I don’t understand how this disproves the correlation between total talent based on ranking winning vs not. Rankings are finished at the end of the year and clearly our staff is good at evaluating talent
I’m an eternal optimist as well and I too buy into a staff and give them the benefit of the doubt. But until that fact is proven wrong on a consistent basis I will believe it’s true
It doesn't disprove the correlation. I admitted the correlation, as a matter of fact.
It does clearly highlight the difference between correlation and causation. And whether they want to admit it or not, the "better get ranked classes or else, because history shows a corellation between class rankings and championships" crowd are actually arguing that that correlation is causing the winning of championships.
But the reranking clearly shows a loose coupling between ranking and actual attributes. The ranking is a variable. It is a perception. And it changes independent from what actually effects the future team's results.
Are you claiming that the final ranking is what affects future game results? We should trust the overall process as the ultimate criteria, even though the process includes repeated statements such as, "We were wrong repeatedly, but trust us on our final word"?
The important questions become:
Did our players become more championship quality because the websites changed their opinions?
Did our coaches become better recruiters because some websites changed their opinions to agree with them?
Or did the websites implicitly admit that our staff were better in these cases at finding and grading talent?
Further, if the answers to the above questions were: No, No, Yes
Then the natural next question would be:
Who will we generally trust more to find and grade the talent that will make up our recruiting classes? The websites, or the staff that the websites changed their opinions to more closely align with?