Is it true all the money is coming in on Tennessee to cover, but they aren't moving the line?

#52
#52
stonesk said:
In 2022, I took us at +365 as a 10pt dog for $500 and that cigar tasted extra good that eve! I got us -6.5 this weekend, and it's going to be another good night! Vegas odds makers be damned!
Click to expand...

For as bad as Fulmer was against Vegas, Heupel is usually golden.
 
  • Like
Reactions: Stacmot and stonesk
#54
#54
EZE said:
Have you seen the size of the hotels in Vegas? It means that everyone sucks at it!
Click to expand...

Agree with the point but most of the hotels make their money off the casinos, not necessarily sports betting. Casinos are were the real bang for buck comes out. I don't think people make as much on sports betting (NFL and Pro sports are also a lot bigger than College in that aspect).
 
#55
#55
The opening line is what vegas thinks will even the money on both sides, the line moves to balance the bets. Vegas is in the business of balancing the bets and getting the vig either way.
 
  • Like
Reactions: TNBV
#59
#59
BruiserVol said:
I don’t feel good about this game to be honest. I can’t shake the feeling that I know exactly how it will go. Dink and dunk passes to the side swallowed up immediately because this defense will be wiser and faster than what we have been up against this year. No YAC at will. No separation created for deep balls. Run game will be grinding for every yard it gets. Our defense might be alright, but I just think we will struggle offensively. Don’t know why, but just a feeling I have. Their coach will have them ready. He is very knowledgeable about our team.
Click to expand...
 
  • Like
Reactions: BruisedOrange
#60
#60
stonesk said:
In 2022, I took us at +365 as a 10pt dog for $500 and that cigar tasted extra good that eve! I got us -6.5 this weekend, and it's going to be another good night! Vegas odds makers be damned!
Click to expand...

Either Vegas knows something (what possibly?) thinks Okie's returning injured will be that big, OR they are trying to limit their exposure by making potential UT backers switch or lay off. Better Watch the Officiating!! Vegas IS the mob..
 
  • Like
Reactions: stonesk
#62
#62
EZE said:
This means the sharp money is slightly leaning toward OU. Which is probably why the line moved back toward OU a hair to Vols -6.5.

Doesn’t mean anything as far as how the game goes.

I personally love the bet on Vols at that -6.5 number, since it’s under a TD. I fully expect Vols to cover comfortably.
Click to expand...
So the line remains -7 with the brick and mortar sports books (Bally's, Caesars, MGM). The line is at -6.5 on all of the online books such as Draft Kings, ESPN Bet and Fan Duel. I really don't understand the reason behind this, but it seems strange to me. To put it into perspective, this is a 10.5 point swing from where the line opened with OU being favored by 3.5. That swing is HUGE for a college football game. The books will normally adjust the line to create even betting on both sides of the bet. Previous posters have noted the more money has been reported on the OU side, and yet we see no movement of the line. The reason for this probably that when the line opened at -3.5 OU, TONS of money went on Tennessee. If you got those odds you are golden. We're just seeing the pendulum swing the other way now. If it keeps up, expect a correction this evening.
 
#63
#63
I can appreciate the sentiment of the battered Vol syndrome person who said our offense will look sputtery and we will start slow and have trouble once Oklahoma gets the momentum. Because we've seen that exact scenario play out countless times over the last 15 years.

I think this offense has the opportunity to be the most robust of any offense we've had since 2008. Sampson is the fulcrum point of this offense. If he can effectively run the ball, we are going to be a tough stop for anyone. I like that Nico showed the ability to get out in the open in roll out situations which cause OLB to make the decision to come up and make the play---or to stay on coverage in the flat which will allow Nico to make sizable runs of 5-7 yards when the big throw isn't there.

You know Heupel wants this game. I think Heupel is the real deal. It's easy to have doubt based on what we've seen as Vols fans--I think we're the program we should be going forward--and tomorrow we make a statement type of win. 45-13 Vols.
 
#64
#64
ScornedPapaVol said:
So you made big 💰 betting against UT. Still all good for ya...
Click to expand...

No, I’ve never bet against the Vols. But I sure as he!! never bet on them to cover the spread under Fulmer. I’m a fan of Fulmer’s success while HFC, but he was terrible at covering the spread (especially toward the end).

I’ve made good money on CJH…even on some -35 type spreads.

Note: As a personal rule and marriage saver, I only bet on anything when I’m in Vegas. No on-line gambling for me. Pandora’s Box….
 
#65
#65
WhenUrVolUrVFL said:
I can appreciate the sentiment of the battered Vol syndrome person who said our offense will look sputtery and we will start slow and have trouble once Oklahoma gets the momentum. Because we've seen that exact scenario play out countless times over the last 15 years.

I think this offense has the opportunity to be the most robust of any offense we've had since 2008. Sampson is the fulcrum point of this offense. If he can effectively run the ball, we are going to be a tough stop for anyone. I like that Nico showed the ability to get out in the open in roll out situations which cause OLB to make the decision to come up and make the play---or to stay on coverage in the flat which will allow Nico to make sizable runs of 5-7 yards when the big throw isn't there.

You know Heupel wants this game. I think Heupel is the real deal. It's easy to have doubt based on what we've seen as Vols fans--I think we're the program we should be going forward--and tomorrow we make a statement type of win. 45-13 Vols.
Click to expand...
I'd go back a little further.... We don't talk about 2008...ha
 
#67
#67
volbound1700 said:
Agree with the point but most of the hotels make their money off the casinos, not necessarily sports betting. Casinos are were the real bang for buck comes out. I don't think people make as much on sports betting (NFL and Pro sports are also a lot bigger than College in that aspect).
Click to expand...
I could be completely wrong but I’m gonna go out on a limb here and say sports betting is a multi billion dollar industry
 
  • Like
Reactions: mpfvol, BruisedOrange and WillisWG
#69
#69
I’m not understanding the concern here? I’m sure it’ll be a tough game, but Tennessee has the better team and more depth along the line of scrimmage at least on the defensive line anyway. Not sure what else Vegas could “know” that would change that.
 
#70
#70
Hulavol said:
Laying 7.5 on the road with a freshman QB against a quality opponent is usually a very hard line to cover …. And this game is in Norman, Oklahoma. This SHOULD be alarming.
Click to expand...

Not really. You kinda answered it yourself. This rarely happens. So it must mean something if we are 7.5 point favorites. It means our freshman QB isn't the typical freshman QB and we're not a typical team. Special QBs and special teams get this sort of respect. Time to realize we are that special of a team and Nico is that special of a QB.
 
#72
#72
Gandalf said:
I th think this assessment is on the money. I think if we do what I and many others expect, which is dog fight in Q1, make adjustments and pull ahead in Q2 and then begin to pull away in the 3rd and boat race in the 4th - then Vegas will consider us legit going forward and we will no longer get under valued. That’s why I put money in this early season because late I think they will have priced the risk more accurately.
Click to expand...

Exactly. My advice would be bet on Tennessee right now if you wanna make money. Cause if we win decisively in Norman tomorrow night we're gonna become extremely overvalued. Betting against us to cover will be the smart move going forward.
 
#73
#73
BruiserVol said:
I don’t feel good about this game to be honest. I can’t shake the feeling that I know exactly how it will go. Dink and dunk passes to the side swallowed up immediately because this defense will be wiser and faster than what we have been up against this year. No YAC at will. No separation created for deep balls. Run game will be grinding for every yard it gets. Our defense might be alright, but I just think we will struggle offensively. Don’t know why, but just a feeling I have. Their coach will have them ready. He is very knowledgeable about our team.
Click to expand...
Joe Milton isn't here anymore. We don't need to dink and dunk down the sideline anymore...we will still throw some screens of course but that's just setting up the bomb.
 
#75
#75
I know NOTHING about betting just trying to read here and learn…

They can’t throw out false info about anything numbers wise right?

Or

Could super wealthy people be told to put the money on the other side to force and swing and save LV’s a$$?
 
New posts
You must log in or register to reply here.

VN Store



Back
Top