
#39
Dobbs 4 Heisman said:
Vegas still isn't sold on us as a legit top 5 team. It's why our odds to win the national title are the 9th best. They think the public is overvaluing us. Usually when Vegas takes a side they're on the right side. But they aren't infallible. There are times the public destroys them. This will be one of those times. Look for Vegas to catch on after this game if we easily cover.
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Vegas doesn’t take sides, they take money.
 
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#40
#40
KnoxRealtorVOL said:
I don't know how to see where the money is coming in, but it's definitely not good if money is still pouring into Tennessee and they aren't moving the line to get it to even.

Usually means Vegas sees something and they're happy for everyone to bet wrong.

Anyone know if this is true, or know where to see it?
Click to expand...
Todd Furman is a popular bet analyst and he's taking OU to cover.
 
#41
#41
Voltopia said:
Oklahoma's getting five players back, including some OL and what they say is their best wide receiver, and they're playing at home. Oddsmakers are still getting that Tennessee money and are okay with it, so they must think Oklahoma's got a better chance with the injury returns.

If this causes anyone discomfort, remember that the line going into Tennessee-LSU in 2022 was -1.5 for the Vols.

I won't remind you what the final score was. I know you all know.
Click to expand...
LSU had big issues on the OL going into that game. It would be nice to see a similar type of performance from UT.
 
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#42
#42
marcusluvsvols said:
Yeah...22% of bettors laying 56% of the money means that the average OK bettor is laying over 4× as much money on the game as the average UT bettor. That means the sharps are heavily on OK right?

Refs are the easiest and sometimes only way these casinos and sites with bottomless pockets of $$$ can change the outcome of games. Offensive holding, and defensive AND offensive pass interference can be called on almost EVERY play. They can extend or kill drives at will...and those are 100% at the discretion of refs. If we get cheated by the refs, i hope they all get ass cancer and their fingers fall off so they cant even scratch. I pulled for LSU to win because i hate USCjr...but the refs absolutely HANDED that game to LSU especially with that drive killing offensive P.I. call on a WR whose number didnt exist on the field of play. It was so obviously BS that the announcers even called the refs out (Herbstreit) and showed the replay repeatedly looking for ANY reason to justify that call that killed USCs last drive and sealed the game for LSU. It was sickening...and as UT fans we have been robbed too many times over the years. From UF, to UNC (twice) and most recently the obvious TD versus Purdue in the bowlgame. Hate these mofos.

Also...

Click to expand...

With the amount of money on the line, especially in pro sports, there are rigged games. Not all of them, but some are very obvious. Basketball is the most obvious and easy to rig through refs
 
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#43
#43
JohnWardForever said:
Some of the Vegas Handicappers who sell their services are saying okie is the play. So you have some big $$$ coming in on Okie per their recommendations. Those guys are really no better than the average football bettor that does his homework. Josh and UT don't have a good record as a road favorite, but Josh hasn't had a team this good (Offense& Defense) . My motto is Believe what you see, and go with what you know. I just see Tennessee doing more against okie's Defense than I see Okie doing with UT's Defense. And I hope Heuple has some plays that are out of character for him, since Venables knows Josh's playbook.
Click to expand...
The defense is going to try to keep their TD shut out streak going. I'm sure it's a goal for this game for them.
 
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#45
#45
Doctrippin said:
The defense is going to try to keep their TD shut out streak going. I'm sure it's a goal for this game for them.
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They need to Hit Arnold and shake him up. I'm concerned when he scrambles, he might find someone behind the Defense. How to stop a running QB? An Eric Berry shot or two.
 
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#47
#47
1000005077.png

It is crazy they aren't adjusting the line. Basically every talking head has switched their tune to stay away from Vols on the spread this game.
 
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